Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
73.1%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
71.2%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
58.6%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Vila Nova
Sport Recife
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Vila Nova
20 matches
Sport Recife
20 matches
| Vila Nova | Statistic | Sport Recife |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wins | 6 |
| 4 | Draws | 11 |
| 6 | Losses | 3 |
| 27 | Goals For | 25 |
| 24 | Goals Against | 19 |
| 1.35 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.25 |
| 1.2 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.95 |
| 11 | BTTS Yes | 12 |
| 14 | Over 1.5 | 14 |
| 9 | Over 2.5 | 7 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 7 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 3.6 | Shots On Goal | 4.3 |
| 12.55 | Total Shots | 14.1 |
| 4.4 | Corners | 5.15 |
| 52.9% | Ball Possession | 54.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Vila Nova have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Vila Nova expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Sport Recife in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Sport Recife having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Sport Recife.
Vila Nova approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 5 with 34 points from 20 matches. Across the season they have posted 10 wins, 4 draws, and 6 defeats, and the 27:24 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Ryan Lima (3 goals), Rafael Silva (3 goals), Janderson (2 goals), with creative support from Marquinhos Gabriel (5 assists), Janderson (4 assists), Ryan Lima (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 7 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses points to a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.
Sport Recife are currently 10 in the standings with 29 points from 20 matches. The record of 6 wins, 11 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 25:19 goal balance, points toward poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Much of their attacking threat comes through Perotti (6 goals), Chrystian Barletta (5 goals), Biel Fonseca (1 goals), with creative support from Chrystian Barletta (3 assists), Biel Fonseca (3 assists), C. de Pena (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Vila Nova won 1 times, Sport Recife won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:8 from Vila Nova's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.1 goals per game.
Vila Nova
1
3
7
2
7
0
Lineups
Vila Nova
Operario-PR
Vila Nova
Ponte Preta
Vila Nova
Atletico Goianiense
Vila Nova
CRB
Vila Nova
Fortaleza EC
Vila Nova
Criciuma
Vila Nova
Juventude
Vila Nova
São Bernardo
Vila Nova
Novorizontino
Vila Nova
Nautico Recife
Vila Nova
Cuiaba
Vila Nova
Botafogo SP
Vila Nova
Londrina
Vila Nova
America Mineiro
Vila Nova
Avai
Vila Nova
Goias
Vila Nova
Athletic Club
Vila Nova
Ceara
Vila Nova
Operario-PR
Vila Nova
Ponte Preta
Sport Recife
Novorizontino
Sport Recife
America Mineiro
Sport Recife
Avai
Sport Recife
Londrina
Sport Recife
Cuiaba
Sport Recife
Goias
Sport Recife
Operario-PR
Sport Recife
Botafogo SP
Sport Recife
Criciuma
Sport Recife
Fortaleza EC
Sport Recife
Atletico Goianiense
Sport Recife
São Bernardo
Sport Recife
Athletic Club
Sport Recife
Nautico Recife
Sport Recife
Juventude
Sport Recife
CRB
Sport Recife
Ponte Preta
Sport Recife
Ceara
Sport Recife
Novorizontino
Sport Recife
America Mineiro
Vila Nova
Ponte Preta
Vila Nova
Fortaleza EC
Vila Nova
São Bernardo
Vila Nova
Nautico Recife
Vila Nova
Botafogo SP
Vila Nova
Avai
Vila Nova
Athletic Club
Vila Nova
Operario-PR
Vila Nova
Atletico Goianiense
Vila Nova
CRB
Sport Recife
Novorizontino
Sport Recife
Avai
Sport Recife
Goias
Sport Recife
Criciuma
Sport Recife
Fortaleza EC
Sport Recife
São Bernardo
Sport Recife
Juventude
Sport Recife
Ponte Preta
Sport Recife
America Mineiro
Sport Recife
Londrina
Sport Recife
Cuiaba
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 26:13 | 13 | 45 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 25:17 | 8 | 44 |
L
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 3 |
Vila Nova
Home
|
24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 35:25 | 10 | 41 |
D
W
W
L
L
|
| 4 | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 39:21 | 18 | 40 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 27:21 | 6 | 40 |
W
D
D
D
W
|
|
| 6 |
Sport Recife
Away
|
24 | 9 | 11 | 4 | 32:22 | 10 | 38 |
W
L
W
W
D
|
| 7 | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 35:34 | 1 | 36 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 30:31 | -1 | 36 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 9 | 24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 27:23 | 4 | 36 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 10 | 24 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 25:25 | 0 | 34 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 23:29 | -6 | 33 |
D
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 24 | 7 | 12 | 5 | 21:18 | 3 | 33 |
D
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 13 | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 33:27 | 6 | 32 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 28:26 | 2 | 31 |
L
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 15 | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 28:27 | 1 | 31 |
D
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 16 | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 27:30 | -3 | 29 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 25:30 | -5 | 28 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 18 | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 29:36 | -7 | 21 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 19 | 24 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 16:42 | -26 | 11 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 20 | 24 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 16:50 | -34 | 10 |
L
L
D
L
D
|