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19.10.2026 17:00
Viborg Stadion
Referee: Sandi Putros
Viborg
Match Timeline
FC Midtjylland
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
17'
Rasmus Kristensen
FC Midtjylland
🔄
27'
Denil Castillo ↔ Sofus Johannesen
FC Midtjylland
🟨
44'
Mads Bech Sørensen
FC Midtjylland
🔄
45'
Stanley Iheanacho ↔ Cho Gue-sung
FC Midtjylland
🔄
45'
Kjell-Arik Wätjen ↔ Julius Emefile
FC Midtjylland
⚽
51'
Rasmus Kristensen · Assist: Philip Billing
FC Midtjylland
🟨
57'
Mike Tullberg
FC Midtjylland
⚽
59'
Dorian Hanza · Assist: Charly Ngos Nouck Horneman
Viborg
🔄
64'
Hjalte Bidstrup ↔ Valgeir Lunddal Fridriksson
Viborg
⚽
66'
Philip Billing
FC Midtjylland
🔄
78'
Asker Beck ↔ Ruben Kristensen Alte
Viborg
🔄
79'
Mads Søndergaard Clausen ↔ Philip Keller
Viborg
🔄
79'
Sami Jalal Karchoud ↔ Adam Kleis-Kristoffersen
Viborg
🟨
81'
Andreas Maxsø
FC Midtjylland
🟨
84'
Lukas Kirkegaard
Viborg
🔄
86'
Charly Ngos Nouck Horneman ↔ Žan Zaletel
Viborg
🟨
88'
Jeppe Grønning
Viborg
🔄
90+1'
Friday Etim ↔ Mileta Rajovic
FC Midtjylland
🟨
90+5'
Ruben Kristensen Alte
Viborg

Viborg vs FC Midtjylland Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 91.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
91.7%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
82.5%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Viborg Win 50.8%
Draw 8.3%
FC Midtjylland Win 41%
Expected Goals (xG)
Viborg1.44
FC Midtjylland1.78
Recent Form (Last 5)
Viborg Viborg
W L W D L
8 GF / 7 GA
FC Midtjylland FC Midtjylland
D W D W D
10 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
1.55
Average Goals Scored
2.27
1.05
Average Goals Conceded
1.27
10
BTTS Yes
17
9
Over 2.5
14
4.1
Shots on Goal
4.88

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Viborg Viborg 20 matches
FC Midtjylland FC Midtjylland 26 matches
Viborg Statistic FC Midtjylland
10 Wins 16
4 Draws 7
6 Losses 3
31 Goals For 59
21 Goals Against 33
1.55 Avg Goals Scored 2.27
1.05 Avg Goals Conceded 1.27
10 BTTS Yes 17
16 Over 1.5 23
9 Over 2.5 14
6 Over 3.5 11
7 Clean Sheets 7
4 Failed To Score 2
4.1 Shots On Goal 4.88
14.3 Total Shots 12.24
5.1 Corners 5.06
48.1% Ball Possession 46.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Viborg expected to line up in 4-3-3 and FC Midtjylland in 3-4-1-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward FC Midtjylland having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward FC Midtjylland. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Viborg Analysis

Operating from 3 place with 20 points from 10 games, Viborg bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 6 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with a 17:8 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on Dorian Hanza (4 goals), C. Nouck (3 goals), M. Søndergaard (3 goals), with creative support from C. Nouck (2 assists), M. Søndergaard (2 assists), O. Bundgaard (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

FC Midtjylland Analysis

FC Midtjylland approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 22 points after 10 outings. With 6 wins, 4 draws, and 0 defeats plus a goal balance of 19:10, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by F. Etim (5 goals), S. Iheanacho (3 goals), D. Castillo (2 goals), with creative support from F. Etim (3 assists), P. Billing (3 assists), Darío Osorio (2 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the split of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Viborg won 2 times, FC Midtjylland won 7 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:31 from Viborg's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.2 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.7%)
Predicted formations: Viborg 4-3-3 / FC Midtjylland 3-4-1-2
Missing players: Viborg 4, FC Midtjylland 6
H2H summary: Viborg wins 2, draws 6, FC Midtjylland wins 7

Standings

Superliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 12 8 4 0 24:13 11 28
W W W D W
2 12 8 2 2 26:12 14 26
D D L W W
3 12 6 2 4 19:12 7 20
L L W W D
4 12 5 5 2 18:14 4 20
D D D L W
5 12 6 1 5 21:20 1 19
W L W L L
6 12 4 4 4 23:20 3 16
W D D D L
7 12 3 5 4 11:16 -5 14
D W D D W
8 12 2 6 4 17:19 -2 12
W D W D L
9 12 2 6 4 16:20 -4 12
D L D W D
10 12 3 2 7 12:19 -7 11
L D L L L
11 12 1 5 6 17:27 -10 8
L D L L D
12 12 2 2 8 17:29 -12 8
L W L W D
Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs