Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
87%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
62.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.1%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
70.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Vila Nova
São Bernardo
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Vila Nova
15 matches
São Bernardo
15 matches
| Vila Nova | Statistic | São Bernardo |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wins | 7 |
| 4 | Draws | 4 |
| 3 | Losses | 4 |
| 23 | Goals For | 20 |
| 17 | Goals Against | 12 |
| 1.53 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.33 |
| 1.13 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.8 |
| 9 | BTTS Yes | 7 |
| 10 | Over 1.5 | 9 |
| 7 | Over 2.5 | 6 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 3.8 | Shots On Goal | 3.93 |
| 12.93 | Total Shots | 10.6 |
| 4.6 | Corners | 3.2 |
| 52.1% | Ball Possession | 44.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors São Bernardo. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.
Operating from 1 place with 28 points from 15 games, Vila Nova bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 8 wins, 4 draws, and 3 defeats plus a goal balance of 23:17, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by Ryan Lima (3 goals), Rafael Silva (3 goals), Janderson (2 goals), with creative support from Janderson (4 assists), Marquinhos Gabriel (4 assists), Ryan Lima (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, they have managed 5 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.
São Bernardo arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 4 place with 25 points after 15 matches. The record of 7 wins, 4 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 20:12 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Dudu Miraíma (2 goals), Pedro Vitor (2 goals), Rodrigo Ferreira (2 goals), with creative support from Dudu Miraíma (2 assists), Pedro Vitor (2 assists), Echaporã (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Vila Nova won 1 times, São Bernardo won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:1 from Vila Nova's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.
Vila Nova
5
6
8
2
3
1
Lineups
Vila Nova
CRB
Vila Nova
Fortaleza EC
Vila Nova
Criciuma
Vila Nova
Juventude
Vila Nova
Novorizontino
Vila Nova
Nautico Recife
Vila Nova
Cuiaba
Vila Nova
Botafogo SP
Vila Nova
Londrina
Vila Nova
America Mineiro
Vila Nova
Avai
Vila Nova
Goias
Vila Nova
Athletic Club
Vila Nova
Ceara
Vila Nova
Operario-PR
Vila Nova
Ponte Preta
Vila Nova
Atletico Goianiense
Vila Nova
Sport Recife
Vila Nova
CRB
São Bernardo
Operario-PR
São Bernardo
Ceara
São Bernardo
Athletic Club
São Bernardo
Avai
São Bernardo
Cuiaba
São Bernardo
Criciuma
São Bernardo
Juventude
São Bernardo
Sport Recife
São Bernardo
CRB
São Bernardo
Novorizontino
São Bernardo
Atletico Goianiense
São Bernardo
America Mineiro
São Bernardo
Londrina
São Bernardo
Ponte Preta
São Bernardo
Goias
São Bernardo
Nautico Recife
São Bernardo
Fortaleza EC
São Bernardo
Botafogo SP
São Bernardo
Operario-PR
São Bernardo
Ceara
Vila Nova
Fortaleza EC
Vila Nova
Nautico Recife
Vila Nova
Botafogo SP
Vila Nova
Avai
Vila Nova
Athletic Club
Vila Nova
Operario-PR
Vila Nova
Atletico Goianiense
Vila Nova
CRB
São Bernardo
Operario-PR
São Bernardo
Athletic Club
São Bernardo
Criciuma
São Bernardo
CRB
São Bernardo
Atletico Goianiense
São Bernardo
Londrina
São Bernardo
Nautico Recife
São Bernardo
Botafogo SP
São Bernardo
Ceara
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 23:12 | 11 | 40 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 22:12 | 10 | 35 |
W
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 29:28 | 1 | 35 |
L
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 23:19 | 4 | 34 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 5 |
Vila Nova
Home
|
20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 27:24 | 3 | 34 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
| 6 | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 32:19 | 13 | 33 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 7 | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 23:20 | 3 | 31 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 8 |
São Bernardo
Away
|
21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 31:24 | 7 | 30 |
W
L
L
D
D
|
| 9 | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 31:32 | -1 | 29 |
W
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 10 | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 21:26 | -5 | 29 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 11 | 20 | 6 | 11 | 3 | 25:19 | 6 | 29 |
D
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 12 | 20 | 6 | 10 | 4 | 19:18 | 1 | 28 |
D
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 13 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 24:24 | 0 | 25 |
D
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 14 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 22:25 | -3 | 25 |
W
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 15 | 20 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 15:15 | 0 | 25 |
D
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 16 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 24:21 | 3 | 24 |
L
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 17 | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 27:31 | -4 | 20 |
L
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 18 | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 21:27 | -6 | 20 |
L
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 19 | 20 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 14:31 | -17 | 11 |
W
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 20 | 21 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 15:41 | -26 | 9 |
L
D
L
L
L
|