WORLD UEFA EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Stadion Rodjeni
Referee: I. Christodoulou
Velež
Match Timeline
Milsami Orhei
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
30'
W. Fonkeu
Milsami Orhei
🟨
39'
A. Angelov
Milsami Orhei
🔄
46'
A. Shhade ↔ M. Besic
Velež
🔄
46'
V. Luchita ↔ P. Odubia
Milsami Orhei
🟨
53'
A. Mesic
Velež
54'
P. Odubia · Assist: K. Kalabatama
Milsami Orhei
🔄
65'
A. Mesic ↔ L. Ignatov
Velež
🔄
67'
H. Asmelash ↔ S. Izountouemoi
Milsami Orhei
🟨
68'
R. Abdullah
Velež
🔄
74'
D. Muringen ↔ S. Chele
Milsami Orhei
🟨
76'
P. Odubia
Milsami Orhei
🟨
80'
A. Nukic
Velež
🔄
80'
N. Stojanovic ↔ D. Halilovic
Velež
🟨
84'
A. Hrkac
Velež
🔄
90+4'
A. Spahic ↔ A. Bajric
Velež
🔄
90+1'
Igor Souza ↔ L. Bulmaga
Milsami Orhei
90'
L. Ignatov · Assist: M. Besic
Velež

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 85.1%
Odds 1.79
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds 2.20
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds 2.32
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
85.1%
1.79
BTTS Yes
82.5%
2.20
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
2.32
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.88
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.50
Probability Distribution
Velež Win 85.1%
Draw 7.5%
Milsami Orhei Win 7.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Velež1.48
Milsami Orhei1.82
Recent Form (Last 5)
Velež Velež
WWDLW
9 GF / 4 GA
Milsami Orhei Milsami Orhei
WLDWL
5 GF / 2 GA
Key Stats
1.8
Average Goals Scored
2.5
0.8
Average Goals Conceded
1
3
BTTS Yes
2
3
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Velež Velež 5 matches
Milsami Orhei Milsami Orhei 2 matches
Velež Statistic Milsami Orhei
4 Wins 2
0 Draws 0
1 Losses 0
9 Goals For 5
4 Goals Against 2
1.8 Avg Goals Scored 2.5
0.8 Avg Goals Conceded 1
3 BTTS Yes 2
5 Over 1.5 2
3 Over 2.5 2
0 Over 3.5 1
2 Clean Sheets 0
0 Failed To Score 0
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Velež won 0 times, Milsami Orhei won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:1 from Velež's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (92.5%)
Predicted formations: Velež - / Milsami Orhei 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Velež wins 0, draws 1, Milsami Orhei wins 0

Lineups

Velež
Formation
Milsami Orhei
F. Ribic
F. Ribic
A. Hrkac
A. Hrkac
R. Abdullah
R. Abdullah
A. Omerovic
A. Omerovic
A. Nukic
A. Nukic
A. Babic
A. Babic
A. Shhade
A. Shhade
A. Mesic
A. Mesic
S. Duranovic
S. Duranovic
N. Stojanovic
N. Stojanovic
A. Spahic
A. Spahic
F. Dujmovic
F. Dujmovic
H. Asmelash
H. Asmelash
A. Angelov
A. Angelov
Decio Neto
Decio Neto
D. Muringen
D. Muringen
F. Takyi
F. Takyi
W. Fonkeu
W. Fonkeu
C. Nwaeze
C. Nwaeze
V. Luchita
V. Luchita
K. Kalabatama
🎯
K. Kalabatama
Igor Souza
Igor Souza
Velež 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
F. Ribic
8
A. Hrkac
🟨 84'
6
R. Abdullah
🟨 68'
13
A. Omerovic
7
A. Nukic
🟨 80'
29
A. Babic
17
A. Shhade
↓ 46'
11
A. Mesic
↓ 65' 🟨 53'
18
S. Duranovic
80
N. Stojanovic
↓ 80'
9
A. Spahic
↓ 90+4'
Substitutes
12
E. Mataradzic
10
D. Salcin
20
D. Halilovic
↑ 80'
21
A. Pajevic
45
K. Djuliman
55
A. Bajric
↑ 90+4'
66
F. Setic
83
M. Besic
🎯 90' ↑ 46'
88
L. Ignatov
⚽ 90' ↑ 65'
Milsami Orhei 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
31
F. Dujmovic
29
H. Asmelash
↓ 67'
4
A. Angelov
🟨 39'
34
Decio Neto
24
D. Muringen
↓ 74'
30
F. Takyi
33
W. Fonkeu
🟨 30'
5
C. Nwaeze
13
V. Luchita
↓ 46'
28
K. Kalabatama
🎯 54'
20
Igor Souza
↓ 90+1'
Substitutes
35
D. Vornic
7
C. Silcenco
9
K. Dudziak
10
R. Ginsari
11
S. Chele
↑ 74'
14
P. Odubia
⚽ 54' ↑ 46' 🟨 76'
17
L. Bulmaga
↑ 90+1'
21
S. Izountouemoi
↑ 67'
Last matches: Velež
26.05.26
Pre
Velež
Zrinjski
0
3
L
21.05.26
Pre
Velež
FK Sarajevo
2
3
L
16.05.26
Pre
Velež
Rudar Prijedor
4
2
W
09.05.26
Pre
Velež
Posušje
1
1
D
01.05.26
Pre
Velež
Radnik Bijeljina
1
0
W
25.04.26
Pre
Velež
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
0
0
D
21.04.26
Pre
Velež
Siroki Brijeg
3
0
W
18.04.26
Pre
Velež
Borac Banja Luka
2
2
D
11.04.26
Pre
Velež
Sloga Doboj
0
0
D
03.04.26
Pre
Velež
Zrinjski
0
1
L
22.03.26
Pre
Velež
FK Sarajevo
0
1
L
15.03.26
Pre
Velež
Rudar Prijedor
2
1
W
06.03.26
Pre
Velež
Posušje
1
0
W
28.02.26
Pre
Velež
Radnik Bijeljina
0
1
L
21.02.26
Pre
Velež
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
1
0
W
15.02.26
Pre
Velež
Siroki Brijeg
0
1
L
07.02.26
Pre
Velež
Borac Banja Luka
0
0
D
29.01.26
Fri
Velež
Posušje
2
0
W
17.01.26
Fri
Velež
Vukovar
2
1
W
14.01.26
Fri
Velež
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
2
1
W
Last matches: Milsami Orhei
17.02.26
Fri
Milsami Orhei
Příbram
2
1
W
13.02.26
Fri
Milsami Orhei
Prostějov
3
1
W
14.08.25
UEF
Milsami Orhei
Virtus
0
3
L
07.08.25
UEF
Milsami Orhei
Virtus
3
2
W
31.07.25
UEF
Milsami Orhei
Buducnost Podgorica
2
1
W
23.07.25
UEF
Milsami Orhei
Buducnost Podgorica
0
0
D
15.07.25
UEF
Milsami Orhei
KuPS
0
0
D
08.07.25
UEF
Milsami Orhei
KuPS
0
1
L
H2H: Velež vs Milsami Orhei
09.07.26
H2H
Velež
Milsami Orhei
1
1
D
Last matches: Velež
21.05.26
Pre
Velež
FK Sarajevo
2
3
L
16.05.26
Pre
Velež
Rudar Prijedor
4
2
W
01.05.26
Pre
Velež
Radnik Bijeljina
1
0
W
21.04.26
Pre
Velež
Siroki Brijeg
3
0
W
11.04.26
Pre
Velež
Sloga Doboj
0
0
D
03.04.26
Pre
Velež
Zrinjski
0
1
L
06.03.26
Pre
Velež
Posušje
1
0
W
21.02.26
Pre
Velež
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
1
0
W
07.02.26
Pre
Velež
Borac Banja Luka
0
0
D
11.01.26
Fri
Velež
SV Kapfenberg
2
0
W
08.01.26
Fri
Velež
Odra Opole
1
2
L
02.12.25
Pre
Velež
FK Sarajevo
0
0
D
29.11.25
Pre
Velež
Rudar Prijedor
1
0
W
09.11.25
Pre
Velež
Radnik Bijeljina
1
0
W
25.10.25
Pre
Velež
Siroki Brijeg
1
0
W
04.10.25
Pre
Velež
Sloga Doboj
2
0
W
27.09.25
Pre
Velež
Zrinjski
1
3
L
30.08.25
Pre
Velež
Posušje
0
1
L
15.08.25
Pre
Velež
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
0
1
L
03.08.25
Pre
Velež
Borac Banja Luka
1
1
D
H2H at home: Velež
09.07.26
H2H
Velež
Milsami Orhei
1
1
D
Last matches: Milsami Orhei
14.08.25
UEF
Milsami Orhei
Virtus
0
3
L
23.07.25
UEF
Milsami Orhei
Buducnost Podgorica
0
0
D
08.07.25
UEF
Milsami Orhei
KuPS
0
1
L
H2H away: Milsami Orhei
09.07.26
H2H
Velež
Milsami Orhei
1
1
D
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.16
Draw 3.25
Home 1.79
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.25 1.27
Over 1.5 1.44
Over 1.75 1.56
Over 2.0 1.78
Over 2.25 2.05
Over 2.5 2.32
Over 2.75 2.76
Over 3.0 3.48
Under 1.25 3.36
Under 1.5 2.59
Under 1.75 2.30
Under 2.0 1.99
Under 2.25 1.70
Under 2.5 1.54
Under 2.75 1.39
Under 3.0 1.26
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.00
Draw 3.60
Home 1.75
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 5.00
Draw 2.05
Home 2.38
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.33
Draw 2.30
Home 2.25
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.08
Over 1.5 1.44
Over 2.5 2.35
Over 3.5 4.33
Over 4.5 8.00
Over 5.5 12.00
Over 6.5 21.00
Under 0.5 7.00
Under 1.5 2.62
Under 2.5 1.57
Under 3.5 1.20
Under 4.5 1.06
Under 5.5 1.01
Under 6.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.78
Draw 3.38
Home 1.76
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 5.68
Draw 1.97
Home 2.40
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.96
Draw 2.31
Home 2.15
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.02
Over 0.75 1.04
Over 1.0 1.06
Over 1.25 1.22
Over 1.5 1.37
Over 1.75 1.49
Over 2.0 1.67
Over 2.25 2.01
Over 2.5 2.31
Over 2.75 2.64
Over 3.0 3.45
Over 3.25 3.86
Over 3.5 4.25
Over 3.75 5.50
Over 4.0 8.20
Over 4.25 8.55
Over 4.5 9.00
Over 5.5 18.00
Over 6.5 21.00
Under 0.5 7.70
Under 0.75 6.94
Under 1.0 6.15
Under 1.25 3.50
Under 1.5 2.66
Under 1.75 2.36
Under 2.0 2.01
Under 2.25 1.76
Under 2.5 1.58
Under 2.75 1.39
Under 3.0 1.24
Under 3.25 1.18
Under 3.5 1.15
Under 3.75 1.08
Under 4.0 1.02
Under 4.25 1.01
Under 4.5 1.00
Under 5.5 1.01
Under 6.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.75
Draw 3.15
Home 1.82
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 5.10
Draw 2.00
Home 2.43
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.60
Draw 2.30
Home 2.23
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.08
Over 1.0 1.12
Over 1.25 1.28
Over 1.5 1.45
Over 1.75 1.58
Over 2.0 1.81
Over 2.25 2.12
Over 2.5 2.43
Over 2.75 2.88
Over 3.0 3.80
Over 3.25 4.20
Over 3.5 4.50
Under 0.5 6.10
Under 1.0 5.10
Under 1.25 3.25
Under 1.5 2.55
Under 1.75 2.20
Under 2.0 1.89
Under 2.25 1.63
Under 2.5 1.48
Under 2.75 1.35
Under 3.0 1.21
Under 3.25 1.18
Under 3.5 1.16