CANADA CANADIAN PREMIER LEAGUE
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Willoughby Community Park Stadium

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 58.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
58.5%
-
BTTS Yes
82.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Vancouver FC Win 58.5%
Draw 8.9%
Atlético Ottawa Win 32.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Vancouver FC1.59
Atlético Ottawa1.4
Recent Form (Last 5)
Vancouver FC Vancouver FC
WWDLW
21 GF / 23 GA
Atlético Ottawa Atlético Ottawa
WLDWL
22 GF / 32 GA
Key Stats
1.31
Average Goals Scored
1.38
1.44
Average Goals Conceded
2
7
BTTS Yes
10
8
Over 2.5
10
1.94
Shots on Goal
1.44

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Vancouver FC Vancouver FC 16 matches
Atlético Ottawa Atlético Ottawa 16 matches
Vancouver FC Statistic Atlético Ottawa
6 Wins 6
2 Draws 3
8 Losses 7
21 Goals For 22
23 Goals Against 32
1.31 Avg Goals Scored 1.38
1.44 Avg Goals Conceded 2
7 BTTS Yes 10
11 Over 1.5 14
8 Over 2.5 10
5 Over 3.5 7
2 Clean Sheets 2
7 Failed To Score 4
1.94 Shots On Goal 1.44
5.56 Total Shots 4.44
2.06 Corners 1.75
19.3% Ball Possession 29.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with Vancouver FC's more proactive style and Atlético Ottawa's more cautious structure likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Vancouver FC expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Atlético Ottawa in 4-3-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Atlético Ottawa having the stronger overall control. Vancouver FC come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Atlético Ottawa.

Vancouver FC Analysis

Vancouver FC come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 4 place with 17 points after 13 matches. With 5 wins, 2 draws, and 6 defeats plus a goal balance of 20:15, they continue to show very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, the split of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Atlético Ottawa Analysis

Placed 3 with 18 points from 13 outings, Atlético Ottawa continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, while the 19:23 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Vancouver FC won 3 times, Atlético Ottawa won 7 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:23 from Vancouver FC's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.47 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.1%)
Predicted formations: Vancouver FC 3-4-3 / Atlético Ottawa 4-3-2-1
H2H summary: Vancouver FC wins 3, draws 5, Atlético Ottawa wins 7
Last matches: Vancouver FC
25.07.26
Can
Vancouver FC
Cavalry FC
1
0
W
17.07.26
Can
Vancouver FC
Supra du Quebec
5
1
W
04.07.26
Can
Vancouver FC
York United
4
0
W
01.07.26
Can
Vancouver FC
Forge
2
3
L
14.06.26
Can
Vancouver FC
Pacific FC
2
1
W
06.06.26
Can
Vancouver FC
Atlético Ottawa
2
1
W
30.05.26
Can
Vancouver FC
HFX Wanderers FC
0
1
L
23.05.26
Can
Vancouver FC
Supra du Quebec
1
1
D
18.05.26
Can
Vancouver FC
Cavalry FC
0
2
L
03.05.26
Can
Vancouver FC
Pacific FC
3
1
W
26.04.26
Can
Vancouver FC
Atlético Ottawa
1
1
D
19.04.26
Can
Vancouver FC
York United
0
1
L
12.04.26
Can
Vancouver FC
Forge
0
1
L
04.04.26
Can
Vancouver FC
HFX Wanderers FC
0
1
L
13.02.26
CON
Vancouver FC
Cruz Azul
0
5
L
05.02.26
CON
Vancouver FC
Cruz Azul
0
3
L
Last matches: Atlético Ottawa
26.07.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Pacific FC
3
2
W
17.07.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
York United
1
1
D
04.07.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Cavalry FC
0
3
L
01.07.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
HFX Wanderers FC
3
1
W
09.06.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Supra du Quebec
5
3
W
06.06.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Vancouver FC
1
2
L
30.05.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Pacific FC
2
2
D
24.05.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Forge
2
1
W
17.05.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
HFX Wanderers FC
1
0
W
01.05.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
York United
1
4
L
26.04.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Vancouver FC
1
1
D
19.04.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Supra du Quebec
1
0
W
12.04.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Cavalry FC
1
3
L
04.04.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Forge
0
2
L
25.02.26
CON
Atlético Ottawa
Nashville SC
0
5
L
18.02.26
CON
Atlético Ottawa
Nashville SC
0
2
L
H2H: Vancouver FC vs Atlético Ottawa
06.06.26
H2H
Vancouver FC
Atlético Ottawa
2
1
W
26.04.26
H2H
Atlético Ottawa
Vancouver FC
1
1
D
12.10.25
H2H
Atlético Ottawa
Vancouver FC
0
0
D
18.09.25
H2H
Atlético Ottawa
Vancouver FC
1
0
L
30.08.25
H2H
Atlético Ottawa
Vancouver FC
3
1
L
14.08.25
H2H
Vancouver FC
Atlético Ottawa
3
1
W
31.05.25
H2H
Vancouver FC
Atlético Ottawa
2
2
D
13.04.25
H2H
Vancouver FC
Atlético Ottawa
1
4
L
19.10.24
H2H
Atlético Ottawa
Vancouver FC
0
0
D
31.08.24
H2H
Atlético Ottawa
Vancouver FC
1
0
L
13.07.24
H2H
Vancouver FC
Atlético Ottawa
0
3
L
12.05.24
H2H
Vancouver FC
Atlético Ottawa
1
1
D
10.09.23
H2H
Vancouver FC
Atlético Ottawa
2
1
W
16.07.23
H2H
Atlético Ottawa
Vancouver FC
3
1
L
17.06.23
H2H
Atlético Ottawa
Vancouver FC
1
0
L
Last matches: Vancouver FC
25.07.26
Can
Vancouver FC
Cavalry FC
1
0
W
04.07.26
Can
Vancouver FC
York United
4
0
W
14.06.26
Can
Vancouver FC
Pacific FC
2
1
W
06.06.26
Can
Vancouver FC
Atlético Ottawa
2
1
W
23.05.26
Can
Vancouver FC
Supra du Quebec
1
1
D
18.05.26
Can
Vancouver FC
Cavalry FC
0
2
L
12.04.26
Can
Vancouver FC
Forge
0
1
L
04.04.26
Can
Vancouver FC
HFX Wanderers FC
0
1
L
05.02.26
CON
Vancouver FC
Cruz Azul
0
3
L
H2H at home: Vancouver FC
06.06.26
H2H
Vancouver FC
Atlético Ottawa
2
1
W
14.08.25
H2H
Vancouver FC
Atlético Ottawa
3
1
W
31.05.25
H2H
Vancouver FC
Atlético Ottawa
2
2
D
13.04.25
H2H
Vancouver FC
Atlético Ottawa
1
4
L
13.07.24
H2H
Vancouver FC
Atlético Ottawa
0
3
L
12.05.24
H2H
Vancouver FC
Atlético Ottawa
1
1
D
10.09.23
H2H
Vancouver FC
Atlético Ottawa
2
1
W
Last matches: Atlético Ottawa
01.07.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
HFX Wanderers FC
3
1
W
06.06.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Vancouver FC
1
2
L
30.05.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Pacific FC
2
2
D
01.05.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
York United
1
4
L
19.04.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Supra du Quebec
1
0
W
12.04.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Cavalry FC
1
3
L
04.04.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Forge
0
2
L
25.02.26
CON
Atlético Ottawa
Nashville SC
0
5
L
H2H away: Atlético Ottawa
06.06.26
H2H
Vancouver FC
Atlético Ottawa
2
1
L
14.08.25
H2H
Vancouver FC
Atlético Ottawa
3
1
L
31.05.25
H2H
Vancouver FC
Atlético Ottawa
2
2
D
13.04.25
H2H
Vancouver FC
Atlético Ottawa
1
4
W
13.07.24
H2H
Vancouver FC
Atlético Ottawa
0
3
W
12.05.24
H2H
Vancouver FC
Atlético Ottawa
1
1
D
10.09.23
H2H
Vancouver FC
Atlético Ottawa
2
1
L

Standings

Canadian Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 13 11 1 1 23:8 15 34
W W W W W
2 14 9 3 2 25:8 17 30
W L D W W
3 14 6 3 5 22:25 -3 21
W D L W W
4 14 6 2 6 21:15 6 20
W W W L W
5 15 4 4 7 20:24 -4 16
L D W L W
6 13 4 2 7 19:25 -6 14
L W L L L
7 12 3 4 5 15:25 -10 13
L D L L L
8 13 0 3 10 15:30 -15 3
L L L L D