Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
77%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
82.5%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
72%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
87.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Vaprus
Kuressaare
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Vaprus
22 matches
Kuressaare
21 matches
| Vaprus | Statistic | Kuressaare |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wins | 6 |
| 3 | Draws | 4 |
| 11 | Losses | 11 |
| 39 | Goals For | 28 |
| 43 | Goals Against | 43 |
| 1.77 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.33 |
| 1.95 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2.05 |
| 13 | BTTS Yes | 13 |
| 19 | Over 1.5 | 17 |
| 15 | Over 2.5 | 13 |
| 9 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Kuressaare. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Kuressaare having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.
From their first 16 matches, Vaprus have collected 20 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. The record of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 8 defeats, together with a 20:31 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through H. Valja (8 goals), M. Limberg (3 goals), S. Viidas (3 goals), with creative support from M. Limberg (3 assists), K. Aloe (2 assists), M. Lepik (2 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, their split return of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
Kuressaare are currently 8 in the standings with 17 points from 16 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 2 draws, and 9 losses, while the 17:26 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on A. Kivi (6 goals), E. Demidov (2 goals), J. Vahermagi (2 goals), with creative support from R. Talu (3 assists), E. Demidov (2 assists), T. Jurisoo (2 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Vaprus won 8 times, Kuressaare won 5 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 30:18 from Vaprus's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.2 goals per game.
Vaprus
Flora Tallinn
Vaprus
Tammeka
Vaprus
Kalju Nomme
Vaprus
FC Levadia Tallinn
Vaprus
Laagri
Vaprus
Trans Narva
Vaprus
Nõmme United
Vaprus
Kalju Nomme
Vaprus
Kuressaare
Vaprus
Tammeka
Vaprus
Flora Tallinn
Vaprus
FC Levadia Tallinn
Vaprus
Laagri
Vaprus
Trans Narva
Vaprus
Nõmme United
Vaprus
Paide
Vaprus
Trans Narva
Vaprus
Tallinna Kalev
Vaprus
Metta / LU
Vaprus
Kuressaare
Kuressaare
Trans Narva
Kuressaare
Laagri
Kuressaare
Paide
Kuressaare
Nõmme United
Kuressaare
Kalju Nomme
Kuressaare
Tammeka
Kuressaare
FC Levadia Tallinn
Kuressaare
Nõmme United
Kuressaare
Vaprus
Kuressaare
Trans Narva
Kuressaare
Laagri
Kuressaare
Flora Tallinn
Kuressaare
Paide
Kuressaare
Kalju Nomme
Kuressaare
Tammeka
Kuressaare
FC Levadia Tallinn
Kuressaare
Trans Narva
Kuressaare
Tallinna Kalev
Kuressaare
Nõmme United
Kuressaare
Vaprus
Vaprus
Flora Tallinn
Vaprus
Kalju Nomme
Vaprus
FC Levadia Tallinn
Vaprus
Trans Narva
Vaprus
Nõmme United
Vaprus
Tammeka
Vaprus
Laagri
Vaprus
Paide
Vaprus
Trans Narva
Vaprus
Metta / LU
Vaprus
Kuressaare
Vaprus
Flora Tallinn
Kuressaare
Laagri
Kuressaare
Paide
Kuressaare
Tammeka
Kuressaare
Nõmme United
Kuressaare
Trans Narva
Kuressaare
Flora Tallinn
Kuressaare
Kalju Nomme
Kuressaare
FC Levadia Tallinn
Kuressaare
Vaprus
Kuressaare
Viimsi
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 45:13 | 32 | 43 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 16 | 10 | 0 | 6 | 33:18 | 15 | 30 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 29:14 | 15 | 30 |
D
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 4 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 26:21 | 5 | 28 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 5 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 18:20 | -2 | 23 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 6 |
Vaprus
Home
|
16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 20:31 | -11 | 20 |
L
D
W
L
W
|
| 7 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 10 | 33:40 | -7 | 19 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 8 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 10 | 21:30 | -9 | 19 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 9 |
Kuressaare
Away
|
16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 17:26 | -9 | 17 |
D
W
D
W
L
|
| 10 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 11:40 | -29 | 10 |
L
D
L
L
W
|