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NORWAY › ELITESERIEN
17.10.2026 16:00
Lyse Arena

Viking vs Fredrikstad Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 73.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
73.8%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
82.5%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Viking Win 73.8%
Draw 3.1%
Fredrikstad Win 23.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Viking2.05
Fredrikstad1.22
Recent Form (Last 5)
Viking Viking
WWDLW
84 GF / 33 GA
Fredrikstad Fredrikstad
WLDWL
44 GF / 45 GA
Key Stats
2.47
Average Goals Scored
1.38
0.97
Average Goals Conceded
1.41
22
BTTS Yes
21
24
Over 2.5
16
5.84
Shots on Goal
3.82

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Viking Viking 34 matches
Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 32 matches
Viking Statistic Fredrikstad
24 Wins 13
6 Draws 9
4 Losses 10
84 Goals For 44
33 Goals Against 45
2.47 Avg Goals Scored 1.38
0.97 Avg Goals Conceded 1.41
22 BTTS Yes 21
32 Over 1.5 26
24 Over 2.5 16
12 Over 3.5 11
11 Clean Sheets 6
1 Failed To Score 6
5.84 Shots On Goal 3.82
15.08 Total Shots 11.91
6.48 Corners 4.36
48.3% Ball Possession 48.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Viking's more proactive style and Fredrikstad's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Viking arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 53 points compared to Fredrikstad in 8 on 28, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Viking come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Fredrikstad. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Viking expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Fredrikstad in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Fredrikstad having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Viking Analysis

Viking come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 53 points after 22 matches. They have recorded 17 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with a 56:20 goal return and very strong form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on P. Christiansen (11 goals), S. Kvia-Egeskog (8 goals), Z. Tripić (6 goals), with creative support from Z. Tripić (16 assists), P. Christiansen (5 assists), H. Heggheim (3 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 10 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Fredrikstad Analysis

Fredrikstad are currently 8 in the standings with 28 points from 21 matches. The record of 8 wins, 4 draws, and 9 defeats, together with a 25:32 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Oskar Øhlenschlaeger (3 goals), B. Thoresen (3 goals), D. Eid (2 goals), with creative support from S. Leach Holm (2 assists), H. Skogvold (2 assists), Oskar Øhlenschlaeger (1 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Viking won 5 times, Fredrikstad won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:7 from Viking's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.63 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.9%)
Predicted formations: Viking 4-4-2 / Fredrikstad 3-4-3
H2H summary: Viking wins 5, draws 2, Fredrikstad wins 1

Standings

Eliteserien
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 17 2 3 56:20 36 53
W W W D W
2 22 17 2 3 56:20 36 53
W L W W W
3 22 11 6 5 41:30 11 39
D W L L D
4 22 11 4 7 46:34 12 37
D L W W W
5 22 10 4 8 40:31 9 34
D W W W L
6 22 10 3 9 30:31 -1 33
D L W W L
7 22 9 2 11 39:34 5 29
L W L L D
8 22 8 5 9 26:33 -7 29
D D D L W
9 22 7 7 8 28:31 -3 28
W L D D D
10 22 8 4 10 27:36 -9 28
W W W L L
11 22 7 5 10 33:46 -13 26
W L L L D
12 22 6 6 10 22:28 -6 24
D W L D D
13 22 6 5 11 35:45 -10 23
L D L D L
14 22 4 9 9 35:50 -15 21
L W L W L
15 22 5 4 13 22:43 -21 19
L L L W D
16 22 4 4 14 24:48 -24 16
L L W L W
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen