KENYA SUPER LEAGUE
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 84.6%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 60.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 58.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
84.6%
-
BTTS No
60.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
58.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Vihiga United FC Win 37.9%
Draw 15.4%
Luanda Villa Win 46.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Vihiga United FC1.02
Luanda Villa1.06
Recent Form (Last 5)
Vihiga United FC Vihiga United FC
WWDLW
28 GF / 50 GA
Luanda Villa Luanda Villa
WLDWL
29 GF / 49 GA
Key Stats
0.8
Average Goals Scored
0.81
1.43
Average Goals Conceded
1.36
15
BTTS Yes
9
15
Over 2.5
12
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Vihiga United FC Vihiga United FC 35 matches
Luanda Villa Luanda Villa 36 matches
Vihiga United FC Statistic Luanda Villa
9 Wins 12
8 Draws 6
18 Losses 18
28 Goals For 29
50 Goals Against 49
0.8 Avg Goals Scored 0.81
1.43 Avg Goals Conceded 1.36
15 BTTS Yes 9
20 Over 1.5 19
15 Over 2.5 12
10 Over 3.5 7
12 Clean Sheets 12
14 Failed To Score 17
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Luanda Villa having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Luanda Villa. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Vihiga United FC Analysis

Vihiga United FC approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 19 with 29 points from 36 matches. The overall return of 9 wins, 8 draws, and 19 defeats with a 28:53 goal balance points toward poor form . Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 10 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Luanda Villa Analysis

Luanda Villa sit 12 with 42 points after 36 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 12 wins, 6 draws, and 18 losses, while the 29:49 goal ratio supports the view of poor form . Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the record of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 12 losses points toward a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Vihiga United FC won 1 times, Luanda Villa won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:2 from Vihiga United FC's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.33 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.6%)
H2H summary: Vihiga United FC wins 1, draws 1, Luanda Villa wins 1
Last matches: Vihiga United FC
13.06.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Kisumu All Stars
0
1
L
01.06.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Naivas
0
2
L
27.05.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Gucha Stars
1
0
W
23.05.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Darajani Gogo
0
1
L
17.05.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Soy United
1
0
W
09.05.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Nairobi City Stars
1
0
W
01.05.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
3K
2
3
L
26.04.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Equity Bank
0
4
L
18.04.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Mwatate United
1
3
L
12.04.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
MCF
0
0
D
03.04.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Mombasa Elite
1
3
L
29.03.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Kabati Youth FC
2
1
W
21.03.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
MOFA
2
3
L
14.03.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Kibera Black Stars
1
0
W
08.03.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Migori Youth
0
2
L
01.03.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Fortune Sacco
0
0
D
20.02.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Nzoia Sugar
0
4
L
14.02.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Talanta
1
3
L
01.02.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Kibera Black Stars
2
1
W
24.01.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Mombasa Elite
1
3
L
Last matches: Luanda Villa
13.06.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
Soy United
0
1
L
01.06.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
Mombasa Elite
1
0
W
28.05.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
Kabati Youth FC
0
5
L
23.05.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
Gucha Stars
1
2
L
17.05.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
Mwatate United
2
0
W
09.05.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
Nzoia Sugar
3
3
D
03.05.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
Darajani Gogo
1
0
W
26.04.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
Kisumu All Stars
2
0
W
19.04.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
Kibera Black Stars
0
1
L
10.04.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
MOFA
1
1
D
05.04.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
Migori Youth
0
3
L
29.03.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
Equity Bank
0
1
L
22.03.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
Nairobi City Stars
1
0
W
14.03.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
Fortune Sacco
0
2
L
08.03.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
MCF
1
0
W
28.02.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
Naivas
0
3
L
22.02.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
Talanta
0
1
L
15.02.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
3K
0
5
L
01.02.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
Fortune Sacco
2
2
D
25.01.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
Migori Youth
0
4
L
H2H: Vihiga United FC vs Luanda Villa
07.06.26
H2H
Vihiga United FC
Luanda Villa
1
1
D
02.11.25
H2H
Luanda Villa
Vihiga United FC
0
1
W
14.06.25
H2H
Luanda Villa
Vihiga United FC
1
0
L
Last matches: Vihiga United FC
27.05.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Gucha Stars
1
0
W
17.05.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Soy United
1
0
W
01.05.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
3K
2
3
L
26.04.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Equity Bank
0
4
L
12.04.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
MCF
0
0
D
29.03.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Kabati Youth FC
2
1
W
08.03.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Migori Youth
0
2
L
20.02.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Nzoia Sugar
0
4
L
01.02.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Kibera Black Stars
2
1
W
24.01.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Mombasa Elite
1
3
L
11.01.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Mwatate United
1
2
L
07.12.25
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Darajani Gogo
1
0
W
30.11.25
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Fortune Sacco
0
1
L
16.11.25
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Talanta
0
2
L
29.10.25
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Kisumu All Stars
0
0
D
11.10.25
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Naivas
0
0
D
05.10.25
Sup
Vihiga United FC
MOFA
0
1
L
H2H at home: Vihiga United FC
07.06.26
H2H
Vihiga United FC
Luanda Villa
1
1
D
Last matches: Luanda Villa
28.05.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
Kabati Youth FC
0
5
L
23.05.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
Gucha Stars
1
2
L
09.05.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
Nzoia Sugar
3
3
D
26.04.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
Kisumu All Stars
2
0
W
10.04.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
MOFA
1
1
D
29.03.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
Equity Bank
0
1
L
14.03.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
Fortune Sacco
0
2
L
28.02.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
Naivas
0
3
L
15.02.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
3K
0
5
L
25.01.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
Migori Youth
0
4
L
11.01.26
Sup
Luanda Villa
Kibera Black Stars
1
2
L
13.12.25
Sup
Luanda Villa
Darajani Gogo
1
0
W
03.12.25
Sup
Luanda Villa
Mwatate United
1
0
W
23.11.25
Sup
Luanda Villa
MCF
0
1
L
08.11.25
Sup
Luanda Villa
Talanta
1
0
W
29.10.25
Sup
Luanda Villa
Soy United
0
1
L
11.10.25
Sup
Luanda Villa
Mombasa Elite
0
1
L
05.10.25
Sup
Luanda Villa
Nairobi City Stars
0
1
L
H2H away: Luanda Villa
07.06.26
H2H
Vihiga United FC
Luanda Villa
1
1
D

Standings

Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 25 6 7 57:29 28 81
D W W W W
2 38 23 8 7 62:26 36 77
D W W D D
3 38 24 4 10 51:32 19 76
D W L D W
4 38 21 11 6 56:28 28 74
W L W W D
5 38 16 16 6 51:30 21 64
D D D D L
6 38 18 9 11 61:41 20 63
W W L L L
7 38 17 10 11 47:30 17 61
D L W W W
8 38 16 9 13 53:41 12 57
L W L W W
9 38 15 8 15 32:33 -1 53
L L D D L
10 38 14 10 14 31:27 4 52
W D L D W
11 38 12 14 12 37:36 1 50
W L W L L
12 38 12 8 18 35:41 -6 44
W L W L W
13 38 12 7 19 30:51 -21 43
L D W L L
14 38 10 9 19 32:52 -20 39
D W W W L
15 38 10 9 19 23:47 -24 39
W L L D W
16 38 9 12 17 32:44 -12 39
L L L D D
17 38 10 8 20 27:48 -21 38
W W L D W
18 38 9 10 19 24:42 -18 34
L W W L D
19 38 9 9 20 29:55 -26 30
L D L W L
20 38 6 7 25 27:64 -37 25
L L L L L
Promotion - Premier League
Relegation