Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
86.8%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
64.6%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
69.6%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
87.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Velež
FK Sarajevo
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Velež
34 matches
FK Sarajevo
36 matches
| Velež | Statistic | FK Sarajevo |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | Wins | 18 |
| 9 | Draws | 8 |
| 11 | Losses | 10 |
| 34 | Goals For | 52 |
| 29 | Goals Against | 40 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.44 |
| 0.85 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.11 |
| 12 | BTTS Yes | 14 |
| 16 | Over 1.5 | 24 |
| 11 | Over 2.5 | 18 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 9 |
| 13 | Clean Sheets | 16 |
| 14 | Failed To Score | 9 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward FK Sarajevo having the stronger overall control. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward FK Sarajevo. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.
Operating from 4 place with 51 points from 34 games, Velež bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 14 wins, 9 draws, and 11 defeats plus a goal balance of 34:29, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by I. Saric (6 goals), S. Pidro (4 goals), A. Mesic (3 goals), with creative support from D. Salcin (2 assists), B. Serbecic (2 assists), A. Nukic (2 assists), and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. At home, their record of 9 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses points to a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.
FK Sarajevo approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 59 points after 34 outings. They have recorded 17 wins, 8 draws, and 9 losses, with a 50:35 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on A. Elezi (8 goals), F. Kyeremeh (6 goals), M. Kupresak (6 goals), with creative support from G. Guliashvili (8 assists), M. Kupresak (5 assists), A. Ljajic (4 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the split of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Velež won 4 times, FK Sarajevo won 7 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:22 from Velež's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.57 goals per game.
Lineups
Velež
Zrinjski
Velež
Rudar Prijedor
Velež
Posušje
Velež
Radnik Bijeljina
Velež
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
Velež
Siroki Brijeg
Velež
Borac Banja Luka
Velež
Sloga Doboj
Velež
Zrinjski
Velež
FK Sarajevo
Velež
Rudar Prijedor
Velež
Posušje
Velež
Radnik Bijeljina
Velež
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
Velež
Siroki Brijeg
Velež
Borac Banja Luka
Velež
Posušje
Velež
Vukovar
Velež
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Velež
SV Kapfenberg
FK Sarajevo
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
FK Sarajevo
Siroki Brijeg
FK Sarajevo
Rudar Prijedor
FK Sarajevo
Borac Banja Luka
FK Sarajevo
Posušje
FK Sarajevo
Sloga Doboj
FK Sarajevo
Radnik Bijeljina
FK Sarajevo
Zrinjski
FK Sarajevo
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
FK Sarajevo
Velež
FK Sarajevo
Siroki Brijeg
FK Sarajevo
Rudar Prijedor
FK Sarajevo
Borac Banja Luka
FK Sarajevo
Posušje
FK Sarajevo
Sloga Doboj
FK Sarajevo
Radnik Bijeljina
FK Sarajevo
Vardar Skopje
FK Sarajevo
LNZ Cherkasy
FK Sarajevo
Shkendija
FK Sarajevo
Zorya Luhansk
Velež
Rudar Prijedor
Velež
Radnik Bijeljina
Velež
Siroki Brijeg
Velež
Sloga Doboj
Velež
Zrinjski
Velež
Posušje
Velež
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
Velež
Borac Banja Luka
Velež
SV Kapfenberg
Velež
Odra Opole
Velež
FK Sarajevo
Velež
Rudar Prijedor
Velež
Radnik Bijeljina
Velež
Siroki Brijeg
Velež
Sloga Doboj
Velež
Zrinjski
Velež
Posušje
Velež
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
Velež
Borac Banja Luka
FK Sarajevo
Rudar Prijedor
FK Sarajevo
Posušje
FK Sarajevo
Radnik Bijeljina
FK Sarajevo
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
FK Sarajevo
Siroki Brijeg
FK Sarajevo
Borac Banja Luka
FK Sarajevo
Sloga Doboj
FK Sarajevo
LNZ Cherkasy
FK Sarajevo
Zorya Luhansk
FK Sarajevo
Zrinjski
FK Sarajevo
Velež
FK Sarajevo
Rudar Prijedor
FK Sarajevo
Posušje
FK Sarajevo
Radnik Bijeljina
FK Sarajevo
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
FK Sarajevo
Siroki Brijeg
FK Sarajevo
Zrinjski
FK Sarajevo
Borac Banja Luka
FK Sarajevo
Sloga Doboj
FK Sarajevo
Universitatea Craiova
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 36 | 27 | 5 | 4 | 76:20 | 56 | 86 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 36 | 21 | 8 | 7 | 48:25 | 23 | 71 |
W
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 3 |
FK Sarajevo
Away
|
36 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 54:37 | 17 | 65 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
| 4 |
Velež
Home
|
36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 36:35 | 1 | 51 |
L
L
W
D
W
|
| 5 | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 37:48 | -11 | 45 |
W
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 6 | 36 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 34:37 | -3 | 42 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 36 | 8 | 11 | 17 | 27:45 | -18 | 35 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 8 | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 21:46 | -25 | 34 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 25:41 | -16 | 34 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 10 | 36 | 7 | 9 | 20 | 31:55 | -24 | 30 |
L
D
L
L
W
|