Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
61.2%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
53.4%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
52.4%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Vila Nova
Nautico Recife
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Vila Nova
13 matches
Nautico Recife
13 matches
| Vila Nova | Statistic | Nautico Recife |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 6 |
| 4 | Draws | 2 |
| 2 | Losses | 5 |
| 18 | Goals For | 18 |
| 12 | Goals Against | 14 |
| 1.38 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.38 |
| 0.92 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.08 |
| 7 | BTTS Yes | 4 |
| 8 | Over 1.5 | 7 |
| 5 | Over 2.5 | 5 |
| 2 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 3.69 | Shots On Goal | 4.31 |
| 13.23 | Total Shots | 15.54 |
| 4.85 | Corners | 5.77 |
| 53.8% | Ball Possession | 58.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Nautico Recife. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Vila Nova come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.
Operating from 1 place with 25 points from 12 games, Vila Nova bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 7 wins, 4 draws, and 1 defeats, together with goals at 18:11, reflects very strong form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through Rafael Silva (3 goals), Ryan (3 goals), André Luís (2 goals), with creative support from Janderson (4 assists), Marquinhos Gabriel (4 assists), Ryan (2 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, the split of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
Nautico Recife sit 7 with 19 points after 12 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 6 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses, while the 16:12 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Vinícius (5 goals), Dodo (2 goals), Junior Todinho (2 goals), with creative support from Vinícius (2 assists), Wenderson (2 assists), Yuri (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Vila Nova won 5 times, Nautico Recife won 7 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:18 from Vila Nova's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.
Vila Nova
6
7
6
11
1
2
Lineups
Vila Nova
Juventude
Vila Nova
São Bernardo
Vila Nova
Novorizontino
Vila Nova
Cuiaba
Vila Nova
Botafogo SP
Vila Nova
Londrina
Vila Nova
America Mineiro
Vila Nova
Avai
Vila Nova
Goias
Vila Nova
Athletic Club
Vila Nova
Ceara
Vila Nova
Operario-PR
Vila Nova
Ponte Preta
Vila Nova
Atletico Goianiense
Vila Nova
Sport Recife
Vila Nova
CRB
Nautico Recife
Avai
Nautico Recife
Juventude
Nautico Recife
Goias
Nautico Recife
Novorizontino
Nautico Recife
Fortaleza EC
Nautico Recife
Sport Recife
Nautico Recife
Cuiaba
Nautico Recife
Operario-PR
Nautico Recife
America Mineiro
Nautico Recife
Botafogo SP
Nautico Recife
Athletic Club
Nautico Recife
São Bernardo
Nautico Recife
Ceara
Nautico Recife
Ponte Preta
Nautico Recife
Atletico Goianiense
Nautico Recife
Criciuma
Vila Nova
São Bernardo
Vila Nova
Botafogo SP
Vila Nova
Avai
Vila Nova
Athletic Club
Vila Nova
Operario-PR
Vila Nova
Atletico Goianiense
Vila Nova
CRB
Nautico Recife
Avai
Nautico Recife
Novorizontino
Nautico Recife
Sport Recife
Nautico Recife
Operario-PR
Nautico Recife
Botafogo SP
Nautico Recife
Athletic Club
Nautico Recife
Ceara
Nautico Recife
Atletico Goianiense
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 20:12 | 8 | 33 |
W
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 2 |
Vila Nova
Home
|
17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 25:19 | 6 | 31 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
| 3 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 22:18 | 4 | 31 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 4 | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 28:16 | 12 | 30 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 5 | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 17:8 | 9 | 29 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 20:17 | 3 | 28 |
L
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 7 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 23:16 | 7 | 26 |
D
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 8 | 17 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 21:15 | 6 | 26 |
D
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 9 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 18:23 | -5 | 25 |
D
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 19:19 | 0 | 24 |
W
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 11 | 17 | 5 | 9 | 3 | 14:11 | 3 | 24 |
D
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 16:16 | 0 | 22 |
L
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 13 |
Nautico Recife
Away
|
17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 21:21 | 0 | 21 |
L
D
L
L
D
|
| 14 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 20:18 | 2 | 20 |
D
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 15 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 26:31 | -5 | 20 |
D
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 16 | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 24:24 | 0 | 18 |
W
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 17 | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 15:20 | -5 | 17 |
L
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 18 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 18:24 | -6 | 16 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 19 | 17 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11:33 | -22 | 8 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 10:27 | -17 | 6 |
L
L
L
W
L
|