SWEDEN SUPERETTAN
19.09.2026 13:00
Påskbergsvallen
Referee: Per Martin Melin
Varbergs BoIS FC
Match Timeline
IK brage
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
34'
Erion Sadiku
Varbergs BoIS FC
36'
Filip Trpchevski · Assist: mass sise
IK brage
51'
mass sise · Assist: Alex Mortensen
IK brage
53'
Dante Oliver Alfonsi · Assist: Isak Vidjeskog
Varbergs BoIS FC
61'
Isak Vidjeskog · Assist: Laorent Shabani
Varbergs BoIS FC
🟨
62'
IK brage
IK brage
🔄
66'
Ozor Victor Okeke ↔ York Rafael
IK brage
🔄
67'
Dante Oliver Alfonsi ↔ Shanyder Borgelin
Varbergs BoIS FC
🔄
72'
Albin Winbo ↔ Jonathan nilsson
Varbergs BoIS FC
🔄
72'
Jacob Stensson ↔ oliwer stark
IK brage
🔄
78'
mass sise ↔ Jakob Römo Skille
IK brage
🔄
80'
Laorent Shabani ↔ Olle Werner
Varbergs BoIS FC
🔄
80'
Isak Vidjeskog ↔ Lucas Kåhed
Varbergs BoIS FC
84'
Jonathan nilsson · Assist: Olle Werner
Varbergs BoIS FC
🔄
86'
Alex Mortensen ↔ Noah Östberg
IK brage
🔄
86'
Gideon Granstrom ↔ Anders Hellblom
IK brage

Varbergs BoIS FC vs IK brage Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 82.8%
Odds 1.63
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds 1.70
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds 1.65
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
82.8%
1.63
BTTS Yes
82.5%
1.70
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
1.65
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
77.1%
1.12
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.50
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50
Probability Distribution
Varbergs BoIS FC Win 82.8%
Draw 5.5%
IK brage Win 11.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Varbergs BoIS FC1.64
IK brage1.42
Recent Form (Last 5)
Varbergs BoIS FC Varbergs BoIS FC
WWDLW
50 GF / 36 GA
IK brage IK brage
WLDWL
46 GF / 49 GA
Key Stats
1.61
Average Goals Scored
1.59
1.16
Average Goals Conceded
1.69
17
BTTS Yes
19
18
Over 2.5
19
3.29
Shots on Goal
1.71

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Varbergs BoIS FC Varbergs BoIS FC 31 matches
IK brage IK brage 29 matches
Varbergs BoIS FC Statistic IK brage
17 Wins 10
6 Draws 8
8 Losses 11
50 Goals For 46
36 Goals Against 49
1.61 Avg Goals Scored 1.59
1.16 Avg Goals Conceded 1.69
17 BTTS Yes 19
23 Over 1.5 22
18 Over 2.5 19
10 Over 3.5 12
9 Clean Sheets 6
8 Failed To Score 6
3.29 Shots On Goal 1.71
5.71 Total Shots 3.29
3.05 Corners 2.29
31.9% Ball Possession 26.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Varbergs BoIS FC's more proactive style and IK brage's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward IK brage. Varbergs BoIS FC arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 4 with 38 points compared to IK brage in 15 on 22, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. IK brage arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Varbergs BoIS FC expected to line up in 4-3-3 and IK brage in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward IK brage having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Varbergs BoIS FC Analysis

Varbergs BoIS FC arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 4 place with 38 points after 23 matches. The record of 11 wins, 5 draws, and 7 defeats, together with a 39:30 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Severin Nioule (2 goals), Wilhelm Arlig (1 goals), Shanyder Borgelin (1 goals), with creative support from Wilhelm Arlig (1 assists), Emil Hellman (1 assists), Oliver Silverholt (1 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have returned 7 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

IK brage Analysis

With 22 points from 23 games and a place of 15, IK brage still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 5 wins, 7 draws, and 11 losses, together with goals at 36:44, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Felix Hörberg (2 goals), Albin Sporrong (1 goals), Gideon Granström (1 goals), with creative support from Albin Sporrong (1 assists), Alexander Zetterstrom (1 assists), Gustav Berggren (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Varbergs BoIS FC won 1 times, IK brage won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:11 from Varbergs BoIS FC's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.5%)
Predicted formations: Varbergs BoIS FC 4-3-3 / IK brage 4-4-2
H2H summary: Varbergs BoIS FC wins 1, draws 3, IK brage wins 5

Standings

Superettan
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 25 17 4 4 48:16 32 55
W D W D W
2 25 13 6 6 46:33 13 45
D W W L W
3 25 13 5 7 44:33 11 44
W W L D W
4 25 11 10 4 33:24 9 43
D W D W D
5 25 11 7 7 39:26 13 40
W W L W D
6 25 9 9 7 38:34 4 36
L D W W L
7 25 11 3 11 38:38 0 36
L W L L D
8 25 9 9 7 38:40 -2 36
L D L W L
9 25 9 7 9 41:35 6 34
W D L W D
10 24 8 5 11 36:45 -9 29
L W L D L
11 25 8 5 12 33:45 -12 29
W L W D W
12 24 7 7 10 31:33 -2 28
L W D L D
13 25 5 9 11 27:39 -12 24
L D W L D
14 24 4 11 9 28:35 -7 23
L L L L D
15 25 5 8 12 39:48 -9 23
L D D L L
16 24 5 1 18 16:51 -35 16
L L W W L
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