GERMANY BUNDESLIGA
04.09.2026 18:30
MHPArena
Referee: Christian Dingert, Germany
VfB Stuttgart
Match Timeline
1. FC Köln
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
39'
B. El Khannouss · Assist: J. Vagnoman
VfB Stuttgart
🟨
41'
Jahmai Simpson-Pusey
1. FC Köln
🔄
46'
P. Okon-Engstler ↔ E. Skhiri
1. FC Köln
🔄
46'
J. Thielmann ↔ M. Moore
1. FC Köln
🟨
51'
Maximilian Mittelstädt
VfB Stuttgart
60'
G. Promel · Assist: M. Mittelstadt
VfB Stuttgart
🔄
70'
D. Undav ↔ E. Demirovic
VfB Stuttgart
🔄
70'
C. Fuhrich ↔ J. Leweling
VfB Stuttgart
🔄
75'
L. Maina ↔ R. Heskey
1. FC Köln
🔄
75'
R. Ache ↔ M. Bulter
1. FC Köln
75'
E. Demirovic · Assist: F. Jeltsch
VfB Stuttgart
🔄
78'
M. Mittelstadt ↔ R. Hendriks
VfB Stuttgart
🔄
78'
B. El Khannouss ↔ L. Sauer
VfB Stuttgart
81'
R. Hendriks
1. FC Köln
🟨
85'
Tom Krauß
1. FC Köln
🟨
86'
Alessio Castro-Montes
1. FC Köln
🔄
90+2'
A. Stiller ↔ Y. Spalt
VfB Stuttgart
🔄
90'
T. Krauss ↔ I. Rondic
1. FC Köln
90'
J. Vagnoman
VfB Stuttgart

VfB Stuttgart vs 1. FC Köln Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 60.4%
Odds 1.49
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds 1.44
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 87%
Odds 1.37
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
60.4%
1.49
BTTS Yes
82.5%
1.44
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
87%
1.37
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.15
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.20
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00
Probability Distribution
VfB Stuttgart Win 60.4%
Draw 6.8%
1. FC Köln Win 32.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
VfB Stuttgart2.66
1. FC Köln2.64
Recent Form (Last 5)
VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart
WWDLW
29 GF / 12 GA
1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln
WLDWL
17 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
3.63
Average Goals Scored
3.4
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
1.2
5
BTTS Yes
4
7
Over 2.5
5
4
Shots on Goal
6

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 8 matches
1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln 5 matches
VfB Stuttgart Statistic 1. FC Köln
5 Wins 4
1 Draws 1
2 Losses 0
29 Goals For 17
12 Goals Against 6
3.63 Avg Goals Scored 3.4
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 1.2
5 BTTS Yes 4
7 Over 1.5 5
7 Over 2.5 5
7 Over 3.5 3
2 Clean Sheets 1
1 Failed To Score 0
4 Shots On Goal 6
11 Total Shots 18
3 Corners 6
41% Ball Possession 41%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, VfB Stuttgart won 10 times, 1. FC Köln won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 27:14 from VfB Stuttgart's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.2%)
Predicted formations: VfB Stuttgart 3-4-2-1 / 1. FC Köln 4-3-3
Missing players: VfB Stuttgart 6, 1. FC Köln 3
H2H summary: VfB Stuttgart wins 10, draws 3, 1. FC Köln wins 2

Standings

Bundesliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 4 4 0 0 9:2 7 12
W W W W
2 4 3 1 0 14:2 12 10
W W D W
3 4 3 1 0 12:3 9 10
D W W W
4 4 2 1 1 11:6 5 7
L D W W
5 4 2 1 1 10:6 4 7
W L W D
6 4 2 1 1 8:8 0 7
W D W L
7 3 2 0 1 9:3 6 6
W L W
8 3 2 0 1 8:7 1 6
L W W
9 4 1 2 1 9:10 -1 5
D W L D
10 3 1 1 1 8:5 3 4
D W L
11 3 1 1 1 3:4 -1 4
W D L
12 4 1 1 2 6:9 -3 4
L D L W
13 3 1 0 2 6:7 -1 3
W L L
14 4 1 0 3 6:9 -3 3
L L W L
15 4 1 0 3 2:13 -11 3
W L L L
16 3 0 1 2 0:4 -4 1
L L D
17 4 0 1 3 4:17 -13 1
L L L D
18 4 0 0 4 6:16 -10 0
L L L L
Champions League league stage
Europa League league stage
Qualifying
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation