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23.10.2026 18:30
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VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 77.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
77.9%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
58.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
VfB Stuttgart Win 77.9%
Draw 4.4%
Borussia Mönchengladbach Win 17.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
VfB Stuttgart2.54
Borussia Mönchengladbach2.03
Recent Form (Last 5)
VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart
WWDLW
50 GF / 18 GA
Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Mönchengladbach
WLDWL
40 GF / 29 GA
Key Stats
2.94
Average Goals Scored
2.67
1.06
Average Goals Conceded
1.93
8
BTTS Yes
9
13
Over 2.5
14
5.75
Shots on Goal
4.8

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 17 matches
Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Mönchengladbach 15 matches
VfB Stuttgart Statistic Borussia Mönchengladbach
11 Wins 7
1 Draws 2
5 Losses 6
50 Goals For 40
18 Goals Against 29
2.94 Avg Goals Scored 2.67
1.06 Avg Goals Conceded 1.93
8 BTTS Yes 9
14 Over 1.5 15
13 Over 2.5 14
10 Over 3.5 8
6 Clean Sheets 3
3 Failed To Score 3
5.75 Shots On Goal 4.8
17 Total Shots 16.4
6.38 Corners 6.6
56.5% Ball Possession 48.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. VfB Stuttgart arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 11 with 6 points compared to Borussia Mönchengladbach in 18 on 0, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with VfB Stuttgart expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Borussia Mönchengladbach in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Borussia Mönchengladbach having the stronger overall control. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Borussia Mönchengladbach. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

VfB Stuttgart Analysis

VfB Stuttgart sit 11 with 6 points after 5 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 defeats with a 8:9 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on J. Vagnoman (2 goals), M. Mittelstädt (1 goals), J. Chabot (1 goals), with creative support from A. Stiller (2 assists), J. Vagnoman (1 assists), M. Mittelstädt (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 1 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Borussia Mönchengladbach Analysis

With 0 points from 5 games and a place of 18, Borussia Mönchengladbach still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 0 wins, 0 draws, and 5 defeats with a 7:18 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on H. Bolin (2 goals), J. Scally (2 goals), I. Lidberg (1 goals), with creative support from L. Ullrich (2 assists), F. Honorat (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, VfB Stuttgart won 8 times, Borussia Mönchengladbach won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 26:18 from VfB Stuttgart's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.14 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.6%)
Predicted formations: VfB Stuttgart 4-2-3-1 / Borussia Mönchengladbach 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: VfB Stuttgart wins 8, draws 2, Borussia Mönchengladbach wins 4

Standings

Bundesliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 5 4 1 0 14:4 10 13
W D W W W
2 5 4 1 0 11:4 7 13
D W W W W
3 5 3 2 0 16:4 12 11
D W W D W
4 5 3 1 1 14:8 6 10
W W D W L
5 5 3 0 2 15:5 10 9
W L W L W
6 5 2 2 1 13:8 5 8
D L D W W
7 5 2 2 1 10:10 0 8
D W D W L
8 6 2 2 2 10:16 -6 8
W L D W L
9 5 2 1 2 13:10 3 7
L W L W D
10 5 2 1 2 8:8 0 7
L D L W W
11 6 2 1 3 8:11 -3 7
L W L D L
12 5 2 0 3 8:9 -1 6
W L L W L
13 5 2 0 3 5:15 -10 6
W W L L L
14 5 1 2 2 4:6 -2 5
L D W D L
15 5 1 1 3 3:7 -4 4
L W L L D
16 5 1 1 3 5:17 -12 4
W L L L D
17 5 1 0 4 9:13 -4 3
L L W L L
18 5 0 0 5 7:18 -11 0
L L L L L
Champions League league stage
Europa League league stage
Qualifying
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation