ESTONIA MEISTRILIIGA
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Parnu Rannastaadion

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 65.9%
Odds 1.25
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds 1.83
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 87%
Odds 1.43
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
65.9%
1.25
BTTS Yes
75.1%
1.83
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
87%
1.43
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
2.05
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
4.00
Correct Score 1-2
-
9.50
Probability Distribution
Vaprus Win 31%
Draw 3.1%
FC Levadia Tallinn Win 65.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Vaprus1.5
FC Levadia Tallinn2.29
Recent Form (Last 5)
Vaprus Vaprus
WWDLW
47 GF / 50 GA
FC Levadia Tallinn FC Levadia Tallinn
WLDWL
71 GF / 29 GA
Key Stats
1.81
Average Goals Scored
2.54
1.92
Average Goals Conceded
1.04
16
BTTS Yes
19
18
Over 2.5
21
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Vaprus Vaprus 26 matches
FC Levadia Tallinn FC Levadia Tallinn 28 matches
Vaprus Statistic FC Levadia Tallinn
10 Wins 19
3 Draws 5
13 Losses 4
47 Goals For 71
50 Goals Against 29
1.81 Avg Goals Scored 2.54
1.92 Avg Goals Conceded 1.04
16 BTTS Yes 19
22 Over 1.5 25
18 Over 2.5 21
12 Over 3.5 14
6 Clean Sheets 8
6 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by FC Levadia Tallinn's more proactive style and Vaprus's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. FC Levadia Tallinn carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 46 points while Vaprus sit 5 on 26, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward FC Levadia Tallinn having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring FC Levadia Tallinn. Vaprus have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.

Vaprus Analysis

With 26 points from 20 games and a place of 5, Vaprus still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 8 wins, 2 draws, and 10 losses, together with goals at 28:38, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, the split record of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

FC Levadia Tallinn Analysis

FC Levadia Tallinn come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 46 points after 19 matches. The return of 14 wins, 4 draws, and 1 defeats, together with goals at 49:16, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, the split of 9 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Vaprus won 1 times, FC Levadia Tallinn won 9 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:32 from Vaprus's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.07 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.9%)
Predicted formations: Vaprus - / FC Levadia Tallinn 4-3-1-2
H2H summary: Vaprus wins 1, draws 5, FC Levadia Tallinn wins 9
Last matches: Vaprus
18.07.26
Mei
Vaprus
Trans Narva
1
3
L
11.07.26
Mei
Vaprus
Tammeka
5
1
W
04.07.26
Mei
Vaprus
Paide
1
3
L
26.06.26
Mei
Vaprus
Kuressaare
1
0
W
16.06.26
Mei
Vaprus
Flora Tallinn
1
2
L
13.06.26
Mei
Vaprus
Tammeka
0
0
D
30.05.26
Mei
Vaprus
Kalju Nomme
3
1
W
24.05.26
Mei
Vaprus
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
6
L
16.05.26
Mei
Vaprus
Laagri
2
1
W
09.05.26
Mei
Vaprus
Trans Narva
2
0
W
02.05.26
Mei
Vaprus
Nõmme United
2
3
L
26.04.26
Mei
Vaprus
Kalju Nomme
2
1
W
21.04.26
Mei
Vaprus
Kuressaare
1
0
W
18.04.26
Mei
Vaprus
Tammeka
0
0
D
12.04.26
Mei
Vaprus
Flora Tallinn
0
2
L
08.04.26
Mei
Vaprus
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
2
L
04.04.26
Mei
Vaprus
Laagri
0
2
L
21.03.26
Mei
Vaprus
Trans Narva
1
2
L
14.03.26
Mei
Vaprus
Nõmme United
1
7
L
07.03.26
Mei
Vaprus
Paide
3
2
W
Last matches: FC Levadia Tallinn
30.07.26
UEF
FC Levadia Tallinn
IFK Goteborg
1
3
L
21.07.26
UEF
FC Levadia Tallinn
IFK Goteborg
2
1
W
16.07.26
UEF
FC Levadia Tallinn
Caernarfon Town
5
0
W
09.07.26
UEF
FC Levadia Tallinn
Caernarfon Town
5
0
W
04.07.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Trans Narva
3
1
W
28.06.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Flora Tallinn
1
2
L
20.06.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Kalju Nomme
1
1
D
17.06.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Nõmme United
2
1
W
13.06.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Flora Tallinn
3
1
W
30.05.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Tammeka
1
0
W
24.05.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Vaprus
6
1
W
17.05.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Paide
3
1
W
09.05.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Laagri
3
0
W
02.05.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Kuressaare
2
1
W
26.04.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Trans Narva
7
0
W
22.04.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Tammeka
2
1
W
19.04.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Flora Tallinn
4
0
W
12.04.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Kalju Nomme
1
1
D
08.04.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Vaprus
2
1
W
04.04.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Nõmme United
1
1
D
H2H: Vaprus vs FC Levadia Tallinn
24.05.26
H2H
Vaprus
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
6
L
08.04.26
H2H
FC Levadia Tallinn
Vaprus
2
1
L
24.01.26
H2H
FC Levadia Tallinn
Vaprus
3
2
L
26.10.25
H2H
Vaprus
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
3
L
22.08.25
H2H
FC Levadia Tallinn
Vaprus
1
3
W
28.05.25
H2H
FC Levadia Tallinn
Vaprus
2
2
D
15.03.25
H2H
Vaprus
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
2
L
22.09.24
H2H
FC Levadia Tallinn
Vaprus
3
1
L
10.08.24
H2H
Vaprus
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
4
L
19.05.24
H2H
Vaprus
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
2
L
20.04.24
H2H
FC Levadia Tallinn
Vaprus
1
1
D
01.11.23
H2H
FC Levadia Tallinn
Vaprus
0
0
D
06.08.23
H2H
Vaprus
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
3
L
24.05.23
H2H
Vaprus
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
0
D
05.03.23
H2H
FC Levadia Tallinn
Vaprus
0
0
D
Last matches: Vaprus
11.07.26
Mei
Vaprus
Tammeka
5
1
W
26.06.26
Mei
Vaprus
Kuressaare
1
0
W
16.06.26
Mei
Vaprus
Flora Tallinn
1
2
L
30.05.26
Mei
Vaprus
Kalju Nomme
3
1
W
24.05.26
Mei
Vaprus
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
6
L
09.05.26
Mei
Vaprus
Trans Narva
2
0
W
02.05.26
Mei
Vaprus
Nõmme United
2
3
L
18.04.26
Mei
Vaprus
Tammeka
0
0
D
04.04.26
Mei
Vaprus
Laagri
0
2
L
07.03.26
Mei
Vaprus
Paide
3
2
W
15.02.26
Fri
Vaprus
Trans Narva
0
2
L
04.02.26
Fri
Vaprus
Metta / LU
0
3
L
31.01.26
Fri
Vaprus
Kuressaare
9
2
W
17.01.26
Fri
Vaprus
Flora Tallinn
2
2
D
H2H at home: Vaprus
24.05.26
H2H
Vaprus
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
6
L
26.10.25
H2H
Vaprus
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
3
L
15.03.25
H2H
Vaprus
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
2
L
10.08.24
H2H
Vaprus
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
4
L
19.05.24
H2H
Vaprus
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
2
L
06.08.23
H2H
Vaprus
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
3
L
24.05.23
H2H
Vaprus
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
0
D
Last matches: FC Levadia Tallinn
21.07.26
UEF
FC Levadia Tallinn
IFK Goteborg
2
1
W
09.07.26
UEF
FC Levadia Tallinn
Caernarfon Town
5
0
W
04.07.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Trans Narva
3
1
W
17.06.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Nõmme United
2
1
W
13.06.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Flora Tallinn
3
1
W
30.05.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Tammeka
1
0
W
24.05.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Vaprus
6
1
W
17.05.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Paide
3
1
W
02.05.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Kuressaare
2
1
W
22.04.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Tammeka
2
1
W
12.04.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Kalju Nomme
1
1
D
15.03.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Laagri
3
1
W
14.02.26
Fri
FC Levadia Tallinn
Flora Tallinn
0
1
L
07.08.25
UEF
FC Levadia Tallinn
FC Differdange 03
3
2
W
29.07.25
UEF
FC Levadia Tallinn
Saburtalo
2
2
D
15.07.25
UEF
FC Levadia Tallinn
Rīgas FS
0
1
L
H2H away: FC Levadia Tallinn
24.05.26
H2H
Vaprus
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
6
W
26.10.25
H2H
Vaprus
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
3
W
15.03.25
H2H
Vaprus
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
2
W
10.08.24
H2H
Vaprus
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
4
W
19.05.24
H2H
Vaprus
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
2
W
06.08.23
H2H
Vaprus
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
3
W
24.05.23
H2H
Vaprus
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
0
D
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 1.25
Draw 5.95
Home 8.54
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 1.63
Draw 2.84
Home 7.62
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 2.5 1.43
Over 2.75 1.53
Over 3.0 1.69
Over 3.25 1.94
Over 3.5 2.16
Over 3.75 2.45
Over 4.0 2.99
Under 2.5 2.65
Under 2.75 2.38
Under 3.0 2.11
Under 3.25 1.85
Under 3.5 1.66
Under 3.75 1.50
Under 4.0 1.35
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 1.25
Draw 5.00
Home 8.50
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 1.62
Draw 2.75
Home 7.50
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 1.50
Draw 3.20
Home 7.50
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.00
Over 1.5 1.12
Over 2.5 1.44
Over 3.5 2.00
Over 4.5 3.40
Over 5.5 5.50
Over 6.5 9.00
Over 7.5 13.00
Over 8.5 21.00
Under 0.5 19.00
Under 1.5 5.50
Under 2.5 2.62
Under 3.5 1.73
Under 4.5 1.30
Under 5.5 1.12
Under 6.5 1.04
Under 7.5 1.01
Under 8.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 1.24
Draw 5.40
Home 9.25
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 1.67
Draw 2.65
Home 7.70
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 1.49
Draw 3.30
Home 7.60
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.02
Over 1.0 1.02
Over 1.5 1.10
Over 1.75 1.12
Over 2.0 1.15
Over 2.25 1.28
Over 2.5 1.42
Over 2.75 1.52
Over 3.0 1.66
Over 3.25 1.92
Over 3.5 2.14
Over 3.75 2.38
Over 4.0 2.88
Over 4.25 3.14
Over 4.5 3.42
Over 4.75 4.24
Over 5.0 5.65
Over 5.25 5.94
Over 5.5 6.25
Over 6.0 9.30
Over 6.5 9.00
Over 7.5 13.00
Over 8.5 21.00
Under 0.5 15.50
Under 1.0 11.50
Under 1.5 5.20
Under 1.75 4.74
Under 2.0 4.30
Under 2.25 3.05
Under 2.5 2.49
Under 2.75 2.24
Under 3.0 1.99
Under 3.25 1.79
Under 3.5 1.63
Under 3.75 1.46
Under 4.0 1.32
Under 4.25 1.27
Under 4.5 1.23
Under 4.75 1.15
Under 5.0 1.08
Under 5.25 1.07
Under 5.5 1.06
Under 6.0 1.00
Under 6.5 1.04
Under 7.5 1.01
Under 8.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 1.24
Draw 5.50
Home 9.00
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 1.67
Draw 2.85
Home 7.00
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 1.53
Draw 3.35
Home 6.75
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.10
Over 2.5 1.41
Over 3.0 1.66
Over 3.5 2.07
Over 4.0 2.85
Over 4.25 3.15
Over 4.5 3.40
Over 5.0 5.25
Over 5.5 5.75
Under 1.5 5.10
Under 2.5 2.55
Under 3.0 2.05
Under 3.5 1.62
Under 4.0 1.35
Under 4.25 1.30
Under 4.5 1.24
Under 5.0 1.11
Under 5.5 1.07

Standings

Meistriliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 14 4 1 49:16 33 46
W L D W W
2 19 12 0 7 39:21 18 36
L W W L W
3 20 10 5 5 33:16 17 35
D W D D L
4 20 9 5 6 32:28 4 32
L W D W W
5 20 8 2 10 28:38 -10 26
L W L W L
6 18 8 2 8 21:26 -5 26
L W W W D
7 20 8 1 11 39:46 -7 25
W W L W L
8 20 8 1 11 30:34 -4 25
W W L L L
9 20 5 3 12 19:33 -14 18
D L L L D
10 20 4 1 15 15:47 -32 13
W L L L D
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga