ICELAND ÚRVALSDEILD
--.--.---- --:--
Referee: T. Thordarson
Vikingur Reykjavik
Match Timeline
Valur Reykjavik
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
14'
J. Palsson
Valur Reykjavik
49'
V. Ingimundarson · Assist: H. Magnusson
Vikingur Reykjavik
🔄
62'
H. Eyjolfsson ↔ E. Sigurbjornsson
Valur Reykjavik
🟨
63'
H. Gunnarsson
Valur Reykjavik
69'
H. Gudjonsson
Vikingur Reykjavik
🔄
71'
N. Hansen ↔ A. Thrandarson
Vikingur Reykjavik
🔄
72'
H. Magnusson ↔ A. Finnbogason
Vikingur Reykjavik
🟨
75'
J. Jonsson
Valur Reykjavik
🔄
77'
G. Sigurdsson ↔ D. Hafsteinsson
Vikingur Reykjavik
🟨
79'
K. Arnarsson
Valur Reykjavik
🔄
83'
H. Gunnarsson ↔ P. Pedersen
Valur Reykjavik
🟨
86'
T. Haraldsson
Valur Reykjavik
🔄
89'
G. Vatnhamar ↔ R. Thorkelsson
Vikingur Reykjavik
🔄
89'
S. Thordarson ↔ D. Jonsson
Vikingur Reykjavik
🔄
90+1'
S. Veseli ↔ G. Heiddalur
Valur Reykjavik

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 79.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 87%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
79.8%
-
BTTS Yes
82.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
87%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Vikingur Reykjavik Win 79.8%
Draw 4%
Valur Reykjavik Win 16.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Vikingur Reykjavik2.49
Valur Reykjavik1.47
Recent Form (Last 5)
Vikingur Reykjavik Vikingur Reykjavik
WWDLW
71 GF / 31 GA
Valur Reykjavik Valur Reykjavik
WLDWL
38 GF / 49 GA
Key Stats
2.73
Average Goals Scored
1.65
1.19
Average Goals Conceded
2.13
16
BTTS Yes
15
20
Over 2.5
16
1
Shots on Goal
0.8

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Vikingur Reykjavik Vikingur Reykjavik 26 matches
Valur Reykjavik Valur Reykjavik 23 matches
Vikingur Reykjavik Statistic Valur Reykjavik
18 Wins 8
4 Draws 3
4 Losses 12
71 Goals For 38
31 Goals Against 49
2.73 Avg Goals Scored 1.65
1.19 Avg Goals Conceded 2.13
16 BTTS Yes 15
25 Over 1.5 19
20 Over 2.5 16
17 Over 3.5 13
8 Clean Sheets 3
2 Failed To Score 5
1 Shots On Goal 0.8
1.11 Total Shots 2.6
2 Corners 1
17.8% Ball Possession 13.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Vikingur Reykjavik's more proactive style and Valur Reykjavik's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Valur Reykjavik. Valur Reykjavik arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Valur Reykjavik having the stronger overall control. Vikingur Reykjavik arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 48 points compared to Valur Reykjavik in 7 on 23, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances.

Vikingur Reykjavik Analysis

Placed 1 with 48 points from 19 outings, Vikingur Reykjavik continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 15 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses with goals at 62:18 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 7 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Valur Reykjavik Analysis

With 23 points from 19 games and a place of 7, Valur Reykjavik still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 7 wins, 2 draws, and 10 defeats with a 35:40 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 4 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Vikingur Reykjavik won 8 times, Valur Reykjavik won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 36:20 from Vikingur Reykjavik's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.73 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96%)
Predicted formations: Vikingur Reykjavik 4-3-3 / Valur Reykjavik 4-3-3
H2H summary: Vikingur Reykjavik wins 8, draws 4, Valur Reykjavik wins 3

Standings

Úrvalsdeild
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 20 16 3 1 64:18 46 51
W W D D W
2 21 13 5 3 54:40 14 44
D W W L W
3 20 13 4 3 72:45 27 43
W D W D W
4 21 8 6 7 42:39 3 30
L L D L L
5 21 8 4 9 32:36 -4 28
L W W L W
6 21 7 6 8 36:40 -4 27
D D W W D
7 21 8 3 10 40:48 -8 27
W W L W W
8 21 7 3 11 37:44 -7 24
D L D W L
9 21 4 9 8 27:38 -11 21
W D L W D
10 21 5 3 13 21:50 -29 18
W L L L W
11 21 4 5 12 30:43 -13 17
L L L D L
12 21 4 5 12 33:47 -14 17
D L D L L
Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs