BRAZIL SERIE B
--.--.---- --:--
Estádio Onésio Brasileiro Alvarenga
Referee: Maguielson Lima Barbosa, Brazil
Vila Nova
Match Timeline
Ponte Preta
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
9'
Janderson · Assist: Andre Luis
Vila Nova
13'
Andre Luis · Assist: Dellatorre
Vila Nova
🔄
19'
Elvis ↔ Juan Rodrigues
Ponte Preta
40'
Marquinhos Gabriel · Assist: Higor
Vila Nova
🔄
46'
Higor ↔ Igor Carius
Vila Nova
🔄
46'
Dellatorre ↔ Everton Galdino
Vila Nova
🔄
46'
Baianinho ↔ Gustavo Telles
Ponte Preta
64'
Dudu · Assist: Janderson
Vila Nova
🔄
66'
Andre Luis ↔ Ryan
Vila Nova
🔄
66'
Marquinhos Gabriel ↔ Dodo
Vila Nova
66'
Everton Galdino · Assist: Janderson
Vila Nova
🔄
71'
Leo Gomes ↔ M. L. Diego
Ponte Preta
🔄
71'
David da Hora ↔ Miguel Morais
Ponte Preta
🔄
72'
Tiago Pagnussat ↔ Willian Formiga
Vila Nova
🟨
73'
Juan
Ponte Preta
🟨
79'
Sergio Palacios
Ponte Preta
80'
Willian Formiga · Assist: Dodo
Vila Nova
🔄
84'
Brandao ↔ Joao Damiao
Ponte Preta
🟨
90+4'
Miguel Morais
Ponte Preta

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 88%
Odds 1.38
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds 2.25
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds 1.97
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
88%
1.38
BTTS Yes
67.1%
2.25
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
1.97
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
79.5%
1.15
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.05
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00
Probability Distribution
Vila Nova Win 88%
Draw 6%
Ponte Preta Win 6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Vila Nova1.56
Ponte Preta0.89
Recent Form (Last 5)
Vila Nova Vila Nova
WWDLW
29 GF / 25 GA
Ponte Preta Ponte Preta
WLDWL
16 GF / 42 GA
Key Stats
1.32
Average Goals Scored
0.73
1.14
Average Goals Conceded
1.91
11
BTTS Yes
12
9
Over 2.5
11
3.45
Shots on Goal
3.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Vila Nova Vila Nova 22 matches
Ponte Preta Ponte Preta 22 matches
Vila Nova Statistic Ponte Preta
11 Wins 2
4 Draws 4
7 Losses 16
29 Goals For 16
25 Goals Against 42
1.32 Avg Goals Scored 0.73
1.14 Avg Goals Conceded 1.91
11 BTTS Yes 12
15 Over 1.5 18
9 Over 2.5 11
3 Over 3.5 4
5 Clean Sheets 2
6 Failed To Score 9
3.45 Shots On Goal 3.5
12.41 Total Shots 10.82
4.77 Corners 4.82
52.5% Ball Possession 42.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Vila Nova's more proactive style and Ponte Preta's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Ponte Preta. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Vila Nova expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Ponte Preta in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Ponte Preta having the stronger overall control. Vila Nova arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 5 with 34 points compared to Ponte Preta in 20 on 9, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

Vila Nova Analysis

Vila Nova approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 5 with 34 points from 21 matches. The overall return of 10 wins, 4 draws, and 7 defeats with a 27:25 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on Ryan Lima (3 goals), Rafael Silva (3 goals), Janderson (2 goals), with creative support from Marquinhos Gabriel (5 assists), Janderson (4 assists), Ryan Lima (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 7 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, a return that supports a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

Ponte Preta Analysis

Ponte Preta approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 20 with 9 points from 21 matches. The overall return of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 16 defeats with a 15:41 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on Elvis (2 goals), Brandão (2 goals), William Pottker (2 goals), with creative support from Elvis (3 assists), Diego Tavares (3 assists), Brandão (1 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 0 draws, and 9 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Vila Nova won 4 times, Ponte Preta won 2 times, while 9 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:9 from Vila Nova's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 1.6 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (94%)
Predicted formations: Vila Nova 4-2-3-1 / Ponte Preta 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Vila Nova wins 4, draws 9, Ponte Preta wins 2
Stats
Vila Nova Vila Nova
Ponte Preta Ponte Preta
Shots on Goal
15
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
6
Shots off Goal
1
Blocked Shots
4
Blocked Shots
1
9 Corner Kicks 4
14 Fouls 18
5 Offsides 3
64% Ball Possession 36%
25 Total Shots 4
15 Shots on Goal 2
6 Shots off Goal 1
4 Blocked Shots 1
19 Shots insidebox 2
6 Shots outsidebox 2
2 Goalkeeper Saves 9
457 Total passes 261
385 Passes accurate 191
3.74 expected_goals 0.31
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Vila Nova
Formation
Ponte Preta
Helton Leite
Helton Leite
Hayner
Hayner
Tiago Pagnussat
Tiago Pagnussat
Breno Augusto
Breno Augusto
Higor
🎯
Higor
Dudu
Dudu
Joao Vieira
Joao Vieira
Andre Luis
🎯
Andre Luis
Marquinhos Gabriel
Marquinhos Gabriel
Janderson
🎯
Janderson
Dellatorre
🎯
Dellatorre
Vinicius Ferrari
Vinicius Ferrari
S. Palacios
S. Palacios
Lucas Cunha
Lucas Cunha
Gustavo Almeida
Gustavo Almeida
Julio
Julio
Leo Gomes
Leo Gomes
Andre Lima
Andre Lima
Baianinho
Baianinho
David da Hora
David da Hora
Elvis
Elvis
Brandao
Brandao
Vila Nova 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
Helton Leite
G
22
Hayner
D
3
Tiago Pagnussat
↓ 72'
D
23
Breno Augusto
D
6
Higor
🎯 40' ↓ 46'
D
15
Dudu
⚽ 64'
M
5
Joao Vieira
M
7
Andre Luis
⚽ 13' 🎯 9' ↓ 66'
M
10
Marquinhos Gabriel
⚽ 40' ↓ 66'
M
99
Janderson
⚽ 9' 🎯 64' 🎯 66'
M
49
Dellatorre
🎯 13' ↓ 46'
F
Substitutes
29
Dalberson
G
16
Igor Carius
↑ 46'
D
13
Willian Formiga
⚽ 80' ↑ 72'
D
33
Bruno Xavier
M
8
Willian Maranhao
M
20
Nathan Camargo
M
21
Higor Meritao
M
17
Everton Galdino
⚽ 66' ↑ 46'
F
11
Ryan
↑ 66'
18
Enzo Bizzotto
M
31
Dodo
🎯 80' ↑ 66'
M
9
Gustavo Puskas
F
Ponte Preta 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
30
Vinicius Ferrari
23
S. Palacios
🟨 79'
D
3
Lucas Cunha
D
44
Gustavo Almeida
D
2
Julio
M
16
Leo Gomes
↓ 71'
M
8
Andre Lima
M
7
Baianinho
↓ 46'
M
18
David da Hora
↓ 71'
F
10
Elvis
↓ 19'
F
21
Brandao
↓ 84'
F
Substitutes
1
Guilherme Viana
4
M. L. Diego
↑ 71'
D
6
Juan Rodrigues
↑ 19' 🟨 73'
D
17
Miguel Morais
↑ 71' 🟨 90+4'
M
35
Gustavo Telles
↑ 46'
M
15
G. Cicala
32
C. Vinicius
M
9
Joao Damiao
↑ 84'
F
13
M. Souza
D
Last matches: Vila Nova
23.08.26
Ser
Vila Nova
Operario-PR
0
0
D
15.08.26
Ser
Vila Nova
Atletico Goianiense
2
0
W
08.08.26
Ser
Vila Nova
Sport Recife
0
1
L
27.07.26
Ser
Vila Nova
CRB
0
2
L
22.07.26
Ser
Vila Nova
Fortaleza EC
2
1
W
18.07.26
Ser
Vila Nova
Criciuma
0
2
L
10.07.26
Ser
Vila Nova
Juventude
0
1
L
06.07.26
Ser
Vila Nova
São Bernardo
2
1
W
26.06.26
Ser
Vila Nova
Novorizontino
1
2
L
20.06.26
Ser
Vila Nova
Nautico Recife
4
3
W
14.06.26
Ser
Vila Nova
Cuiaba
0
1
L
08.06.26
Ser
Vila Nova
Botafogo SP
1
0
W
31.05.26
Ser
Vila Nova
Londrina
1
0
W
24.05.26
Ser
Vila Nova
America Mineiro
2
1
W
17.05.26
Ser
Vila Nova
Avai
2
0
W
09.05.26
Ser
Vila Nova
Goias
0
1
L
04.05.26
Ser
Vila Nova
Athletic Club
1
1
D
26.04.26
Ser
Vila Nova
Ceara
3
3
D
18.04.26
Ser
Vila Nova
Operario-PR
2
1
W
11.04.26
Ser
Vila Nova
Ponte Preta
1
0
W
Last matches: Ponte Preta
23.08.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Avai
0
2
L
14.08.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Nautico Recife
1
1
D
07.08.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Ceara
0
2
L
28.07.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Athletic Club
1
1
D
22.07.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Operario-PR
2
3
L
18.07.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Goias
1
2
L
08.07.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Criciuma
1
2
L
03.07.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Fortaleza EC
0
2
L
28.06.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Atletico Goianiense
0
2
L
22.06.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Novorizontino
0
2
L
14.06.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Juventude
0
3
L
09.06.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Cuiaba
1
2
L
01.06.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Botafogo SP
0
0
D
24.05.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
CRB
2
4
L
18.05.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Londrina
1
4
L
09.05.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Sport Recife
1
3
L
03.05.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
São Bernardo
0
3
L
24.04.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
America Mineiro
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Avai
2
1
W
11.04.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Vila Nova
0
1
L
H2H: Vila Nova vs Ponte Preta
19.08.26
H2H
Vila Nova
Ponte Preta
6
0
W
11.04.26
H2H
Ponte Preta
Vila Nova
0
1
W
11.11.24
H2H
Vila Nova
Ponte Preta
2
1
W
24.07.24
H2H
Ponte Preta
Vila Nova
2
0
L
15.09.23
H2H
Vila Nova
Ponte Preta
1
1
D
28.05.23
H2H
Ponte Preta
Vila Nova
1
0
L
08.10.22
H2H
Ponte Preta
Vila Nova
1
1
D
29.06.22
H2H
Vila Nova
Ponte Preta
1
1
D
03.10.21
H2H
Ponte Preta
Vila Nova
1
1
D
04.07.21
H2H
Vila Nova
Ponte Preta
0
0
D
28.02.20
H2H
Ponte Preta
Vila Nova
0
0
D
13.09.19
H2H
Ponte Preta
Vila Nova
0
1
W
11.05.19
H2H
Vila Nova
Ponte Preta
0
0
D
01.09.18
H2H
Ponte Preta
Vila Nova
1
1
D
13.05.18
H2H
Vila Nova
Ponte Preta
0
0
D
Last matches: Vila Nova
08.08.26
Ser
Vila Nova
Sport Recife
0
1
L
22.07.26
Ser
Vila Nova
Fortaleza EC
2
1
W
06.07.26
Ser
Vila Nova
São Bernardo
2
1
W
20.06.26
Ser
Vila Nova
Nautico Recife
4
3
W
08.06.26
Ser
Vila Nova
Botafogo SP
1
0
W
17.05.26
Ser
Vila Nova
Avai
2
0
W
04.05.26
Ser
Vila Nova
Athletic Club
1
1
D
18.04.26
Ser
Vila Nova
Operario-PR
2
1
W
04.04.26
Ser
Vila Nova
Atletico Goianiense
2
1
W
21.03.26
Ser
Vila Nova
CRB
2
2
D
H2H at home: Vila Nova
19.08.26
H2H
Vila Nova
Ponte Preta
6
0
W
11.11.24
H2H
Vila Nova
Ponte Preta
2
1
W
15.09.23
H2H
Vila Nova
Ponte Preta
1
1
D
29.06.22
H2H
Vila Nova
Ponte Preta
1
1
D
04.07.21
H2H
Vila Nova
Ponte Preta
0
0
D
11.05.19
H2H
Vila Nova
Ponte Preta
0
0
D
13.05.18
H2H
Vila Nova
Ponte Preta
0
0
D
Last matches: Ponte Preta
07.08.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Ceara
0
2
L
22.07.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Operario-PR
2
3
L
03.07.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Fortaleza EC
0
2
L
28.06.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Atletico Goianiense
0
2
L
14.06.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Juventude
0
3
L
24.05.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
CRB
2
4
L
03.05.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
São Bernardo
0
3
L
18.04.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Avai
2
1
W
04.04.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Nautico Recife
0
1
L
22.03.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Athletic Club
1
2
L
H2H away: Ponte Preta
19.08.26
H2H
Vila Nova
Ponte Preta
6
0
L
11.11.24
H2H
Vila Nova
Ponte Preta
2
1
L
15.09.23
H2H
Vila Nova
Ponte Preta
1
1
D
29.06.22
H2H
Vila Nova
Ponte Preta
1
1
D
04.07.21
H2H
Vila Nova
Ponte Preta
0
0
D
11.05.19
H2H
Vila Nova
Ponte Preta
0
0
D
13.05.18
H2H
Vila Nova
Ponte Preta
0
0
D
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 9.68
Draw 4.64
Home 1.38
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 8.94
Draw 2.49
Home 1.87
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.32
Over 2.0 1.50
Over 2.25 1.73
Over 2.5 1.97
Over 2.75 2.25
Over 3.0 2.76
Over 3.5 3.47
Over 4.5 7.09
Under 1.5 3.47
Under 2.0 2.69
Under 2.25 2.17
Under 2.5 1.90
Under 2.75 1.68
Under 3.0 1.47
Under 3.5 1.32
Under 4.5 1.11
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 9.00
Draw 4.50
Home 1.36
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 8.50
Draw 2.38
Home 1.83
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 7.50
Draw 2.62
Home 1.67
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.05
Over 1.5 1.28
Over 2.5 1.95
Over 3.5 3.40
Over 4.5 6.50
Over 5.5 15.00
Over 6.5 29.00
Under 0.5 11.00
Under 1.5 3.50
Under 2.5 1.85
Under 3.5 1.30
Under 4.5 1.11
Under 5.5 1.03
Under 6.5 1.01
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 8.50
Draw 4.40
Home 1.37
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 8.00
Draw 2.24
Home 1.89
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 7.31
Draw 2.71
Home 1.68
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.01
Over 0.75 1.01
Over 1.0 1.01
Over 1.25 1.13
Over 1.5 1.24
Over 1.75 1.32
Over 2.0 1.41
Over 2.25 1.67
Over 2.5 1.89
Over 2.75 2.09
Over 3.0 2.52
Over 3.25 2.85
Over 3.5 3.14
Over 3.75 3.92
Over 4.0 5.40
Over 4.25 5.80
Over 4.5 6.20
Over 4.75 7.90
Over 5.0 9.20
Over 5.5 13.00
Over 6.5 29.00
Under 0.5 10.00
Under 0.75 8.70
Under 1.0 8.50
Under 1.25 4.60
Under 1.5 3.34
Under 1.75 2.97
Under 2.0 2.59
Under 2.25 2.13
Under 2.5 1.86
Under 2.75 1.62
Under 3.0 1.43
Under 3.25 1.32
Under 3.5 1.27
Under 3.75 1.18
Under 4.0 1.09
Under 4.25 1.07
Under 4.5 1.06
Under 4.75 1.02
Under 5.0 1.00
Under 5.5 1.03
Under 6.5 1.01
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 7.50
Draw 4.50
Home 1.40
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 6.75
Draw 2.43
Home 1.89
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 6.10
Draw 2.88
Home 1.72
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.02
Over 1.5 1.23
Over 2.0 1.37
Over 2.25 1.58
Over 2.5 1.79
Over 2.75 2.00
Over 3.0 2.35
Over 3.25 2.65
Over 3.5 2.95
Over 4.5 5.75
Over 5.5 10.50
Under 0.5 10.50
Under 1.5 3.80
Under 2.0 2.95
Under 2.25 2.30
Under 2.5 1.96
Under 2.75 1.76
Under 3.0 1.55
Under 3.25 1.44
Under 3.5 1.35
Under 4.5 1.12
Under 5.5 1.02

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 13 6 5 26:13 13 45
W W D W W
2 24 12 8 4 25:17 8 44
L D W L D
3 24 12 5 7 35:25 10 41
D W W L L
4 24 11 7 6 39:21 18 40
W W D L W
5 24 11 7 6 27:21 6 40
W D D D W
6 24 9 11 4 32:22 10 38
W L W W D
7 24 10 6 8 35:34 1 36
L W D W W
8 24 10 6 8 30:31 -1 36
D L L L L
9 24 9 9 6 27:23 4 36
W D L D W
10 24 8 10 6 25:25 0 34
L L W W D
11 24 9 6 9 23:29 -6 33
D L L W L
12 24 7 12 5 21:18 3 33
D W W D D
13 24 8 8 8 33:27 6 32
D D L W L
14 24 8 7 9 28:26 2 31
L D W W L
15 24 8 7 9 28:27 1 31
D W D D D
16 24 8 5 11 27:30 -3 29
W W W L L
17 24 7 7 10 25:30 -5 28
W L L W W
18 24 5 6 13 29:36 -7 21
L D L L L
19 24 2 5 17 16:42 -26 11
L L L L W
20 24 2 4 18 16:50 -34 10
L L D L D
Promotion
Promotion Play-offs
Relegation