ICELAND 1. DEILD
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Kerecis Stadium - artificial grass

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 85.7%
Odds 1.20
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds 1.57
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 61.1%
Odds 1.52
1 agree / 0 disagree
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
85.7%
1.20
BTTS Yes
67.1%
1.57
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
61.1%
1.52
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.04
HT / FT Home / Home
-
7.00
Correct Score 2-1
-
15.00
Probability Distribution
Vestri Win 42.4%
Draw 14.3%
Fylkir Win 43.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Vestri1.51
Fylkir1.81
Recent Form (Last 5)
Vestri Vestri
WWDLW
22 GF / 23 GA
Fylkir Fylkir
WLDWL
23 GF / 17 GA
Key Stats
1.57
Average Goals Scored
1.92
1.64
Average Goals Conceded
1.42
7
BTTS Yes
5
7
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Vestri Vestri 14 matches
Fylkir Fylkir 12 matches
Vestri Statistic Fylkir
6 Wins 8
3 Draws 0
5 Losses 4
22 Goals For 23
23 Goals Against 17
1.57 Avg Goals Scored 1.92
1.64 Avg Goals Conceded 1.42
7 BTTS Yes 5
11 Over 1.5 10
7 Over 2.5 7
4 Over 3.5 4
3 Clean Sheets 5
5 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Fylkir having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Fylkir. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Vestri Analysis

Vestri come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 4 with 21 points from 13 matches. The record of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 22:20 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Fylkir Analysis

Fylkir approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 24 points after 12 outings. With 8 wins, 0 draws, and 4 defeats plus a goal balance of 23:17, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have managed 4 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Vestri won 0 times, Fylkir won 5 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:14 from Vestri's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.83 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.7%)
H2H summary: Vestri wins 0, draws 1, Fylkir wins 5
Last matches: Vestri
09.07.26
UEF
Vestri
Qarabag
0
3
L
04.07.26
1.
Vestri
Grindavik
0
0
D
27.06.26
1.
Vestri
Throttur Reykjavik
1
1
D
21.06.26
1.
Vestri
Afturelding
2
0
W
17.06.26
1.
Vestri
Ægir
3
2
W
13.06.26
1.
Vestri
Leiknir R.
0
1
L
06.06.26
1.
Vestri
Völsungur
5
1
W
31.05.26
1.
Vestri
IR Reykjavik
1
0
W
27.05.26
1.
Vestri
Njardvik
0
3
L
23.05.26
1.
Vestri
Grotta
3
5
L
17.05.26
1.
Vestri
Ægir
2
1
W
09.05.26
1.
Vestri
HK Kopavogur
4
3
W
04.05.26
1.
Vestri
Fylkir
0
2
L
25.04.26
1.
Vestri
Grindavik
1
1
D
Last matches: Fylkir
03.07.26
1.
Fylkir
Ægir
4
2
W
26.06.26
1.
Fylkir
HK Kopavogur
0
2
L
21.06.26
1.
Fylkir
Grotta
5
2
W
17.06.26
1.
Fylkir
Grindavik
1
0
W
06.06.26
1.
Fylkir
Throttur Reykjavik
1
3
L
31.05.26
1.
Fylkir
Afturelding
1
5
L
27.05.26
1.
Fylkir
Leiknir R.
3
0
W
23.05.26
1.
Fylkir
Völsungur
1
0
W
18.05.26
1.
Fylkir
IR Reykjavik
2
1
W
08.05.26
1.
Fylkir
Njardvik
0
2
L
04.05.26
1.
Fylkir
Vestri
2
0
W
24.04.26
1.
Fylkir
Ægir
3
0
W
H2H: Vestri vs Fylkir
04.05.26
H2H
Fylkir
Vestri
2
0
L
26.10.24
H2H
Vestri
Fylkir
1
3
L
01.09.24
H2H
Vestri
Fylkir
0
0
D
18.06.24
H2H
Fylkir
Vestri
3
2
L
13.08.22
H2H
Vestri
Fylkir
0
1
L
04.06.22
H2H
Fylkir
Vestri
5
0
L
Last matches: Vestri
21.06.26
1.
Vestri
Afturelding
2
0
W
17.06.26
1.
Vestri
Ægir
3
2
W
06.06.26
1.
Vestri
Völsungur
5
1
W
27.05.26
1.
Vestri
Njardvik
0
3
L
09.05.26
1.
Vestri
HK Kopavogur
4
3
W
25.04.26
1.
Vestri
Grindavik
1
1
D
H2H at home: Vestri
26.10.24
H2H
Vestri
Fylkir
1
3
L
01.09.24
H2H
Vestri
Fylkir
0
0
D
13.08.22
H2H
Vestri
Fylkir
0
1
L
Last matches: Fylkir
03.07.26
1.
Fylkir
Ægir
4
2
W
21.06.26
1.
Fylkir
Grotta
5
2
W
17.06.26
1.
Fylkir
Grindavik
1
0
W
31.05.26
1.
Fylkir
Afturelding
1
5
L
23.05.26
1.
Fylkir
Völsungur
1
0
W
08.05.26
1.
Fylkir
Njardvik
0
2
L
H2H away: Fylkir
26.10.24
H2H
Vestri
Fylkir
1
3
W
01.09.24
H2H
Vestri
Fylkir
0
0
D
13.08.22
H2H
Vestri
Fylkir
0
1
W
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 1.68
Draw 4.00
Home 4.31
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.13
Draw 2.52
Home 4.46
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 2.25 1.37
Over 2.5 1.52
Over 2.75 1.65
Over 3.0 1.84
Over 3.25 2.07
Over 3.5 2.29
Over 3.75 2.65
Under 2.25 2.95
Under 2.5 2.44
Under 2.75 2.21
Under 3.0 1.96
Under 3.25 1.73
Under 3.5 1.58
Under 3.75 1.44
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 1.65
Draw 3.75
Home 4.20
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.10
Draw 2.40
Home 4.33
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.00
Draw 2.75
Home 4.00
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.00
Over 1.5 1.17
Over 2.5 1.57
Over 3.5 2.25
Over 4.5 4.00
Over 5.5 7.00
Over 6.5 10.50
Over 7.5 17.00
Over 8.5 21.00
Under 0.5 17.00
Under 1.5 4.50
Under 2.5 2.35
Under 3.5 1.57
Under 4.5 1.22
Under 5.5 1.08
Under 6.5 1.02
Under 7.5 1.00
Under 8.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 1.65
Draw 3.88
Home 4.22
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.17
Draw 2.35
Home 4.47
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 1.96
Draw 2.79
Home 4.14
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.02
Over 1.0 1.02
Over 1.25 1.06
Over 1.5 1.12
Over 1.75 1.15
Over 2.0 1.19
Over 2.25 1.35
Over 2.5 1.48
Over 2.75 1.62
Over 3.0 1.77
Over 3.25 2.02
Over 3.5 2.27
Over 3.75 2.59
Over 4.0 3.14
Over 4.25 3.44
Over 4.5 3.74
Over 4.75 4.61
Over 5.0 6.05
Over 5.25 6.40
Over 5.5 6.65
Over 6.5 10.50
Over 7.5 17.00
Over 8.5 21.00
Under 0.5 13.90
Under 1.0 10.50
Under 1.25 6.17
Under 1.5 4.65
Under 1.75 4.26
Under 2.0 3.82
Under 2.25 2.80
Under 2.5 2.33
Under 2.75 2.10
Under 3.0 1.85
Under 3.25 1.69
Under 3.5 1.55
Under 3.75 1.41
Under 4.0 1.27
Under 4.25 1.24
Under 4.5 1.19
Under 4.75 1.13
Under 5.0 1.06
Under 5.25 1.05
Under 5.5 1.05
Under 6.5 1.02
Under 7.5 1.00
Under 8.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 1.71
Draw 3.60
Home 3.95
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.23
Draw 2.38
Home 4.10
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.05
Draw 2.70
Home 3.85
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.17
Over 2.5 1.58
Over 3.5 2.48
Over 4.5 4.25
Under 1.5 4.00
Under 2.5 2.12
Under 3.5 1.44
Under 4.5 1.16

Standings

1. Deild
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 13 9 1 3 40:19 21 28
W W W W L
2 13 7 3 3 26:14 12 24
D L D W W
3 12 8 0 4 23:17 6 24
W L W W L
4 13 7 1 5 25:23 2 22
W L W D L
5 13 6 3 4 22:20 2 21
D D W W L
6 13 6 2 5 19:15 4 20
W W L W L
7 13 5 4 4 17:16 1 19
L D W L W
8 12 6 1 5 22:25 -3 19
W W D L L
9 13 3 3 7 24:31 -7 12
D L L D W
10 12 1 7 4 13:17 -4 10
L D D D L
11 13 1 5 7 17:33 -16 8
L D D D W
12 14 2 2 10 18:36 -18 8
L L L D L
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