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GERMANY › 2. BUNDESLIGA
17.10.2026 11:00
Volkswagen Arena
Referee: Tom Bauer
VfL Wolfsburg
Match Timeline
1. FC Heidenheim
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
1'
Alexander Bernhardsson · Assist: Vinicius de Souza Costa
VfL Wolfsburg
⚽
21'
Patrick Mainka · Assist: Jan Schoppner
1. FC Heidenheim
🟨
32'
Hauke Wahl
VfL Wolfsburg
⚽
45+1'
Robert Glatzel · Assist: Joakim Maehle
VfL Wolfsburg
🔄
45'
Christian Conteh ↔ Marcel Costly
1. FC Heidenheim
🟨
58'
Timon Wellenreuther
VfL Wolfsburg
🟨
62'
Fabian Reese
VfL Wolfsburg
🔄
64'
Yannick Gerhardt ↔ Elvis Rexhbecaj
VfL Wolfsburg
⚽
65'
Muhammed Damar · Assist: Fabian Reese
VfL Wolfsburg
🔄
67'
Julian niehues ↔ Mathias Honsak
1. FC Heidenheim
🟨
69'
Michael Heule
1. FC Heidenheim
🔄
80'
Paul Hennrich ↔ Yannik Wagner
1. FC Heidenheim
🔄
80'
Fabian Reese ↔ Alessio Besio
VfL Wolfsburg
🟨
85'
Alessio Besio
VfL Wolfsburg
🔄
89'
Alexander Bernhardsson ↔ Bence Dárdai
VfL Wolfsburg
🔄
89'
Muhammed Damar ↔ Kento Shiogai
VfL Wolfsburg
🔄
89'
Mikkel Kaufmann ↔ Tim Siersleben
1. FC Heidenheim

VfL Wolfsburg vs 1. FC Heidenheim Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 63.6%
Odds 1.69
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds 1.40
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.35
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
63.6%
1.69 ▥
BTTS Yes
78.8%
1.40 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.35 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.83 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.50 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
VfL Wolfsburg Win 63.6%
Draw 10%
1. FC Heidenheim Win 26.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
VfL Wolfsburg2.43
1. FC Heidenheim1.93
Recent Form (Last 5)
VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg
WWDLW
38 GF / 19 GA
1. FC Heidenheim 1. FC Heidenheim
WLDWL
36 GF / 27 GA
Key Stats
2.92
Average Goals Scored
2.25
1.46
Average Goals Conceded
1.69
8
BTTS Yes
10
8
Over 2.5
11
6.71
Shots on Goal
5.57

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg 13 matches
1. FC Heidenheim 1. FC Heidenheim 16 matches
VfL Wolfsburg Statistic 1. FC Heidenheim
7 Wins 8
4 Draws 3
2 Losses 5
38 Goals For 36
19 Goals Against 27
2.92 Avg Goals Scored 2.25
1.46 Avg Goals Conceded 1.69
8 BTTS Yes 10
10 Over 1.5 12
8 Over 2.5 11
7 Over 3.5 9
3 Clean Sheets 4
3 Failed To Score 3
6.71 Shots On Goal 5.57
19.43 Total Shots 15.71
6.43 Corners 4.86
56.3% Ball Possession 47.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with VfL Wolfsburg expected to line up in 4-3-3 and 1. FC Heidenheim in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward 1. FC Heidenheim having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors 1. FC Heidenheim. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

VfL Wolfsburg Analysis

VfL Wolfsburg approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 5 on 11 points after 6 outings. They have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, with a 15:8 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on R. Glatzel (4 goals), F. Reese (1 goals), Vinicius Souza (1 goals), with creative support from F. Reese (4 assists), J. Mæhle (1 assists), M. Angely (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

1. FC Heidenheim Analysis

1. FC Heidenheim approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 14 points after 7 outings. With 4 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeats plus a goal balance of 14:12, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by B. Zivzivadze (3 goals), J. Schöppner (2 goals), M. Costly (1 goals), with creative support from M. Costly (3 assists), A. Beck (2 assists), M. Kaufmann (2 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the split of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, VfL Wolfsburg won 5 times, 1. FC Heidenheim won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:6 from VfL Wolfsburg's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.63 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90%)
Predicted formations: VfL Wolfsburg 4-3-3 / 1. FC Heidenheim 4-4-2
H2H summary: VfL Wolfsburg wins 5, draws 2, 1. FC Heidenheim wins 1

Standings

2. Bundesliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 7 1 0 19:8 11 22
D W W W W
2 8 5 3 0 21:11 10 18
D D W W D
3 8 4 3 1 22:13 9 15
W D W L D
4 8 4 3 1 8:4 4 15
W D W L W
5 8 4 2 2 15:15 0 14
L D D W W
6 8 4 1 3 14:11 3 13
L W D W L
7 8 2 5 1 11:9 2 11
D W D W D
8 8 3 2 3 13:13 0 11
W W D L D
9 8 2 3 3 16:17 -1 9
D L D W D
10 8 2 3 3 12:13 -1 9
W L D D L
11 8 2 2 4 11:15 -4 8
W D L D L
12 8 2 2 4 11:15 -4 8
L D D L W
13 8 2 2 4 10:14 -4 8
W L L L D
14 8 2 2 4 8:13 -5 8
D L W L D
15 8 2 1 5 13:15 -2 7
L W L D L
16 8 2 1 5 5:9 -4 7
L L L D W
17 8 2 1 5 8:18 -10 7
L W L W L
18 8 0 5 3 7:11 -4 5
D L D L D
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