Vila Nova vs America Mineiro Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
88%
|
1.44 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
62.3%
|
2.10 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
72%
|
1.93 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.10 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
2.25 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
8.50 |
Vila Nova
America Mineiro
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Vila Nova
28 matches
America Mineiro
28 matches
| Vila Nova | Statistic | America Mineiro |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | Wins | 4 |
| 6 | Draws | 5 |
| 8 | Losses | 19 |
| 40 | Goals For | 21 |
| 31 | Goals Against | 48 |
| 1.43 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.75 |
| 1.11 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.71 |
| 12 | BTTS Yes | 14 |
| 20 | Over 1.5 | 22 |
| 11 | Over 2.5 | 16 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 9 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 8 | Failed To Score | 11 |
| 4.11 | Shots On Goal | 4.61 |
| 13.18 | Total Shots | 13.54 |
| 4.79 | Corners | 5.54 |
| 51.9% | Ball Possession | 53.9% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Vila Nova's more proactive style and America Mineiro's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. America Mineiro arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring America Mineiro. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Vila Nova arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 47 points compared to America Mineiro in 19 on 17, which underlines the gap in season consistency.
Operating from 3 place with 47 points from 27 games, Vila Nova bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 14 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses, with a 39:30 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on André Luís (4 goals), João Vieira (3 goals), Ryan Lima (3 goals), with creative support from Marquinhos Gabriel (6 assists), Janderson (5 assists), João Vieira (3 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have managed 10 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.
With 17 points from 27 games and a place of 19, America Mineiro still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 4 wins, 5 draws, and 18 losses, together with goals at 21:46, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Gonzalo Mastriani (4 goals), Willian (3 goals), M. Segovia (2 goals), with creative support from Willian (2 assists), M. Segovia (2 assists), Paulo Victor (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 11 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Vila Nova won 3 times, America Mineiro won 6 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:15 from Vila Nova's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.09 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 48:25 | 23 | 50 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 30:17 | 13 | 50 |
L
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 3 |
Vila Nova
Home
|
28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 40:31 | 9 | 48 |
D
W
L
W
D
|
| 4 | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 31:23 | 8 | 48 |
D
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 28:25 | 3 | 47 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 6 | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 36:26 | 10 | 46 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 42:40 | 2 | 45 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 8 | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 39:36 | 3 | 44 |
D
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 9 | 28 | 10 | 11 | 7 | 37:28 | 9 | 41 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 28 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 33:30 | 3 | 40 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 28 | 9 | 13 | 6 | 27:22 | 5 | 40 |
D
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 12 | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 28:34 | -6 | 39 |
W
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 13 | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 39:31 | 8 | 38 |
W
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 14 | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 35:33 | 2 | 38 |
D
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 15 | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 29:36 | -7 | 32 |
D
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 16 | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 31:35 | -4 | 31 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 29:36 | -7 | 30 |
D
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 18 | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 38:39 | -1 | 28 |
W
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 19 |
America Mineiro
Away
|
28 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 21:48 | -27 | 17 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
| 20 | 28 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 16:62 | -46 | 10 |
L
L
L
L
L
|