TURKEY 1. LIG
25.04.2026 10:30
Ataturk City Stadium
Referee: A. Sen
Vanspor FK
Match Timeline
İstanbulspor
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
22'
Phellipe Cardoso Araujo
İstanbulspor
27'
E. Dikmen · Assist: E. Secgin
Vanspor FK
🟨
34'
Erdi Dikmen
Vanspor FK
36'
O. F. Duymaz · Assist: Phellipe
İstanbulspor
🔄
46'
M. Cavusoglu ↔ M. Ozcan
Vanspor FK
59'
Phellipe
İstanbulspor
🔄
63'
Xesc ↔ M. Coksu
Vanspor FK
🔄
63'
O. Caglayan ↔ E. Bars
Vanspor FK
🟨
72'
Emrecan Uzunhan
İstanbulspor
🔄
74'
D. Aydin ↔ M. Mert
İstanbulspor
🔄
74'
O. Sahan ↔ V. Temel
İstanbulspor
🔄
74'
Y. Ozer ↔ T. Tuncer
İstanbulspor
75'
V. Temel · Assist: M. Mert
İstanbulspor
🔄
80'
B. C. Kara ↔ A. Traore
Vanspor FK
🔄
80'
S. Hostikka ↔ A. Yildrim
Vanspor FK
🔄
85'
Phellipe ↔ M. Sol
İstanbulspor
🟨
90+2'
Mustafa Sol
İstanbulspor
🔄
90+1'
M. Vorobjovas ↔ I. Dayakli
İstanbulspor

Vanspor FK vs İstanbulspor Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 89.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 72.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 71.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
89.5%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
72.7%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
71.5%
-
Probability Distribution
Vanspor FK Win 41.2%
Draw 10.5%
İstanbulspor Win 48.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Vanspor FK1.42
İstanbulspor1.22
Recent Form (Last 5)
Vanspor FK Vanspor FK
WWDLW
50 GF / 41 GA
İstanbulspor İstanbulspor
WLDWL
46 GF / 53 GA
Key Stats
1.39
Average Goals Scored
1.28
1.14
Average Goals Conceded
1.47
17
BTTS Yes
19
18
Over 2.5
20
4.22
Shots on Goal
4.22

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Vanspor FK Vanspor FK 36 matches
İstanbulspor İstanbulspor 36 matches
Vanspor FK Statistic İstanbulspor
13 Wins 11
10 Draws 13
13 Losses 12
50 Goals For 46
41 Goals Against 53
1.39 Avg Goals Scored 1.28
1.14 Avg Goals Conceded 1.47
17 BTTS Yes 19
24 Over 1.5 25
18 Over 2.5 20
9 Over 3.5 15
10 Clean Sheets 9
14 Failed To Score 13
4.22 Shots On Goal 4.22
11.39 Total Shots 11.33
4.17 Corners 3.53
54.9% Ball Possession 47.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with Vanspor FK's more proactive style and İstanbulspor's more cautious structure likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Vanspor FK expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and İstanbulspor in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward İstanbulspor having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors İstanbulspor. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Vanspor FK Analysis

Vanspor FK are currently 11 in the standings with 49 points from 36 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 13 wins, 10 draws, and 13 losses, while the 48:40 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Bikoue (15 goals), Jefferson (5 goals), Xesc (5 goals), with creative support from Bikoue (6 assists), Jefferson (4 assists), Emir Bars (4 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, the record of 8 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

İstanbulspor Analysis

İstanbulspor approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 46 points from 36 matches. Their record of 11 wins, 13 draws, and 12 losses, together with goals at 40:51, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through M. Krstovski (7 goals), Florian Loshaj (6 goals), Emir Kaan Gültekin (5 goals), with creative support from D. Sambissa (8 assists), Florian Loshaj (5 assists), O. F. Duymaz (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 5 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Vanspor FK won 3 times, İstanbulspor won 4 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:11 from Vanspor FK's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.86 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.5%)
Predicted formations: Vanspor FK 4-2-3-1 / İstanbulspor 4-4-2
H2H summary: Vanspor FK wins 3, draws 0, İstanbulspor wins 4

Standings

1. Lig
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 23 12 3 82:27 55 81
D D D W W
2 38 21 11 6 81:42 39 74
D D L D D
3 38 21 11 6 81:35 46 74
L D L W W
4 38 21 8 9 63:39 24 71
W W L W D
5 38 18 10 10 71:39 32 64
L W W L D
6 38 16 15 7 58:33 25 63
L D W D D
7 38 16 12 10 73:43 30 60
L W W L D
8 38 16 12 10 47:34 13 60
W D W D D
9 38 16 7 15 57:56 1 55
W L W W W
10 38 14 11 13 47:43 4 53
L W L L W
11 38 13 13 12 57:55 2 52
W W W W L
12 38 15 7 16 44:44 0 52
W W L W D
13 38 13 11 14 52:54 -2 50
D L D W L
14 38 13 10 15 52:47 5 49
L L W L W
15 38 14 6 18 61:57 4 48
W L W L L
16 38 13 7 18 47:51 -4 46
L W L D W
17 38 11 6 21 44:75 -31 39
L W L D L
18 38 8 10 20 45:72 -27 34
L L D L L
19 38 2 8 28 33:102 -69 14
W L D L W
20 38 1 3 34 22:169 -147 -57
L L L L L
Promotion
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Relegation