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09.07.2026 17:00
Stadion Rodjeni
Referee: I. Christodoulou
Velež
Match Timeline
Milsami Orhei
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
30'
W. Fonkeu
Milsami Orhei
🟨
39'
A. Angelov
Milsami Orhei
🔄
46'
A. Shhade ↔ M. Besic
Velež
🔄
46'
V. Luchita ↔ P. Odubia
Milsami Orhei
🟨
53'
A. Mesic
Velež
⚽
54'
P. Odubia · Assist: K. Kalabatama
Milsami Orhei
🔄
65'
A. Mesic ↔ L. Ignatov
Velež
🔄
67'
H. Asmelash ↔ S. Izountouemoi
Milsami Orhei
🟨
68'
R. Abdullah
Velež
🔄
74'
D. Muringen ↔ S. Chele
Milsami Orhei
🟨
76'
P. Odubia
Milsami Orhei
🟨
80'
A. Nukic
Velež
🔄
80'
N. Stojanovic ↔ D. Halilovic
Velež
🟨
84'
A. Hrkac
Velež
🔄
90+4'
A. Spahic ↔ A. Bajric
Velež
🔄
90+1'
Igor Souza ↔ L. Bulmaga
Milsami Orhei
⚽
90'
L. Ignatov · Assist: M. Besic
Velež

Velež vs Milsami Orhei Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 85.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
85.1%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
82.5%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Velež Win 85.1%
Draw 7.5%
Milsami Orhei Win 7.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Velež1.48
Milsami Orhei1.82
Recent Form (Last 5)
Velež Velež
W W W W L
9 GF / 4 GA
Milsami Orhei Milsami Orhei
W W
5 GF / 2 GA
Key Stats
1.8
Average Goals Scored
2.5
0.8
Average Goals Conceded
1
3
BTTS Yes
2
3
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Velež Velež 5 matches
Milsami Orhei Milsami Orhei 2 matches
Velež Statistic Milsami Orhei
4 Wins 2
0 Draws 0
1 Losses 0
9 Goals For 5
4 Goals Against 2
1.8 Avg Goals Scored 2.5
0.8 Avg Goals Conceded 1
3 BTTS Yes 2
5 Over 1.5 2
3 Over 2.5 2
0 Over 3.5 1
2 Clean Sheets 0
0 Failed To Score 0
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Velež won 1 times, Milsami Orhei won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:1 from Velež's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (92.5%)
Predicted formations: Velež 4-4-1-1 / Milsami Orhei 5-3-2
H2H summary: Velež wins 1, draws 1, Milsami Orhei wins 0

Standings

UEFA Conference League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 2 2 0 0 7:2 5 6
W W
2 2 2 0 0 8:4 4 6
W W
3 2 2 0 0 6:2 4 6
W W
4 2 2 0 0 6:2 4 6
W W
5 2 2 0 0 5:1 4 6
W W
6 2 2 0 0 5:1 4 6
W W
7 2 2 0 0 3:0 3 6
W W
8 2 2 0 0 3:1 2 6
W W
9 2 1 1 0 4:0 4 4
D W
10 2 1 1 0 5:2 3 4
D W
11 2 1 1 0 4:2 2 4
W D
12 2 1 1 0 3:1 2 4
D W
13 2 1 0 1 3:2 1 3
W L
14 2 1 0 1 3:2 1 3
W L
15 2 1 0 1 3:3 0 3
L W
16 2 1 0 1 2:3 -1 3
W L
17 2 1 0 1 1:2 -1 3
L W
18 2 1 0 1 3:5 -2 3
L W
19 2 0 2 0 3:3 0 2
D D
20 2 0 2 0 2:2 0 2
D D
21 2 0 2 0 2:2 0 2
D D
22 2 0 1 1 4:5 -1 1
D L
23 2 0 1 1 3:4 -1 1
D L
24 2 0 1 1 2:3 -1 1
D L
25 2 0 1 1 1:2 -1 1
L D
26 2 0 1 1 1:2 -1 1
D L
27 2 0 1 1 2:4 -2 1
D L
28 2 0 1 1 1:3 -2 1
L D
29 2 0 1 1 1:3 -2 1
D L
30 2 0 1 1 3:6 -3 1
L D
31 2 0 1 1 2:6 -4 1
L D
32 2 0 0 2 0:2 -2 0
L L
33 2 0 0 2 2:6 -4 0
L L
34 2 0 0 2 2:6 -4 0
L L
35 2 0 0 2 1:5 -4 0
L L
36 2 0 0 2 1:8 -7 0
L L
Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)