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04.09.2026 18:30
MHPArena
Referee: C. Dingert
VfB Stuttgart
Match Timeline
1. FC Köln
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
39'
Bilal El Khannouss · Assist: Josha Vagnoman
VfB Stuttgart
🟨
41'
Jahmai Simpson-Pusey
1. FC Köln
🔄
46'
Jan Uwe Thielmann ↔ Mikey Moore
1. FC Köln
🔄
46'
Paul Okon-Engstler ↔ Ellyes Skhiri
1. FC Köln
🟨
51'
Maximilian Mittelstädt
VfB Stuttgart
⚽
60'
Grischa Prömel · Assist: Maximilian Mittelstädt
VfB Stuttgart
🔄
70'
Deniz Undav ↔ Ermedin Demirović
VfB Stuttgart
🔄
70'
Chris Führich ↔ Jamie Leweling
VfB Stuttgart
⚽
75'
Ermedin Demirović · Assist: Finn Jeltsch
VfB Stuttgart
🔄
75'
Linton Maina ↔ Reigan Heskey
1. FC Köln
🔄
75'
Ragnar Ache ↔ Marius Bülter
1. FC Köln
🔄
78'
Maximilian Mittelstädt ↔ Ramon Hendriks
VfB Stuttgart
🔄
78'
Bilal El Khannouss ↔ Leo Sauer
VfB Stuttgart
⚽
81'
Marius Bülter
1. FC Köln
🟨
85'
Tom Krauß
1. FC Köln
🟨
86'
Alessio Castro-Montes
1. FC Köln
⚽
90'
Josha Vagnoman
VfB Stuttgart
🔄
90'
Angelo Stiller ↔ Yanik Spalt
VfB Stuttgart
🔄
90'
Tom Krauß ↔ Imad Rondić
1. FC Köln

VfB Stuttgart vs 1. FC Köln Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 60.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 87%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
60.4%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
82.5%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
87%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
VfB Stuttgart Win 60.4%
Draw 6.8%
1. FC Köln Win 32.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
VfB Stuttgart2.66
1. FC Köln2.64
Recent Form (Last 5)
VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart
L L W D W
14 GF / 10 GA
1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln
W W D W W
17 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
3.63
Average Goals Scored
3.4
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
1.2
5
BTTS Yes
4
7
Over 2.5
5
4
Shots on Goal
6

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 8 matches
1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln 5 matches
VfB Stuttgart Statistic 1. FC Köln
5 Wins 4
1 Draws 1
2 Losses 0
29 Goals For 17
12 Goals Against 6
3.63 Avg Goals Scored 3.4
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 1.2
5 BTTS Yes 4
7 Over 1.5 5
7 Over 2.5 5
7 Over 3.5 3
2 Clean Sheets 1
1 Failed To Score 0
4 Shots On Goal 6
11 Total Shots 18
3 Corners 6
41% Ball Possession 41%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, VfB Stuttgart won 10 times, 1. FC Köln won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 27:14 from VfB Stuttgart's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.2%)
Predicted formations: VfB Stuttgart 3-4-2-1 / 1. FC Köln 4-3-3
Missing players: VfB Stuttgart 6, 1. FC Köln 3
H2H summary: VfB Stuttgart wins 10, draws 3, 1. FC Köln wins 2

Standings

Bundesliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 6 3 0 29:9 20 21
W D W W D
2 9 6 3 0 16:7 9 21
W D W D D
3 9 6 0 3 27:13 14 18
W W W L W
4 8 5 1 2 18:10 8 16
W L L W D
5 9 4 3 2 17:15 2 15
L W W D D
6 8 4 1 3 18:16 2 13
L L W W W
7 9 4 1 4 17:18 -1 13
L W L W L
8 9 4 0 5 15:15 0 12
W W L L W
9 9 3 3 3 15:20 -5 12
D W L W L
10 9 4 0 5 10:20 -10 12
W L L W W
11 9 3 1 5 18:19 -1 10
L L L W L
12 9 2 4 3 8:11 -3 10
D D W D L
13 9 2 3 4 20:20 0 9
L L D L D
14 8 3 0 5 14:16 -2 9
L W W L L
15 8 2 3 3 9:12 -3 9
D D L W L
16 8 1 4 3 7:19 -12 7
D D D W L
17 8 1 3 4 4:9 -5 6
L D L L D
18 9 1 1 7 12:25 -13 4
L D W L L
Champions League league stage
Europa League league stage
Qualifying
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation