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GERMANY › 2. BUNDESLIGA
10.10.2026 11:00
Stadion an der Bremer Brücke
Referee: Florian Exner, Germany
VfL Osnabrück
Match Timeline
Dynamo Dresden
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
38'
Niklas Hauptmann · Assist: Jonas Sterner
Dynamo Dresden
🟨
45'
Robin Meißner
VfL Osnabrück
🔄
45'
Fridolin Wagner ↔ Leon Maximilian Flach
VfL Osnabrück
🔄
61'
Patrick Kammerbauer ↔ Konrad Faber
VfL Osnabrück
🔄
61'
Jonathan Gómez ↔ Ismail Badjie
VfL Osnabrück
🔄
61'
Bernd Riesselmann ↔ Daniel-Kofi Kyereh
VfL Osnabrück
🟨
68'
Nicolai Rapp
Dynamo Dresden
🔄
69'
Vincent Vermeij ↔ Christoph Daferner
Dynamo Dresden
🟨
72'
Jonas Sterner
Dynamo Dresden
🟨
75'
Robin Fabinski
VfL Osnabrück
🟨
81'
Patrice Čović
Dynamo Dresden
🟨
82'
Simon Straudi
Dynamo Dresden
🔄
82'
Niklas Hauptmann ↔ Jakob Lemmer
Dynamo Dresden
🔄
82'
Bjarke Jacobsen ↔ Luca Raimund
VfL Osnabrück
🟨
84'
Konrad Faber
VfL Osnabrück
⚽
87'
Robin Fabinski · Assist: Konrad Faber
VfL Osnabrück
🔄
87'
Patrice Čović ↔ Kennedy Okpala
Dynamo Dresden
🔄
87'
Simon Straudi ↔ Alexander Rossipal
Dynamo Dresden
🔄
87'
Ben Bobzien ↔ Ahmet Muhamedbegovic
Dynamo Dresden
🟨
90+1'
Leon Maximilian Flach
VfL Osnabrück
🟨
90+1'
Adrian Beck
VfL Osnabrück

VfL Osnabrück vs Dynamo Dresden Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 63.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
63.4%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
82.5%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
VfL Osnabrück Win 36.6%
Draw 24.3%
Dynamo Dresden Win 39.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
VfL Osnabrück1.76
Dynamo Dresden2.4
Recent Form (Last 5)
VfL Osnabrück VfL Osnabrück
WWDLW
32 GF / 31 GA
Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden
WLDWL
39 GF / 22 GA
Key Stats
1.88
Average Goals Scored
2.79
1.82
Average Goals Conceded
1.57
8
BTTS Yes
8
10
Over 2.5
12
5
Shots on Goal
4.33

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

VfL Osnabrück VfL Osnabrück 17 matches
Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 14 matches
VfL Osnabrück Statistic Dynamo Dresden
6 Wins 7
2 Draws 1
9 Losses 6
32 Goals For 39
31 Goals Against 22
1.88 Avg Goals Scored 2.79
1.82 Avg Goals Conceded 1.57
8 BTTS Yes 8
14 Over 1.5 13
10 Over 2.5 12
8 Over 3.5 6
3 Clean Sheets 4
6 Failed To Score 2
5 Shots On Goal 4.33
14.33 Total Shots 12.67
3.33 Corners 6.67
41.8% Ball Possession 55%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Dynamo Dresden arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Dynamo Dresden. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with VfL Osnabrück expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Dynamo Dresden in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Dynamo Dresden having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

VfL Osnabrück Analysis

From their first 6 matches, VfL Osnabrück have collected 7 points and now occupy 11 place in the table. The record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 9:12 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through R. Meißner (2 goals), N. Wiemann (1 goals), B. Jacobsen (1 goals), with creative support from K. Faber (2 assists), L. Münst (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Dynamo Dresden Analysis

Dynamo Dresden approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 17 with 4 points from 6 matches. The overall return of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 4 defeats with a 8:14 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on B. Bobzien (1 goals), N. Rapp (1 goals), J. Sterner (1 goals), with creative support from V. Vermeij (2 assists), A. Rossipal (1 assists), N. Hauptmann (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, VfL Osnabrück won 2 times, Dynamo Dresden won 6 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:18 from VfL Osnabrück's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (75.7%)
Predicted formations: VfL Osnabrück 3-4-2-1 / Dynamo Dresden 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: VfL Osnabrück wins 2, draws 2, Dynamo Dresden wins 6

Standings

2. Bundesliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 7 1 0 19:8 11 22
D W W W W
2 8 5 3 0 21:11 10 18
D D W W D
3 8 4 3 1 22:13 9 15
W D W L D
4 8 4 3 1 8:4 4 15
W D W L W
5 8 4 2 2 15:15 0 14
L D D W W
6 8 4 1 3 14:11 3 13
L W D W L
7 8 2 5 1 11:9 2 11
D W D W D
8 8 3 2 3 13:13 0 11
W W D L D
9 8 2 3 3 16:17 -1 9
D L D W D
10 8 2 3 3 12:13 -1 9
W L D D L
11 8 2 2 4 11:15 -4 8
W D L D L
12 8 2 2 4 11:15 -4 8
L D D L W
13 8 2 2 4 10:14 -4 8
W L L L D
14 8 2 2 4 8:13 -5 8
D L W L D
15 8 2 1 5 13:15 -2 7
L W L D L
16 8 2 1 5 5:9 -4 7
L L L D W
17 8 2 1 5 8:18 -10 7
L W L W L
18 8 0 5 3 7:11 -4 5
D L D L D
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