CANADA CANADIAN PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Willoughby Community Park Stadium
Referee: R. Villanueva
Vancouver FC
Match Timeline
York United
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
1'
N. Mezquida · Assist: E. Bah
Vancouver FC
6'
M. Amissi · Assist: N. Mezquida
Vancouver FC
38'
M. Amissi · Assist: E. Bah
Vancouver FC
43'
M. Amissi
Vancouver FC
🔄
46'
B. Badibanga ↔ K. Clarke
York United
🟨
53'
O. Leon
York United
🔄
63'
L. Mousset ↔ T. Campbell
Vancouver FC
🔄
63'
M. Amissi ↔ H. Godbout
Vancouver FC
🟨
64'
S. Jimoh
York United
🔄
65'
O. Leon ↔ J. Cordova
York United
🔄
65'
S. Jimoh ↔ A. Almagro
York United
🟨
73'
A. Almagro
York United
🔄
73'
N. Mezquida ↔ L. Toomey
Vancouver FC
🔄
73'
D. Pecile ↔ A. Ouattara
Vancouver FC
🔄
73'
L. Accettola ↔ J. Cabral
York United
🔄
83'
E. Bah ↔ T. Powell
Vancouver FC
🔄
89'
T. Skublak ↔ C. Onyeocha
York United

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 38.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
38.6%
-
BTTS Yes
82.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
-
Corners O/U Under 8.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Vancouver FC Win 38.6%
Draw 28.5%
York United Win 32.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Vancouver FC1.19
York United1.52
Recent Form (Last 5)
Vancouver FC Vancouver FC
WWDLW
11 GF / 22 GA
York United York United
WLDWL
14 GF / 17 GA
Key Stats
0.85
Average Goals Scored
1.4
1.69
Average Goals Conceded
1.7
6
BTTS Yes
7
6
Over 2.5
5
1.77
Shots on Goal
1.67

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Vancouver FC Vancouver FC 13 matches
York United York United 10 matches
Vancouver FC Statistic York United
3 Wins 4
2 Draws 3
8 Losses 3
11 Goals For 14
22 Goals Against 17
0.85 Avg Goals Scored 1.4
1.69 Avg Goals Conceded 1.7
6 BTTS Yes 7
9 Over 1.5 7
6 Over 2.5 5
3 Over 3.5 5
0 Clean Sheets 3
7 Failed To Score 0
1.77 Shots On Goal 1.67
5.92 Total Shots 2.89
2.08 Corners 0.78
21% Ball Possession 10.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward York United having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. York United arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring York United. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Vancouver FC Analysis

Vancouver FC are currently 6 in the standings with 11 points from 10 matches. The record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 9:11 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

York United Analysis

With 12 points from 9 games and a place of 4, York United still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 3 wins, 3 draws, and 3 defeats, and the 13:17 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Vancouver FC won 3 times, York United won 10 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:24 from Vancouver FC's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.53 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (71.5%)
Predicted formations: Vancouver FC 4-4-2 / York United -
H2H summary: Vancouver FC wins 3, draws 2, York United wins 10

Lineups

Vancouver FC
Formation
York United
H. Regitnig
H. Regitnig
M. Doner
M. Doner
M. Campagna
M. Campagna
T. Field
T. Field
K. Proctor
K. Proctor
E. Fotsing
E. Fotsing
D. Pecile
D. Pecile
E. Bah
🎯
E. Bah
N. Mezquida
🎯
N. Mezquida
M. Amissi
⚽ 3
M. Amissi
L. Mousset
L. Mousset
D. Urtiaga
D. Urtiaga
M. Ferrari
M. Ferrari
F. Sturing
F. Sturing
C. Guzman
C. Guzman
O. Leon
O. Leon
S. Jimoh
S. Jimoh
K. Kibato
K. Kibato
L. Accettola
L. Accettola
B. Badibanga
B. Badibanga
O. Bassett
O. Bassett
T. Skublak
T. Skublak
Vancouver FC 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
33
H. Regitnig
3
M. Doner
5
M. Campagna
30
T. Field
23
K. Proctor
17
E. Fotsing
6
D. Pecile
↓ 73'
7
E. Bah
🎯 1' 🎯 38' ↓ 83'
20
N. Mezquida
⚽ 1' 🎯 6' ↓ 73'
10
M. Amissi
⚽ 6' ⚽ 38' ⚽ 43' ↓ 63'
9
L. Mousset
↓ 63'
Substitutes
1
C. Irving
14
T. Campbell
↑ 63'
8
L. Toomey
↑ 73'
12
T. Crawford
18
T. Powell
↑ 83'
24
H. Godbout
↑ 63'
15
A. Ouattara
↑ 73'
York United 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
D. Urtiaga
16
M. Ferrari
5
F. Sturing
8
C. Guzman
4
O. Leon
↓ 65' 🟨 53'
19
S. Jimoh
↓ 65' 🟨 64'
21
K. Kibato
13
L. Accettola
↓ 73'
39
B. Badibanga
↓ 46'
10
O. Bassett
77
T. Skublak
↓ 89'
Substitutes
12
I. Pavela
6
R. Lopez
23
J. Cordova
↑ 65'
11
A. Almagro
↑ 65' 🟨 73'
30
J. Cabral
↑ 73'
36
K. Clarke
↑ 46'
35
C. Onyeocha
↑ 89'
Last matches: Vancouver FC
01.07.26
Can
Vancouver FC
Forge
2
3
L
14.06.26
Can
Vancouver FC
Pacific FC
2
1
W
06.06.26
Can
Vancouver FC
Atlético Ottawa
2
1
W
30.05.26
Can
Vancouver FC
HFX Wanderers FC
0
1
L
23.05.26
Can
Vancouver FC
Supra du Quebec
1
1
D
18.05.26
Can
Vancouver FC
Cavalry FC
0
2
L
03.05.26
Can
Vancouver FC
Pacific FC
3
1
W
26.04.26
Can
Vancouver FC
Atlético Ottawa
1
1
D
19.04.26
Can
Vancouver FC
York United
0
1
L
12.04.26
Can
Vancouver FC
Forge
0
1
L
04.04.26
Can
Vancouver FC
HFX Wanderers FC
0
1
L
13.02.26
CON
Vancouver FC
Cruz Azul
0
5
L
05.02.26
CON
Vancouver FC
Cruz Azul
0
3
L
Last matches: York United
10.06.26
Can
York United
Cavalry FC
1
5
L
07.06.26
Can
York United
Forge
1
4
L
29.05.26
Can
York United
Supra du Quebec
1
3
L
23.05.26
Can
York United
HFX Wanderers FC
1
1
D
17.05.26
Can
York United
Pacific FC
1
0
W
01.05.26
Can
York United
Atlético Ottawa
4
1
W
25.04.26
Can
York United
Cavalry FC
1
1
D
19.04.26
Can
York United
Vancouver FC
1
0
W
11.04.26
Can
York United
HFX Wanderers FC
2
2
D
27.02.26
Fri
York United
Las Vegas Lights
1
0
W
H2H: Vancouver FC vs York United
04.07.26
H2H
Vancouver FC
York United
4
0
W
19.04.26
H2H
York United
Vancouver FC
1
0
L
21.09.25
H2H
Vancouver FC
York United
2
1
W
19.07.25
H2H
York United
Vancouver FC
4
0
L
25.05.25
H2H
York United
Vancouver FC
1
0
L
06.04.25
H2H
Vancouver FC
York United
0
2
L
07.09.24
H2H
Vancouver FC
York United
0
1
L
20.07.24
H2H
Vancouver FC
York United
1
1
D
09.06.24
H2H
York United
Vancouver FC
2
2
D
26.04.24
H2H
York United
Vancouver FC
3
0
L
07.10.23
H2H
Vancouver FC
York United
1
2
L
25.08.23
H2H
York United
Vancouver FC
2
1
L
02.07.23
H2H
Vancouver FC
York United
1
2
L
22.04.23
H2H
York United
Vancouver FC
1
2
W
20.04.23
H2H
York United
Vancouver FC
1
0
L
Last matches: Vancouver FC
14.06.26
Can
Vancouver FC
Pacific FC
2
1
W
06.06.26
Can
Vancouver FC
Atlético Ottawa
2
1
W
23.05.26
Can
Vancouver FC
Supra du Quebec
1
1
D
18.05.26
Can
Vancouver FC
Cavalry FC
0
2
L
12.04.26
Can
Vancouver FC
Forge
0
1
L
04.04.26
Can
Vancouver FC
HFX Wanderers FC
0
1
L
05.02.26
CON
Vancouver FC
Cruz Azul
0
3
L
H2H at home: Vancouver FC
04.07.26
H2H
Vancouver FC
York United
4
0
W
21.09.25
H2H
Vancouver FC
York United
2
1
W
06.04.25
H2H
Vancouver FC
York United
0
2
L
07.09.24
H2H
Vancouver FC
York United
0
1
L
20.07.24
H2H
Vancouver FC
York United
1
1
D
07.10.23
H2H
Vancouver FC
York United
1
2
L
02.07.23
H2H
Vancouver FC
York United
1
2
L
Last matches: York United
29.05.26
Can
York United
Supra du Quebec
1
3
L
23.05.26
Can
York United
HFX Wanderers FC
1
1
D
17.05.26
Can
York United
Pacific FC
1
0
W
25.04.26
Can
York United
Cavalry FC
1
1
D
H2H away: York United
04.07.26
H2H
Vancouver FC
York United
4
0
L
21.09.25
H2H
Vancouver FC
York United
2
1
L
06.04.25
H2H
Vancouver FC
York United
0
2
W
07.09.24
H2H
Vancouver FC
York United
0
1
W
20.07.24
H2H
Vancouver FC
York United
1
1
D
07.10.23
H2H
Vancouver FC
York United
1
2
W
02.07.23
H2H
Vancouver FC
York United
1
2
W

Standings

Canadian Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 12 10 1 1 20:7 13 31
W W W W W
2 11 8 2 1 22:5 17 26
W W W L W
3 12 5 2 5 18:22 -4 17
L W W L D
4 13 4 3 6 17:20 -3 15
W L W L L
5 12 4 2 6 15:14 1 14
W L W W L
6 10 3 3 4 13:21 -8 12
L L L L D
7 10 3 2 5 14:16 -2 11
L L D W D
8 12 0 3 9 13:27 -14 3
L L L D D
Promotion - Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: Semi-finals)