Velez Sarsfield vs San Lorenzo Prediction & Match Analysis
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| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Velez Sarsfield Win 0%
Draw 0%
San Lorenzo Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Velez Sarsfield1.08
San Lorenzo0.82
Recent Form (Last 5)
Velez Sarsfield
WWDLW
34 GF / 20 GA
San Lorenzo
WLDWL
23 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
1.26
Average Goals Scored
0.88
0.74
Average Goals Conceded
0.81
14
BTTS Yes
8
7
Over 2.5
4
3.96
Shots on Goal
3.71
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Velez Sarsfield
27 matches
San Lorenzo
26 matches
| Velez Sarsfield | Statistic | San Lorenzo |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Wins | 8 |
| 12 | Draws | 10 |
| 3 | Losses | 8 |
| 34 | Goals For | 23 |
| 20 | Goals Against | 21 |
| 1.26 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.88 |
| 0.74 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.81 |
| 14 | BTTS Yes | 8 |
| 16 | Over 1.5 | 11 |
| 7 | Over 2.5 | 4 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 11 | Clean Sheets | 13 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 10 |
| 3.96 | Shots On Goal | 3.71 |
| 11.28 | Total Shots | 10.46 |
| 4.24 | Corners | 3.54 |
| 52.1% | Ball Possession | 50.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Velez Sarsfield won 3 times, San Lorenzo won 5 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:10 from Velez Sarsfield's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 1.46 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Velez Sarsfield 4-2-3-1 / San Lorenzo 4-4-2
H2H summary: Velez Sarsfield wins 3, draws 5, San Lorenzo wins 5
Standings
Apertura - Group A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 19:7 | 12 | 31 |
D
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 2 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 22:9 | 13 | 30 |
W
D
D
D
W
|
|
| 3 |
Velez Sarsfield
Home
|
16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 18:12 | 6 | 28 |
D
D
D
D
W
|
| 4 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 26 |
D
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24:20 | 4 | 24 |
L
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 6 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 18:15 | 3 | 24 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 7 |
San Lorenzo
Away
|
16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 22 |
L
D
W
L
L
|
| 8 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24:20 | 4 | 21 |
W
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17:17 | 0 | 21 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 18:21 | -3 | 19 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 11 | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14:22 | -8 | 19 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 10:15 | -5 | 16 |
L
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 11:21 | -10 | 16 |
D
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 14 | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15:27 | -12 | 15 |
D
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 15 | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5:12 | -7 | 11 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
Knockout Phase