KENYA SUPER LEAGUE
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 60.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 40%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 39.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
60.8%
-
BTTS BTTS No
40%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
39.8%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Vihiga United FC Win 18.6%
Draw 20.6%
Soy United Win 60.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Vihiga United FC0.8
Soy United1.14
Recent Form (Last 5)
Vihiga United FC Vihiga United FC
WWDLW
26 GF / 47 GA
Soy United Soy United
WLDWL
28 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
0.84
Average Goals Scored
0.88
1.52
Average Goals Conceded
0.75
15
BTTS Yes
11
15
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Vihiga United FC Vihiga United FC 31 matches
Soy United Soy United 32 matches
Vihiga United FC Statistic Soy United
7 Wins 12
8 Draws 8
16 Losses 12
26 Goals For 28
47 Goals Against 24
0.84 Avg Goals Scored 0.88
1.52 Avg Goals Conceded 0.75
15 BTTS Yes 11
19 Over 1.5 15
15 Over 2.5 7
10 Over 3.5 1
10 Clean Sheets 14
12 Failed To Score 11
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Soy United's more proactive style and Vihiga United FC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Soy United carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 10 with 44 points while Vihiga United FC sit 20 on 23, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Vihiga United FC have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Soy United. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Soy United having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Vihiga United FC Analysis

Vihiga United FC sit 20 with 23 points after 32 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 7 wins, 8 draws, and 17 defeats, and the 26:50 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 3 draws, and 10 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Soy United Analysis

From their first 32 matches, Soy United have collected 44 points and now occupy 10 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 12 wins, 8 draws, and 12 losses, while the 28:24 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 4 draws, and 10 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Vihiga United FC won 1 times, Soy United won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:0 from Vihiga United FC's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 0.5 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (81.4%)
H2H summary: Vihiga United FC wins 1, draws 1, Soy United wins 0
Last matches: Vihiga United FC
13.06.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Kisumu All Stars
0
1
L
07.06.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Luanda Villa
1
1
D
01.06.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Naivas
0
2
L
27.05.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Gucha Stars
1
0
W
23.05.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Darajani Gogo
0
1
L
09.05.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Nairobi City Stars
1
0
W
01.05.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
3K
2
3
L
26.04.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Equity Bank
0
4
L
18.04.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Mwatate United
1
3
L
12.04.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
MCF
0
0
D
03.04.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Mombasa Elite
1
3
L
29.03.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Kabati Youth FC
2
1
W
21.03.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
MOFA
2
3
L
14.03.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Kibera Black Stars
1
0
W
08.03.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Migori Youth
0
2
L
01.03.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Fortune Sacco
0
0
D
20.02.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Nzoia Sugar
0
4
L
14.02.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Talanta
1
3
L
01.02.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Kibera Black Stars
2
1
W
24.01.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Mombasa Elite
1
3
L
Last matches: Soy United
13.06.26
Sup
Soy United
Luanda Villa
1
0
W
07.06.26
Sup
Soy United
MOFA
0
0
D
01.06.26
Sup
Soy United
Equity Bank
0
1
L
28.05.26
Sup
Soy United
Kisumu All Stars
0
0
D
24.05.26
Sup
Soy United
Kabati Youth FC
2
1
W
06.05.26
Sup
Soy United
Fortune Sacco
1
1
D
02.05.26
Sup
Soy United
MCF
1
1
D
26.04.26
Sup
Soy United
Nairobi City Stars
2
1
W
19.04.26
Sup
Soy United
Mombasa Elite
0
1
L
12.04.26
Sup
Soy United
Nzoia Sugar
0
1
L
04.04.26
Sup
Soy United
Mwatate United
2
0
W
29.03.26
Sup
Soy United
Darajani Gogo
2
0
W
22.03.26
Sup
Soy United
Gucha Stars
0
1
L
15.03.26
Sup
Soy United
Migori Youth
2
3
L
08.03.26
Sup
Soy United
Talanta
0
0
D
01.03.26
Sup
Soy United
3K
1
2
L
22.02.26
Sup
Soy United
Naivas
0
1
L
14.02.26
Sup
Soy United
Kibera Black Stars
0
1
L
01.02.26
Sup
Soy United
Migori Youth
0
0
D
28.01.26
Sup
Soy United
Gucha Stars
1
0
W
H2H: Vihiga United FC vs Soy United
17.05.26
H2H
Vihiga United FC
Soy United
1
0
W
03.12.25
H2H
Soy United
Vihiga United FC
0
0
D
Last matches: Vihiga United FC
07.06.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Luanda Villa
1
1
D
27.05.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Gucha Stars
1
0
W
01.05.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
3K
2
3
L
26.04.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Equity Bank
0
4
L
12.04.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
MCF
0
0
D
29.03.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Kabati Youth FC
2
1
W
08.03.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Migori Youth
0
2
L
20.02.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Nzoia Sugar
0
4
L
01.02.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Kibera Black Stars
2
1
W
24.01.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Mombasa Elite
1
3
L
11.01.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Mwatate United
1
2
L
07.12.25
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Darajani Gogo
1
0
W
30.11.25
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Fortune Sacco
0
1
L
16.11.25
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Talanta
0
2
L
29.10.25
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Kisumu All Stars
0
0
D
11.10.25
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Naivas
0
0
D
05.10.25
Sup
Vihiga United FC
MOFA
0
1
L
H2H at home: Vihiga United FC
17.05.26
H2H
Vihiga United FC
Soy United
1
0
W
Last matches: Soy United
13.06.26
Sup
Soy United
Luanda Villa
1
0
W
01.06.26
Sup
Soy United
Equity Bank
0
1
L
02.05.26
Sup
Soy United
MCF
1
1
D
19.04.26
Sup
Soy United
Mombasa Elite
0
1
L
04.04.26
Sup
Soy United
Mwatate United
2
0
W
22.03.26
Sup
Soy United
Gucha Stars
0
1
L
15.03.26
Sup
Soy United
Migori Youth
2
3
L
01.03.26
Sup
Soy United
3K
1
2
L
14.02.26
Sup
Soy United
Kibera Black Stars
0
1
L
18.01.26
Sup
Soy United
Nzoia Sugar
2
0
W
21.12.25
Sup
Soy United
Nairobi City Stars
1
1
D
18.12.25
Sup
Soy United
Kabati Youth FC
1
2
L
07.12.25
Sup
Soy United
Fortune Sacco
0
1
L
26.11.25
Sup
Soy United
Darajani Gogo
0
1
L
22.11.25
Sup
Soy United
Talanta
1
2
L
08.11.25
Sup
Soy United
Naivas
1
2
L
03.11.25
Sup
Soy United
MOFA
1
1
D
26.10.25
Sup
Soy United
Kisumu All Stars
0
0
D
H2H away: Soy United
17.05.26
H2H
Vihiga United FC
Soy United
1
0
L

Standings

Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 25 6 7 57:29 28 81
D W W W W
2 38 23 8 7 62:26 36 77
D W W D D
3 38 24 4 10 51:32 19 76
D W L D W
4 38 21 11 6 56:28 28 74
W L W W D
5 38 16 16 6 51:30 21 64
D D D D L
6 38 18 9 11 61:41 20 63
W W L L L
7 38 17 10 11 47:30 17 61
D L W W W
8 38 16 9 13 53:41 12 57
L W L W W
9 38 15 8 15 32:33 -1 53
L L D D L
10 38 14 10 14 31:27 4 52
W D L D W
11 38 12 14 12 37:36 1 50
W L W L L
12 38 12 8 18 35:41 -6 44
W L W L W
13 38 12 7 19 30:51 -21 43
L D W L L
14 38 10 9 19 32:52 -20 39
D W W W L
15 38 10 9 19 23:47 -24 39
W L L D W
16 38 9 12 17 32:44 -12 39
L L L D D
17 38 10 8 20 27:48 -21 38
W W L D W
18 38 9 10 19 24:42 -18 34
L W W L D
19 38 9 9 20 29:55 -26 30
L D L W L
20 38 6 7 25 27:64 -37 25
L L L L L
Promotion - Premier League
Relegation