SWEDEN SUPERETTAN
10.06.2026 17:00
Paskbergsvallen
Referee: Niclas Karlsson, Sweden
Varbergs BoIS FC
Match Timeline
Norrby IF
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
29'
W. Arlig · Assist: S. Borgelin
Varbergs BoIS FC
🟨
44'
Charlie Axede
Norrby IF
🟨
72'
Jonathan Nilsson
Varbergs BoIS FC
🔄
72'
W. Arlig ↔ A. Bitiqi
Varbergs BoIS FC
🔄
72'
E. Sadiku ↔ N. Johansson
Varbergs BoIS FC
🔄
72'
S. Borgelin ↔ O. Bryneus
Varbergs BoIS FC
🔄
82'
J. Nilsson ↔ A. Thorsson
Varbergs BoIS FC
🔄
84'
Y. Abdulazeez ↔ L. Bjorninger
Norrby IF
🔄
85'
I. Vidjeskog ↔ J. Lindner
Varbergs BoIS FC
🔄
89'
K. Liimatainen ↔ M. Holte
Norrby IF
90'
N. Johansson
Varbergs BoIS FC

Varbergs BoIS FC vs Norrby IF Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 71.6%
Odds -
1 agree / 0 disagree
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.9%
Odds -
1 agree / 0 disagree
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
71.6%
-
BTTS Yes
78.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Varbergs BoIS FC Win 71.6%
Draw 4.6%
Norrby IF Win 23.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Varbergs BoIS FC1.59
Norrby IF1.32
Recent Form (Last 5)
Varbergs BoIS FC Varbergs BoIS FC
WWDLW
27 GF / 14 GA
Norrby IF Norrby IF
WLDWL
29 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
1.69
Average Goals Scored
1.61
0.88
Average Goals Conceded
1.44
8
BTTS Yes
15
9
Over 2.5
11
3.7
Shots on Goal
2.1

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Varbergs BoIS FC Varbergs BoIS FC 16 matches
Norrby IF Norrby IF 18 matches
Varbergs BoIS FC Statistic Norrby IF
10 Wins 4
4 Draws 9
2 Losses 5
27 Goals For 29
14 Goals Against 26
1.69 Avg Goals Scored 1.61
0.88 Avg Goals Conceded 1.44
8 BTTS Yes 15
10 Over 1.5 16
9 Over 2.5 11
6 Over 3.5 7
7 Clean Sheets 2
3 Failed To Score 1
3.7 Shots On Goal 2.1
2.4 Total Shots 1.7
2.2 Corners 2.3
29.9% Ball Possession 24.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Varbergs BoIS FC's more proactive style and Norrby IF's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Varbergs BoIS FC arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 21 points compared to Norrby IF in 12 on 10, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Norrby IF. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Varbergs BoIS FC expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Norrby IF in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Norrby IF having the stronger overall control.

Varbergs BoIS FC Analysis

Varbergs BoIS FC come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 1 with 21 points from 10 matches. Their overall return of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses with goals at 22:11 reflects poor form . Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Norrby IF Analysis

So far, Norrby IF have built a campaign that leaves them 12 in the table on 10 points from 10 matches. The record of 1 wins, 7 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 15:16 goal balance, points toward poor form . Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 0 wins, 5 draws, and 1 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Varbergs BoIS FC won 7 times, Norrby IF won 1 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:13 from Varbergs BoIS FC's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.45 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.4%)
Predicted formations: Varbergs BoIS FC 4-3-3 / Norrby IF 4-4-2
H2H summary: Varbergs BoIS FC wins 7, draws 3, Norrby IF wins 1

Standings

Superettan
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 16 4 4 45:15 30 52
D W D W W
2 24 13 5 6 46:33 13 44
W W L W L
3 24 11 9 4 33:24 9 42
W D W D D
4 24 12 5 7 41:31 10 41
W L D W L
5 24 9 9 6 37:32 5 36
D W W L W
6 24 9 9 6 37:36 1 36
D L W L W
7 23 9 7 7 31:25 6 34
L W D D D
8 23 10 3 10 34:34 0 33
L L D W W
9 23 8 6 9 36:32 4 30
L W D D L
10 24 8 5 11 36:45 -9 29
L W L D L
11 24 7 7 10 31:33 -2 28
L W D L D
12 23 7 5 11 30:41 -11 26
W D W D D
13 24 5 9 10 25:35 -10 24
D W L D W
14 24 4 11 9 28:35 -7 23
L L L L D
15 23 5 7 11 36:44 -8 22
D L L L D
16 23 5 1 17 16:47 -31 16
L W W L D
Promotion
Promotion Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation