NORWAY ELITESERIEN
--.--.---- --:--
Lyse Arena
Referee: S. Amland
Viking
Match Timeline
Rosenborg
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
2'
H. Falchener · Assist: Z. Tripic
Viking
🟨
14'
Gianni Stensness
Viking
15'
K. Askildsen · Assist: Z. Tripic
Viking
🟨
44'
Aslak Witry
Rosenborg
🟨
54'
Tobias Solheim Dahl
Rosenborg
🔄
55'
J. Bakke ↔ E. K. Ceide
Rosenborg
🔄
55'
N. Sahsah ↔ A. Chiakha
Rosenborg
🔄
55'
T. Dahl ↔ A. Pereira
Rosenborg
🟨
61'
Håkon Røsten
Rosenborg
🔄
61'
N. Fuglestad ↔ E. Austbo
Viking
🔄
63'
S. Nordli ↔ S. Vaananen
Rosenborg
67'
Z. Tripic · Assist: S. Kvia-Egeskog
Viking
🔄
76'
H. Heggheim ↔ H. J. Haugen
Viking
🔄
77'
T. Moi ↔ O. Visted
Viking
🔄
82'
K. Askildsen ↔ A. Baertelsen
Viking
🔄
83'
Z. Tripic ↔ V. Auklend
Viking
🔄
88'
A. F. Witry ↔ J. Mortensen
Rosenborg
🟨
90+5'
Kristoffer Haugen
Viking

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 86.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 74.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 78.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
86.5%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
74.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
78.3%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Viking Win 86.5%
Draw 4.2%
Rosenborg Win 9.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Viking1.98
Rosenborg0.94
Recent Form (Last 5)
Viking Viking
WWDLW
37 GF / 12 GA
Rosenborg Rosenborg
WLDWL
12 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
2.64
Average Goals Scored
1
0.86
Average Goals Conceded
1
8
BTTS Yes
5
10
Over 2.5
4
6.17
Shots on Goal
3

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Viking Viking 14 matches
Rosenborg Rosenborg 12 matches
Viking Statistic Rosenborg
11 Wins 5
2 Draws 3
1 Losses 4
37 Goals For 12
12 Goals Against 12
2.64 Avg Goals Scored 1
0.86 Avg Goals Conceded 1
8 BTTS Yes 5
13 Over 1.5 8
10 Over 2.5 4
7 Over 3.5 1
6 Clean Sheets 3
0 Failed To Score 6
6.17 Shots On Goal 3
16.33 Total Shots 10.5
5.67 Corners 7.5
47.7% Ball Possession 48.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Viking's more proactive style and Rosenborg's more cautious structure. Both teams have notable availability concerns, so squad depth and in-game adjustments could matter more than usual. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Rosenborg. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Viking arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 15 points compared to Rosenborg in 14 on 5, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Viking come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Viking Analysis

Viking approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 15 points after 6 outings. With 5 wins, 0 draws, and 1 defeats plus a goal balance of 16:6, they continue to show very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by H. Heggheim (3 goals), Simen Kvia-Egeskog (3 goals), Gianni Stensness (2 goals), with creative support from Z. Tripic (6 assists), P. Christiansen (3 assists), Simen Kvia-Egeskog (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, the split of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with M. Roseth, V. Berisha, V. Vevatne unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

Rosenborg Analysis

With 5 points from 6 games and a place of 14, Rosenborg still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 3 defeats with a 3:8 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on I. Fossum (1 goals), Mads Bomholt (1 goals), S. Nordli (1 goals), with creative support from I. Fossum (1 assists), O. Selnaes (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with D. Duris, E. Slordal, J. Svensson unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Viking won 7 times, Rosenborg won 5 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 28:22 from Viking's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.57 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.8%)
Predicted formations: Viking 4-4-2 / Rosenborg 4-4-2
Missing players: Viking 4, Rosenborg 3
H2H summary: Viking wins 7, draws 2, Rosenborg wins 5

Standings

Eliteserien
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 18 14 2 2 47:14 33 44
W W W W W
2 18 14 1 3 42:18 24 43
W L W W D
3 18 10 5 3 34:20 14 35
D L W W W
4 18 9 3 6 36:29 7 30
W W L D W
5 18 8 2 8 36:27 9 26
D W W L W
6 18 8 2 8 24:25 -1 26
L D L L L
7 18 8 2 8 22:28 -6 26
W W W W L
8 18 7 3 8 27:26 1 24
L W W L W
9 18 6 5 7 20:23 -3 23
D L L D W
10 18 6 5 7 26:32 -6 23
D L D W L
11 18 6 3 9 31:38 -7 21
L D L L W
12 18 5 4 9 15:23 -8 19
D W L L L
13 18 5 4 9 20:31 -11 19
L D W W L
14 18 4 4 10 17:29 -12 16
D L W L L
15 18 2 9 7 28:43 -15 15
L D D L D
16 18 3 4 11 20:39 -19 13
W L L W L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen