Predictions & Statistics
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| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Velez Sarsfield Win 0%
Draw 0%
San Lorenzo Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Velez Sarsfield1.09
San Lorenzo0.96
Recent Form (Last 5)
Velez Sarsfield
WWDLW
24 GF / 14 GA
San Lorenzo
WLDWL
21 GF / 16 GA
Key Stats
1.26
Average Goals Scored
1.11
0.74
Average Goals Conceded
0.84
9
BTTS Yes
8
5
Over 2.5
4
4.06
Shots on Goal
3.59
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Velez Sarsfield
19 matches
San Lorenzo
19 matches
| Velez Sarsfield | Statistic | San Lorenzo |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wins | 6 |
| 7 | Draws | 9 |
| 3 | Losses | 4 |
| 24 | Goals For | 21 |
| 14 | Goals Against | 16 |
| 1.26 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.11 |
| 0.74 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.84 |
| 9 | BTTS Yes | 8 |
| 11 | Over 1.5 | 10 |
| 5 | Over 2.5 | 4 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 8 | Clean Sheets | 10 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 4.06 | Shots On Goal | 3.59 |
| 12.41 | Total Shots | 10.06 |
| 4.41 | Corners | 3.88 |
| 55.2% | Ball Possession | 48.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Velez Sarsfield won 3 times, San Lorenzo won 5 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:10 from Velez Sarsfield's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 1.46 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Velez Sarsfield 4-2-3-1 / San Lorenzo 3-4-1-2
H2H summary: Velez Sarsfield wins 3, draws 5, San Lorenzo wins 5
Last matches: Velez Sarsfield
11.05.26
Lig
Velez Sarsfield
Gimnasia L.P.
0
1
L
04.05.26
Lig
Velez Sarsfield
Newells Old Boys
1
1
D
01.05.26
Cop
Velez Sarsfield
Gimnasia Y Tiro
2
0
W
27.04.26
Lig
Velez Sarsfield
Union Santa Fe
2
2
D
20.04.26
Lig
Velez Sarsfield
San Lorenzo
0
0
D
14.04.26
Lig
Velez Sarsfield
Central Cordoba de Santiago
1
0
W
07.04.26
Cop
Velez Sarsfield
Deportivo Armenio
4
1
W
03.04.26
Lig
Velez Sarsfield
Gimnasia M.
2
3
L
21.03.26
Lig
Velez Sarsfield
Lanus
0
1
L
14.03.26
Lig
Velez Sarsfield
Platense
2
0
W
10.03.26
Lig
Velez Sarsfield
Tigre
1
1
D
02.03.26
Lig
Velez Sarsfield
Estudiantes L.P.
1
0
W
25.02.26
Lig
Velez Sarsfield
Deportivo Riestra
0
0
D
22.02.26
Lig
Velez Sarsfield
River Plate
1
0
W
14.02.26
Lig
Velez Sarsfield
Defensa Y Justicia
1
1
D
09.02.26
Lig
Velez Sarsfield
Boca Juniors
2
1
W
31.01.26
Lig
Velez Sarsfield
Independiente
1
1
D
27.01.26
Lig
Velez Sarsfield
Talleres Cordoba
2
1
W
23.01.26
Lig
Velez Sarsfield
Instituto Cordoba
1
0
W
06.09.25
Sup
Velez Sarsfield
Central Cordoba de Santiago
2
0
W
Last matches: San Lorenzo
17.07.26
Cop
San Lorenzo
Deportivo Riestra
1
1
D
10.05.26
Lig
San Lorenzo
River Plate
1
1
D
02.05.26
Lig
San Lorenzo
Independiente
1
2
L
25.04.26
Lig
San Lorenzo
Platense
1
0
W
20.04.26
Lig
San Lorenzo
Velez Sarsfield
0
0
D
12.04.26
Lig
San Lorenzo
Newells Old Boys
0
0
D
03.04.26
Lig
San Lorenzo
Estudiantes L.P.
1
0
W
25.03.26
Lig
San Lorenzo
Deportivo Riestra
1
1
D
21.03.26
Cop
San Lorenzo
Deportivo Rincon
5
0
W
16.03.26
Lig
San Lorenzo
Defensa Y Justicia
2
5
L
11.03.26
Lig
San Lorenzo
Boca Juniors
1
1
D
01.03.26
Lig
San Lorenzo
Talleres Cordoba
0
0
D
24.02.26
Lig
San Lorenzo
Instituto Cordoba
1
1
D
22.02.26
Lig
San Lorenzo
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
2
0
W
14.02.26
Lig
San Lorenzo
Union Santa Fe
0
0
D
08.02.26
Lig
San Lorenzo
Huracan
0
1
L
31.01.26
Lig
San Lorenzo
Central Cordoba de Santiago
1
0
W
27.01.26
Lig
San Lorenzo
Gimnasia M.
1
0
W
23.01.26
Lig
San Lorenzo
Lanus
2
3
L
H2H: Velez Sarsfield vs San Lorenzo
20.04.26
H2H
San Lorenzo
Velez Sarsfield
0
0
D
07.08.25
H2H
San Lorenzo
Velez Sarsfield
1
0
L
08.02.25
H2H
Velez Sarsfield
San Lorenzo
0
0
D
14.09.24
H2H
San Lorenzo
Velez Sarsfield
0
1
W
07.08.24
H2H
San Lorenzo
Velez Sarsfield
1
3
W
29.04.23
H2H
Velez Sarsfield
San Lorenzo
0
0
D
08.10.22
H2H
San Lorenzo
Velez Sarsfield
1
0
L
07.11.21
H2H
Velez Sarsfield
San Lorenzo
2
1
W
19.04.20
H2H
Velez Sarsfield
San Lorenzo
0
0
D
09.02.20
H2H
San Lorenzo
Velez Sarsfield
1
0
L
13.11.18
H2H
Velez Sarsfield
San Lorenzo
0
0
D
17.04.18
H2H
Velez Sarsfield
San Lorenzo
2
2
D
17.09.16
H2H
San Lorenzo
Velez Sarsfield
2
1
L
02.05.15
H2H
San Lorenzo
Velez Sarsfield
1
0
L
Last matches: Velez Sarsfield
11.05.26
Lig
Velez Sarsfield
Gimnasia L.P.
0
1
L
04.05.26
Lig
Velez Sarsfield
Newells Old Boys
1
1
D
01.05.26
Cop
Velez Sarsfield
Gimnasia Y Tiro
2
0
W
27.04.26
Lig
Velez Sarsfield
Union Santa Fe
2
2
D
14.04.26
Lig
Velez Sarsfield
Central Cordoba de Santiago
1
0
W
07.04.26
Cop
Velez Sarsfield
Deportivo Armenio
4
1
W
21.03.26
Lig
Velez Sarsfield
Lanus
0
1
L
25.02.26
Lig
Velez Sarsfield
Deportivo Riestra
0
0
D
22.02.26
Lig
Velez Sarsfield
River Plate
1
0
W
09.02.26
Lig
Velez Sarsfield
Boca Juniors
2
1
W
27.01.26
Lig
Velez Sarsfield
Talleres Cordoba
2
1
W
06.09.25
Sup
Velez Sarsfield
Central Cordoba de Santiago
2
0
W
H2H at home: Velez Sarsfield
08.02.25
H2H
Velez Sarsfield
San Lorenzo
0
0
D
29.04.23
H2H
Velez Sarsfield
San Lorenzo
0
0
D
07.11.21
H2H
Velez Sarsfield
San Lorenzo
2
1
W
19.04.20
H2H
Velez Sarsfield
San Lorenzo
0
0
D
13.11.18
H2H
Velez Sarsfield
San Lorenzo
0
0
D
17.04.18
H2H
Velez Sarsfield
San Lorenzo
2
2
D
Last matches: San Lorenzo
10.05.26
Lig
San Lorenzo
River Plate
1
1
D
25.04.26
Lig
San Lorenzo
Platense
1
0
W
12.04.26
Lig
San Lorenzo
Newells Old Boys
0
0
D
25.03.26
Lig
San Lorenzo
Deportivo Riestra
1
1
D
11.03.26
Lig
San Lorenzo
Boca Juniors
1
1
D
01.03.26
Lig
San Lorenzo
Talleres Cordoba
0
0
D
14.02.26
Lig
San Lorenzo
Union Santa Fe
0
0
D
08.02.26
Lig
San Lorenzo
Huracan
0
1
L
27.01.26
Lig
San Lorenzo
Gimnasia M.
1
0
W
H2H away: San Lorenzo
08.02.25
H2H
Velez Sarsfield
San Lorenzo
0
0
D
29.04.23
H2H
Velez Sarsfield
San Lorenzo
0
0
D
07.11.21
H2H
Velez Sarsfield
San Lorenzo
2
1
L
19.04.20
H2H
Velez Sarsfield
San Lorenzo
0
0
D
13.11.18
H2H
Velez Sarsfield
San Lorenzo
0
0
D
17.04.18
H2H
Velez Sarsfield
San Lorenzo
2
2
D
Standings
Apertura - Group A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 19:7 | 12 | 31 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 22:9 | 13 | 30 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 |
Velez Sarsfield
Home
|
16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 18:12 | 6 | 28 |
L
D
D
D
W
|
| 4 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 26 |
L
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24:20 | 4 | 24 |
L
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 6 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 18:15 | 3 | 24 |
L
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 7 |
San Lorenzo
Away
|
16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 22 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
| 8 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24:20 | 4 | 21 |
L
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 9 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17:17 | 0 | 21 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 18:21 | -3 | 19 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14:22 | -8 | 19 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 12 | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 10:15 | -5 | 16 |
L
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 13 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 11:21 | -10 | 16 |
L
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15:27 | -12 | 15 |
D
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 15 | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5:12 | -7 | 11 |
D
W
L
L
L
|
Knockout Phase