TURKEY 1. LIG
12.09.2026 14:00
Spor Toto Akhisar Stadium
Referee: Birkan Altindas, Türkiye
Vanspor FK
Match Timeline
Keçiörengücü
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
45'
H. Ayan · Assist: O. Roshi
Keçiörengücü
🔄
46'
F. C. Genc ↔ K. Seven
Vanspor FK
🔄
46'
M. Ozcan ↔ H. Ciftci
Vanspor FK
🟨
54'
Berkan Mahmut Keskin
Keçiörengücü
🔄
66'
H. Ayan ↔ Jefferson
Keçiörengücü
🔄
66'
F. Ezeh ↔ A. Edumondo
Keçiörengücü
🔄
68'
F. Ozhan ↔ I. Alhaft
Vanspor FK
🔄
68'
O. Yigiter ↔ O. Kokcu
Vanspor FK
🟨
76'
Alcídio Raice
Keçiörengücü
🟨
78'
Mehmed Manis
Vanspor FK
🔄
82'
B. Keskin ↔ O. Caliskan
Keçiörengücü
🔄
82'
I. Karaogul ↔ E. Develi
Keçiörengücü
84'
M. Manis · Assist: O. Kokcu
Vanspor FK
🔄
89'
Alvaro de Oliveira ↔ I. Sever
Vanspor FK

Vanspor FK vs Keçiörengücü Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 74.5%
Odds 1.88
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds 1.67
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds 1.74
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
74.5%
1.88
BTTS Yes
82.5%
1.67
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
1.74
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
73.6%
1.47
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
5.00
Correct Score 1-2
-
8.50
Probability Distribution
Vanspor FK Win 19.3%
Draw 6.3%
Keçiörengücü Win 74.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Vanspor FK1.23
Keçiörengücü2.37
Recent Form (Last 5)
Vanspor FK Vanspor FK
WWDLW
7 GF / 13 GA
Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü
WLDWL
15 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
1.17
Average Goals Scored
2.5
2.17
Average Goals Conceded
1.33
4
BTTS Yes
4
3
Over 2.5
4
3.17
Shots on Goal
5.67

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Vanspor FK Vanspor FK 6 matches
Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü 6 matches
Vanspor FK Statistic Keçiörengücü
1 Wins 3
2 Draws 2
3 Losses 1
7 Goals For 15
13 Goals Against 8
1.17 Avg Goals Scored 2.5
2.17 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33
4 BTTS Yes 4
6 Over 1.5 6
3 Over 2.5 4
3 Over 3.5 3
0 Clean Sheets 2
2 Failed To Score 0
3.17 Shots On Goal 5.67
9.83 Total Shots 15.83
3.67 Corners 4
42.5% Ball Possession 44%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Keçiörengücü's more proactive style and Vanspor FK's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Keçiörengücü carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 7 with 8 points while Vanspor FK sit 16 on 4, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Vanspor FK have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Keçiörengücü.

Vanspor FK Analysis

Vanspor FK sit 16 with 4 points after 5 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, together with goals at 5:11, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through M. Maniş (1 goals), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Keçiörengücü Analysis

Keçiörengücü sit 7 with 8 points after 5 league matches. The record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeats, together with a 12:8 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Mame Biram Diouf (3 goals), İbrahim Akdağ (1 goals), Halil Can Ayan (1 goals), with creative support from İbrahim Akdağ (1 assists), Halil Can Ayan (1 assists), Jefferson (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Vanspor FK won 0 times, Keçiörengücü won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:7 from Vanspor FK's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.25 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.8%)
Predicted formations: Vanspor FK 4-2-3-1 / Keçiörengücü 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Vanspor FK wins 0, draws 2, Keçiörengücü wins 2

Standings

Lig A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 6 1 1 15:3 12 19
W W W D L
2 8 6 1 1 16:7 9 19
W D W W W
3 8 5 1 2 12:7 5 16
D W W W W
4 8 5 1 2 15:13 2 16
L L W W W
5 8 4 2 2 11:9 2 14
W D L W W
6 8 3 4 1 17:10 7 13
D D W W D
7 8 3 3 2 9:5 4 12
L L W D D
8 8 4 0 4 14:13 1 12
W W L W L
9 8 3 3 2 12:11 1 12
W D L D D
10 8 2 5 1 8:7 1 11
D D D W W
11 8 2 4 2 12:5 7 10
L D W L D
12 8 2 4 2 10:13 -3 10
D D W L D
13 8 2 3 3 12:12 0 9
L D L L D
14 8 1 5 2 7:6 1 8
D W L D D
15 8 1 5 2 9:11 -2 8
D D W D L
16 8 1 3 4 6:9 -3 6
W L L L D
17 8 0 5 3 4:10 -6 5
L D L D L
18 8 1 2 5 7:19 -12 5
W L L L D
19 8 1 3 4 8:17 -9 4
L D D L D
20 8 0 1 7 3:20 -17 1
L D L L L
Promotion - Super Lig
Promotion - 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
Promotion - 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation