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FRANCE › LIGUE 3
03.10.2026 18:45
Versailles
Match Timeline
Valenciennes
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
20'
A. Barry
Versailles
🟨
28'
V. Marcel
Valenciennes
🟨
33'
T. Marechal
Valenciennes
⚽
34'
A. Barry
Versailles
🟨
41'
A. Etien
Versailles
🟨
55'
S. Cara
Versailles
🟨
61'
D. Abu
Valenciennes
🔄
62'
T. Marechal ↔ L. Boiteau
Valenciennes
🔄
69'
A. Etien ↔ I. Aouad
Versailles
🔄
70'
S. Cara ↔ K. Rocha Santos
Versailles
🟨
71'
I. Aouad
Versailles
🔄
77'
V. Marcel ↔ I. Tounkara
Valenciennes
🔄
77'
D. Abu ↔ G. Courtet
Valenciennes
🟨
82'
C. Rocchia
Valenciennes
🔄
84'
R. Ekra ↔ D. Linyon
Valenciennes
🔄
86'
C. Rocchia ↔ A. Meite
Valenciennes
🔄
90+1'
S. Guillaume ↔ J. Kalai
Versailles

Versailles vs Valenciennes Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 64.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
64.4%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
75%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Versailles Win 64.4%
Draw 6.1%
Valenciennes Win 29.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Versailles1.37
Valenciennes1.51
Recent Form (Last 5)
Versailles Versailles
WWDLW
17 GF / 17 GA
Valenciennes Valenciennes
WLDWL
22 GF / 18 GA
Key Stats
1.42
Average Goals Scored
1.57
1.42
Average Goals Conceded
1.29
6
BTTS Yes
8
8
Over 2.5
8
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Versailles Versailles 12 matches
Valenciennes Valenciennes 14 matches
Versailles Statistic Valenciennes
6 Wins 5
2 Draws 5
4 Losses 4
17 Goals For 22
17 Goals Against 18
1.42 Avg Goals Scored 1.57
1.42 Avg Goals Conceded 1.29
6 BTTS Yes 8
9 Over 1.5 13
8 Over 2.5 8
4 Over 3.5 3
4 Clean Sheets 5
3 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Valenciennes having the stronger overall control. Valenciennes arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Versailles arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 8 with 10 points compared to Valenciennes in 15 on 5, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Valenciennes. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Versailles Analysis

Versailles are currently 8 in the standings with 10 points from 7 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 3 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, while the 10:11 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Valenciennes Analysis

Valenciennes sit 15 with 5 points after 7 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, together with goals at 7:12, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Versailles won 0 times, Valenciennes won 1 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:3 from Versailles's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 1.25 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.9%)
H2H summary: Versailles wins 0, draws 3, Valenciennes wins 1

Standings

National
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 3 1 16:10 6 21
L W W W D
2 9 6 2 1 17:5 12 20
W L W W D
3 10 6 0 4 19:13 6 18
W L W L W
4 9 4 4 1 12:8 4 16
W D W W D
5 9 5 1 3 13:12 1 16
W W D W L
6 9 4 3 2 12:3 9 15
W D W D W
7 9 3 6 0 11:4 7 15
W D D D W
8 9 4 1 4 11:9 2 13
W L W L D
9 9 3 3 3 14:14 0 12
L L D L D
10 9 3 3 3 15:12 3 12
W L D W W
11 9 3 3 3 7:9 -2 12
L W D L D
12 9 3 2 4 7:11 -4 11
D L D W L
13 9 2 4 3 8:12 -4 10
L D D W D
14 9 2 3 4 7:11 -4 9
D D L L D
15 9 2 2 5 9:14 -5 8
L W L L D
16 9 2 1 6 6:12 -6 7
L W L L D
17 9 1 2 6 5:15 -10 5
L D D L L
18 9 1 1 7 7:22 -15 4
L L L D L
Promotion - Ligue 2
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Promotion)
Relegation