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07.11.2026 15:00
Stadion Rodjeni

Velež vs Čelik Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 80.2%
Odds 1.10
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds 2.09
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds 2.10
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
80.2%
1.10 ▥
BTTS Yes
54.1%
2.09 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
2.10 ▥
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.38 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Velež Win 49.5%
Draw 30.7%
Čelik Win 19.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Velež1.17
Čelik1.29
Recent Form (Last 5)
Velež Velež
W L D L W
4 GF / 5 GA
Čelik Čelik
L D L D D
3 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.29
1.3
Average Goals Conceded
1.43
8
BTTS Yes
7
8
Over 2.5
8
0.86
Shots on Goal
2.17

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Velež Velež 20 matches
Čelik Čelik 14 matches
Velež Statistic Čelik
8 Wins 3
3 Draws 5
9 Losses 6
20 Goals For 18
26 Goals Against 20
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.29
1.3 Avg Goals Conceded 1.43
8 BTTS Yes 7
15 Over 1.5 11
8 Over 2.5 8
3 Over 3.5 4
7 Clean Sheets 5
6 Failed To Score 5
0.86 Shots On Goal 2.17
3.07 Total Shots 4.58
1.29 Corners 1.5
9.9% Ball Possession 22.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Velež won 1 times, Čelik won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:2 from Velež's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (80.2%)
Predicted formations: Velež 4-2-3-1 / Čelik 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Velež wins 1, draws 0, Čelik wins 1

Standings

Premier Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 12 11 0 1 31:7 24 33
W W W W W
2 11 9 1 1 23:9 14 28
W W W W W
3 12 5 4 3 10:7 3 19
D W D D W
4 12 3 5 4 11:13 -2 14
L D W D L
5 12 3 4 5 17:20 -3 13
D W D L D
6 12 3 4 5 12:19 -7 13
L L D L D
7 12 2 5 5 18:22 -4 11
W L D W D
8 11 3 2 6 9:17 -8 11
W L D L W
9 12 2 4 6 13:19 -6 10
L D L D D
10 12 2 3 7 7:18 -11 9
L L L L L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation