BOSNIA PREMIJER LIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Stadion Rodjeni
Referee: N. Aleksic
Velež
Match Timeline
Rudar Prijedor
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
16'
M. Ritzmaier · Assist: A. Roncal
Rudar Prijedor
17'
A. Roncal
Rudar Prijedor
🟨
20'
D. Salcin
Velež
27'
A. Omerovic · Assist: R. Abdullah
Velež
29'
S. Pidro
Velež
🟨
33'
F. Ferreiroa
Rudar Prijedor
35'
V. Djuric · Assist: D. Salcin
Velež
🟨
45+4'
S. Pidro
Velež
🔄
46'
R. Corral ↔ T. Ramic
Rudar Prijedor
🔄
52'
R. Abdullah ↔ N. Stojanovic
Velež
🟨
56'
A. Bajric
Velež
🟨
56'
D. Salcin
Velež
🟥
56'
D. Salcin
Velež
🟨
56'
A. Roncal
Rudar Prijedor
🔄
59'
A. Spahic ↔ A. Milak
Velež
🔄
71'
M. Ritzmaier ↔ D. Gvasalia
Rudar Prijedor
🟨
76'
A. Nukic
Velež
🔄
79'
I. Saric ↔ S. Duranovic
Velež
🔄
79'
V. Djuric ↔ D. Halilovic
Velež
🔄
79'
A. Nukic ↔ A. Mesic
Velež
🔄
82'
V. Grbic ↔ N. Keranovic
Rudar Prijedor
84'
N. Stojanovic · Assist: A. Milak
Velež
🔄
86'
A. Mohedano ↔ J. Bolivar
Rudar Prijedor
🔄
86'
A. Roncal ↔ A. Mrdja
Rudar Prijedor
🟨
90+3'
D. Halilovic
Velež

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 79.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 35.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 39.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
79.9%
-
BTTS BTTS No
35.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
39.8%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Velež Win 79.9%
Draw 0%
Rudar Prijedor Win 20.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Velež1.13
Rudar Prijedor0.82
Recent Form (Last 5)
Velež Velež
WWDLW
30 GF / 27 GA
Rudar Prijedor Rudar Prijedor
WLDWL
27 GF / 48 GA
Key Stats
0.91
Average Goals Scored
0.82
0.82
Average Goals Conceded
1.45
11
BTTS Yes
14
10
Over 2.5
13
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Velež Velež 33 matches
Rudar Prijedor Rudar Prijedor 33 matches
Velež Statistic Rudar Prijedor
13 Wins 7
9 Draws 8
11 Losses 18
30 Goals For 27
27 Goals Against 48
0.91 Avg Goals Scored 0.82
0.82 Avg Goals Conceded 1.45
11 BTTS Yes 14
15 Over 1.5 20
10 Over 2.5 13
4 Over 3.5 7
13 Clean Sheets 7
14 Failed To Score 15
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Velež's more proactive style and Rudar Prijedor's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Rudar Prijedor. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Rudar Prijedor having the stronger overall control. Velež arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 4 with 48 points compared to Rudar Prijedor in 9 on 29, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Rudar Prijedor arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Velež Analysis

Placed 4 with 48 points from 33 outings, Velež continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 13 wins, 9 draws, and 11 losses with goals at 30:27 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by I. Saric (6 goals), A. Mesic (3 goals), A. Spahic (3 goals), with creative support from D. Salcin (2 assists), B. Serbecic (2 assists), A. Nukic (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, they have returned 8 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Rudar Prijedor Analysis

Rudar Prijedor approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 9 with 29 points from 33 matches. The overall return of 7 wins, 8 draws, and 18 defeats with a 27:48 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on D. Romera (7 goals), A. Mohedano (5 goals), A. Roncal (3 goals), with creative support from M. Ritzmaier (3 assists), D. Romera (2 assists), V. Grbic (2 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 5 draws, and 9 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Velež won 5 times, Rudar Prijedor won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:8 from Velež's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
H2H summary: Velež wins 5, draws 1, Rudar Prijedor wins 1

Lineups

Velež
Formation
Rudar Prijedor
T. Karic
T. Karic
R. Abdullah
🎯
R. Abdullah
A. Spahic
A. Spahic
I. Saric
I. Saric
A. Omerovic
A. Omerovic
S. Pidro
S. Pidro
V. Djuric
V. Djuric
D. Salcin
🎯
D. Salcin
A. Babic
A. Babic
A. Nukic
A. Nukic
A. Bajric
A. Bajric
M. Dubljanic
M. Dubljanic
R. Corral
R. Corral
F. Danese
F. Danese
D. Romera
D. Romera
A. Mohedano
A. Mohedano
F. Ferreiroa
F. Ferreiroa
M. Ritzmaier
M. Ritzmaier
C. Puentes
C. Puentes
Dani Molina
Dani Molina
A. Roncal
🎯
A. Roncal
V. Grbic
V. Grbic
Velež 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
T. Karic
6
R. Abdullah
🎯 27' ↓ 52'
9
A. Spahic
↓ 59'
11
I. Saric
↓ 79'
13
A. Omerovic
⚽ 27'
19
S. Pidro
⚽ 29' 🟨 45+4'
21
V. Djuric
⚽ 35' ↓ 79'
22
D. Salcin
🎯 35' 🟨 20' 🟨 56' 🟥 56'
29
A. Babic
44
A. Nukic
↓ 79' 🟨 76'
55
A. Bajric
🟨 56'
Substitutes
12
F. Ribic
5
B. Serbecic
17
A. Shhade
18
S. Duranovic
↑ 79'
20
D. Halilovic
↑ 79' 🟨 90+3'
23
K. Sturm
28
A. Mesic
↑ 79'
30
D. Dogan
47
A. Milak
🎯 84' ↑ 59'
80
N. Stojanovic
⚽ 84' ↑ 52'
88
L. Ignatov
Rudar Prijedor 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
99
M. Dubljanic
3
R. Corral
↓ 46'
6
F. Danese
7
D. Romera
8
A. Mohedano
↓ 86'
14
F. Ferreiroa
🟨 33'
17
M. Ritzmaier
⚽ 16' ↓ 71'
23
C. Puentes
27
Dani Molina
47
A. Roncal
⚽ 17' 🎯 16' ↓ 86' 🟨 56'
88
V. Grbic
↓ 82'
Substitutes
92
V. Zunic
5
N. Pekija
16
T. Ramic
↑ 46'
21
J. Bolivar
↑ 86'
31
J. Gutierrez
49
S. Marcetic
70
D. Gvasalia
↑ 71'
77
N. Keranovic
↑ 82'
91
A. Mrdja
↑ 86'
Last matches: Velež
26.05.26
Pre
Velež
Zrinjski
0
3
L
21.05.26
Pre
Velež
FK Sarajevo
2
3
L
09.05.26
Pre
Velež
Posušje
1
1
D
01.05.26
Pre
Velež
Radnik Bijeljina
1
0
W
25.04.26
Pre
Velež
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
0
0
D
21.04.26
Pre
Velež
Siroki Brijeg
3
0
W
18.04.26
Pre
Velež
Borac Banja Luka
2
2
D
11.04.26
Pre
Velež
Sloga Doboj
0
0
D
03.04.26
Pre
Velež
Zrinjski
0
1
L
22.03.26
Pre
Velež
FK Sarajevo
0
1
L
15.03.26
Pre
Velež
Rudar Prijedor
2
1
W
06.03.26
Pre
Velež
Posušje
1
0
W
28.02.26
Pre
Velež
Radnik Bijeljina
0
1
L
21.02.26
Pre
Velež
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
1
0
W
15.02.26
Pre
Velež
Siroki Brijeg
0
1
L
07.02.26
Pre
Velež
Borac Banja Luka
0
0
D
29.01.26
Fri
Velež
Posušje
2
0
W
17.01.26
Fri
Velež
Vukovar
2
1
W
14.01.26
Fri
Velež
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
2
1
W
11.01.26
Fri
Velež
SV Kapfenberg
2
0
W
Last matches: Rudar Prijedor
26.05.26
Pre
Rudar Prijedor
Sloga Doboj
0
1
L
22.05.26
Pre
Rudar Prijedor
Zrinjski
2
2
D
09.05.26
Pre
Rudar Prijedor
FK Sarajevo
2
4
L
02.05.26
Pre
Rudar Prijedor
Posušje
3
2
W
25.04.26
Pre
Rudar Prijedor
Radnik Bijeljina
0
1
L
21.04.26
Pre
Rudar Prijedor
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
0
1
L
17.04.26
Pre
Rudar Prijedor
Siroki Brijeg
1
0
W
10.04.26
Pre
Rudar Prijedor
Borac Banja Luka
0
2
L
03.04.26
Pre
Rudar Prijedor
Sloga Doboj
3
1
W
22.03.26
Pre
Rudar Prijedor
Zrinjski
0
1
L
15.03.26
Pre
Rudar Prijedor
Velež
1
2
L
07.03.26
Pre
Rudar Prijedor
FK Sarajevo
2
2
D
01.03.26
Pre
Rudar Prijedor
Posušje
0
1
L
21.02.26
Pre
Rudar Prijedor
Radnik Bijeljina
0
0
D
16.02.26
Pre
Rudar Prijedor
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
3
0
W
06.02.26
Pre
Rudar Prijedor
Siroki Brijeg
1
2
L
24.01.26
Fri
Rudar Prijedor
Koper
2
3
L
21.01.26
Fri
Rudar Prijedor
Dekani
1
0
W
14.12.25
Pre
Rudar Prijedor
Borac Banja Luka
0
3
L
08.12.25
Pre
Rudar Prijedor
Sloga Doboj
1
1
D
H2H: Velež vs Rudar Prijedor
16.05.26
H2H
Velež
Rudar Prijedor
4
2
W
15.03.26
H2H
Rudar Prijedor
Velež
1
2
W
29.11.25
H2H
Velež
Rudar Prijedor
1
0
W
13.09.25
H2H
Rudar Prijedor
Velež
1
3
W
06.05.22
H2H
Velež
Rudar Prijedor
1
0
W
23.10.21
H2H
Rudar Prijedor
Velež
2
2
D
02.08.21
H2H
Velež
Rudar Prijedor
0
2
L
Last matches: Velež
21.05.26
Pre
Velež
FK Sarajevo
2
3
L
01.05.26
Pre
Velež
Radnik Bijeljina
1
0
W
21.04.26
Pre
Velež
Siroki Brijeg
3
0
W
11.04.26
Pre
Velež
Sloga Doboj
0
0
D
03.04.26
Pre
Velež
Zrinjski
0
1
L
06.03.26
Pre
Velež
Posušje
1
0
W
21.02.26
Pre
Velež
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
1
0
W
07.02.26
Pre
Velež
Borac Banja Luka
0
0
D
11.01.26
Fri
Velež
SV Kapfenberg
2
0
W
08.01.26
Fri
Velež
Odra Opole
1
2
L
02.12.25
Pre
Velež
FK Sarajevo
0
0
D
29.11.25
Pre
Velež
Rudar Prijedor
1
0
W
09.11.25
Pre
Velež
Radnik Bijeljina
1
0
W
25.10.25
Pre
Velež
Siroki Brijeg
1
0
W
04.10.25
Pre
Velež
Sloga Doboj
2
0
W
27.09.25
Pre
Velež
Zrinjski
1
3
L
30.08.25
Pre
Velež
Posušje
0
1
L
15.08.25
Pre
Velež
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
0
1
L
03.08.25
Pre
Velež
Borac Banja Luka
1
1
D
H2H at home: Velež
16.05.26
H2H
Velež
Rudar Prijedor
4
2
W
29.11.25
H2H
Velež
Rudar Prijedor
1
0
W
06.05.22
H2H
Velež
Rudar Prijedor
1
0
W
02.08.21
H2H
Velež
Rudar Prijedor
0
2
L
Last matches: Rudar Prijedor
26.05.26
Pre
Rudar Prijedor
Sloga Doboj
0
1
L
25.04.26
Pre
Rudar Prijedor
Radnik Bijeljina
0
1
L
17.04.26
Pre
Rudar Prijedor
Siroki Brijeg
1
0
W
22.03.26
Pre
Rudar Prijedor
Zrinjski
0
1
L
07.03.26
Pre
Rudar Prijedor
FK Sarajevo
2
2
D
01.03.26
Pre
Rudar Prijedor
Posušje
0
1
L
16.02.26
Pre
Rudar Prijedor
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
3
0
W
14.12.25
Pre
Rudar Prijedor
Borac Banja Luka
0
3
L
08.12.25
Pre
Rudar Prijedor
Sloga Doboj
1
1
D
29.11.25
Pre
Rudar Prijedor
Velež
0
1
L
31.10.25
Pre
Rudar Prijedor
Radnik Bijeljina
1
2
L
19.10.25
Pre
Rudar Prijedor
Siroki Brijeg
0
1
L
21.09.25
Pre
Rudar Prijedor
Zrinjski
0
0
D
29.08.25
Pre
Rudar Prijedor
FK Sarajevo
0
1
L
22.08.25
Pre
Rudar Prijedor
Posušje
0
0
D
09.08.25
Pre
Rudar Prijedor
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
1
1
D
27.07.25
Pre
Rudar Prijedor
Borac Banja Luka
0
6
L
H2H away: Rudar Prijedor
16.05.26
H2H
Velež
Rudar Prijedor
4
2
L
29.11.25
H2H
Velež
Rudar Prijedor
1
0
L
06.05.22
H2H
Velež
Rudar Prijedor
1
0
L
02.08.21
H2H
Velež
Rudar Prijedor
0
2
W

Standings

# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 36 27 5 4 76:20 56 86
W D W W W
2 36 21 8 7 48:25 23 71
W D D W W
3 36 19 8 9 54:37 17 65
W W D W L
4 36 14 9 13 36:35 1 51
L L W D W
5 36 11 12 13 37:48 -11 45
W D D L L
6 36 10 12 14 34:37 -3 42
L D L W L
7 36 8 11 17 27:45 -18 35
L D D L L
8 36 8 10 18 21:46 -25 34
W W D L W
9 36 8 10 18 25:41 -16 34
L L D D L
10 36 7 9 20 31:55 -24 30
L D L L W