ESTONIA MEISTRILIIGA
02.08.2026 16:00
Parnu Rannastaadion
Referee: K. Kaivoja
Vaprus
Match Timeline
FC Levadia Tallinn
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
22'
R. Orm · Assist: T. Pajo
Vaprus
🟨
46'
Kaua Davi
FC Levadia Tallinn
🟨
47'
M. Limberg
Vaprus
59'
M. Ainsalu
FC Levadia Tallinn
🔄
60'
T. Pajo ↔ K. Kauber
Vaprus
🔄
60'
M. Limberg ↔ M. Villota
Vaprus
🔄
62'
Kaua Davi ↔ F. Liivak
FC Levadia Tallinn
🔄
66'
M. Roosnupp ↔ Joao Pedro
FC Levadia Tallinn
🟨
69'
J. Saliste
FC Levadia Tallinn
🔄
80'
S. Viidas ↔ V. Vallik
Vaprus
🔄
80'
H. Valja ↔ J. Poder
Vaprus
🟨
85'
K. Aloe
Vaprus
🔄
88'
J. Sild ↔ S. Aer
Vaprus
🔄
88'
M. Skvortsov ↔ G. Lehtmets
FC Levadia Tallinn
🔄
88'
J. Saliste ↔ A. Nwankwo
FC Levadia Tallinn
🟨
90+1'
V. Vallik
Vaprus

Vaprus vs FC Levadia Tallinn Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 65.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 87%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
65.9%
-
BTTS Yes
75.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
87%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Vaprus Win 31%
Draw 3.1%
FC Levadia Tallinn Win 65.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Vaprus1.5
FC Levadia Tallinn2.29
Recent Form (Last 5)
Vaprus Vaprus
WWDLW
47 GF / 50 GA
FC Levadia Tallinn FC Levadia Tallinn
WLDWL
71 GF / 29 GA
Key Stats
1.81
Average Goals Scored
2.54
1.92
Average Goals Conceded
1.04
16
BTTS Yes
19
18
Over 2.5
21
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Vaprus Vaprus 26 matches
FC Levadia Tallinn FC Levadia Tallinn 28 matches
Vaprus Statistic FC Levadia Tallinn
10 Wins 19
3 Draws 5
13 Losses 4
47 Goals For 71
50 Goals Against 29
1.81 Avg Goals Scored 2.54
1.92 Avg Goals Conceded 1.04
16 BTTS Yes 19
22 Over 1.5 25
18 Over 2.5 21
12 Over 3.5 14
6 Clean Sheets 8
6 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by FC Levadia Tallinn's more proactive style and Vaprus's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. FC Levadia Tallinn carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 46 points while Vaprus sit 5 on 26, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward FC Levadia Tallinn having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring FC Levadia Tallinn. Vaprus have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.

Vaprus Analysis

With 26 points from 20 games and a place of 5, Vaprus still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 8 wins, 2 draws, and 10 losses, together with goals at 28:38, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, the split record of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

FC Levadia Tallinn Analysis

FC Levadia Tallinn come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 46 points after 19 matches. The return of 14 wins, 4 draws, and 1 defeats, together with goals at 49:16, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, the split of 9 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Vaprus won 1 times, FC Levadia Tallinn won 9 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:33 from Vaprus's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.2 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.9%)
Predicted formations: Vaprus 3-4-1-2 / FC Levadia Tallinn 4-3-1-2
H2H summary: Vaprus wins 1, draws 5, FC Levadia Tallinn wins 9

Standings

Meistriliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 27 21 5 1 74:20 54 68
W W W W W
2 28 17 1 10 56:37 19 52
W D W W L
3 28 14 5 9 49:26 23 47
W L L L L
4 27 13 6 8 43:35 8 45
L W L W W
5 27 14 2 11 36:38 -2 44
W L W L W
6 28 11 1 16 40:47 -7 34
W L L W W
7 27 10 4 13 37:52 -15 34
L W W D L
8 28 9 1 18 46:65 -19 28
L W L L L
9 28 8 4 16 31:49 -18 28
L L W D L
10 28 5 3 20 21:64 -43 18
L D L L L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga