NORWAY ELITESERIEN
08.08.2026 14:00
Lyse Arena
Referee: T. Hansen
Viking
Match Timeline
Sarpsborg 08 FF
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
25'
Olaus Skarsem
Sarpsborg 08 FF
🟨
33'
Bjorn Utvik
Sarpsborg 08 FF
40'
H. Heggheim
Viking
🟨
50'
Zlatko Tripić
Viking
🔄
61'
O. Skarsem ↔ N. Williams
Sarpsborg 08 FF
🔄
61'
A. Nibe ↔ V. E. Halvorsen
Sarpsborg 08 FF
🔄
65'
S. Bjorshol ↔ H. J. Haugen
Viking
🔄
65'
R. Alte ↔ J. Hansen
Viking
🔄
65'
S. Kvia-Egeskog ↔ O. Visted
Viking
68'
Zlatko Tripić
Viking
🔄
69'
C. Niyukuri ↔ E. Wichne
Sarpsborg 08 FF
81'
S. Sorli
Sarpsborg 08 FF
🔄
85'
A. Sher ↔ Camil Mmaee
Sarpsborg 08 FF
🔄
87'
V. Auklend ↔ R. Postema
Viking
🔄
88'
E. Austbo ↔ N. Fuglestad
Viking
🟨
90+10'
Arild Østbø
Viking
90'
Z. Tripic
Viking

Viking vs Sarpsborg 08 FF Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 80.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
80.7%
-
BTTS Yes
71.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Viking Win 80.7%
Draw 3.8%
Sarpsborg 08 FF Win 15.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Viking2.02
Sarpsborg 08 FF1.28
Recent Form (Last 5)
Viking Viking
WWDLW
59 GF / 21 GA
Sarpsborg 08 FF Sarpsborg 08 FF
WLDWL
40 GF / 35 GA
Key Stats
2.46
Average Goals Scored
1.54
0.88
Average Goals Conceded
1.35
14
BTTS Yes
14
16
Over 2.5
15
5.8
Shots on Goal
4.13

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Viking Viking 24 matches
Sarpsborg 08 FF Sarpsborg 08 FF 26 matches
Viking Statistic Sarpsborg 08 FF
18 Wins 13
4 Draws 5
2 Losses 8
59 Goals For 40
21 Goals Against 35
2.46 Avg Goals Scored 1.54
0.88 Avg Goals Conceded 1.35
14 BTTS Yes 14
22 Over 1.5 20
16 Over 2.5 15
8 Over 3.5 9
9 Clean Sheets 8
1 Failed To Score 5
5.8 Shots On Goal 4.13
15.07 Total Shots 11.67
6.47 Corners 4.87
51.4% Ball Possession 43.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Viking's more proactive style and Sarpsborg 08 FF's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Sarpsborg 08 FF. Viking arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 34 points compared to Sarpsborg 08 FF in 6 on 21, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Viking expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Sarpsborg 08 FF in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Sarpsborg 08 FF having the stronger overall control. Sarpsborg 08 FF look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Viking Analysis

Viking approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 34 points after 14 outings. They have recorded 11 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, with a 34:14 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on Peter Christiansen (7 goals), Simen Kvia-Egeskog (5 goals), Kristoffer Askildsen (5 goals), with creative support from Zlatko Tripić (11 assists), Peter Christiansen (2 assists), Henrik Heggheim (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, their record of 6 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Sarpsborg 08 FF Analysis

Sarpsborg 08 FF sit 6 with 21 points after 14 league matches. The record of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 15:16 goal balance, points toward very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking threat comes through Daniel Karlsbakk (3 goals), Andreas Hansen (2 goals), Victor Emanuel Halvorsen (2 goals), with creative support from Claus Niyukuri (3 assists), Sondre Sörli (2 assists), Sander Christiansen (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Viking won 8 times, Sarpsborg 08 FF won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:13 from Viking's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.29 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.2%)
Predicted formations: Viking 4-1-4-1 / Sarpsborg 08 FF 4-4-2
Missing players: Viking 6, Sarpsborg 08 FF 3
H2H summary: Viking wins 8, draws 2, Sarpsborg 08 FF wins 4

Standings

Eliteserien
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 15 2 2 49:15 34 47
W W W W W
2 20 15 2 3 51:20 31 47
W D W L W
3 20 11 3 6 43:30 13 36
W W W W L
4 20 10 5 5 37:27 10 35
L L D L W
5 20 10 2 8 28:26 2 32
W W L D L
6 20 9 3 8 36:29 7 30
W W L W W
7 20 8 3 9 24:31 -7 27
D L W W W
8 20 8 2 10 37:31 6 26
L L D W W
9 20 6 7 7 23:26 -3 25
D D D L L
10 20 6 5 9 27:41 -14 23
L L D L D
11 20 6 4 10 33:42 -9 22
L D L D L
12 20 6 4 10 22:34 -12 22
W L L D W
13 19 5 5 9 16:24 -8 20
D D W L L
14 20 5 4 11 20:37 -17 19
L W D L W
15 20 3 9 8 31:45 -14 18
L W L D D
16 20 4 4 12 22:41 -19 16
W L W L L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen