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SWEDEN › SUPERETTAN
19.10.2026 17:05
Paskbergsvallen

Varbergs BoIS FC vs Helsingborg Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 72.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 48.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
72.5%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
67.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
48.9%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Varbergs BoIS FC Win 72.5%
Draw 5.3%
Helsingborg Win 22.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Varbergs BoIS FC1.66
Helsingborg1.36
Recent Form (Last 5)
Varbergs BoIS FC Varbergs BoIS FC
WWDLW
54 GF / 39 GA
Helsingborg Helsingborg
WLDWL
49 GF / 56 GA
Key Stats
1.64
Average Goals Scored
1.48
1.18
Average Goals Conceded
1.7
19
BTTS Yes
21
19
Over 2.5
20
3.3
Shots on Goal
1.57

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Varbergs BoIS FC Varbergs BoIS FC 33 matches
Helsingborg Helsingborg 33 matches
Varbergs BoIS FC Statistic Helsingborg
18 Wins 12
7 Draws 7
8 Losses 14
54 Goals For 49
39 Goals Against 56
1.64 Avg Goals Scored 1.48
1.18 Avg Goals Conceded 1.7
19 BTTS Yes 21
25 Over 1.5 29
19 Over 2.5 20
11 Over 3.5 12
9 Clean Sheets 5
8 Failed To Score 8
3.3 Shots On Goal 1.57
5.87 Total Shots 2.52
3.3 Corners 2.13
34% Ball Possession 19.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Varbergs BoIS FC's more proactive style and Helsingborg's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Helsingborg. Varbergs BoIS FC arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 45 points compared to Helsingborg in 10 on 30, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Helsingborg arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Varbergs BoIS FC expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Helsingborg in 3-5-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Helsingborg having the stronger overall control.

Varbergs BoIS FC Analysis

Varbergs BoIS FC come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 3 with 45 points from 26 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 13 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses, while the 45:34 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Severin Nioule (2 goals), Wilhelm Arlig (1 goals), Shanyder Borgelin (1 goals), with creative support from Wilhelm Arlig (1 assists), Emil Hellman (1 assists), Oliver Silverholt (1 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, the record of 8 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Helsingborg Analysis

With 30 points from 26 games and a place of 10, Helsingborg still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 8 wins, 6 draws, and 12 losses, together with goals at 36:47, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Alexander Johansson (1 goals), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Varbergs BoIS FC won 5 times, Helsingborg won 7 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:26 from Varbergs BoIS FC's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.7%)
Predicted formations: Varbergs BoIS FC 4-3-3 / Helsingborg 3-5-2
H2H summary: Varbergs BoIS FC wins 5, draws 3, Helsingborg wins 7

Standings

Superettan
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 18 4 4 52:16 36 58
W W D W D
2 26 14 6 6 48:34 14 48
W D W W L
3 26 13 6 7 45:34 11 45
D W W L D
4 26 11 11 4 34:25 9 44
D D W D W
5 26 12 7 7 42:28 14 43
W W W L W
6 26 10 9 7 40:34 6 39
W L D W W
7 26 11 3 12 38:40 -2 36
L L W L L
8 26 9 9 8 38:42 -4 36
L L D L W
9 26 9 7 10 43:38 5 34
L W D L W
10 26 8 6 12 36:47 -11 30
L D L W L
11 26 7 8 11 34:37 -3 29
D L L W D
12 26 8 5 13 34:47 -13 29
L W L W D
13 26 5 12 9 30:35 -5 27
W D L L L
14 26 6 8 12 41:48 -7 26
W L D D L
15 26 5 10 11 28:40 -12 25
D L D W L
16 26 6 1 19 19:57 -38 19
L W L L W
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