ARMENIA › PREMIER LEAGUE
16.05.2026 12:00
Charentsavan City Stadium
Van
Match Timeline
Alashkert
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
36'
Maurinho
Van
🟨
39'
Y. Matyukhin
Alashkert
🟨
56'
Van
Van
⚽
57'
K. Nalbandyan
Alashkert
🔄
61'
N. Manukyan ↔ J. Desire
Van
🔄
67'
Y. Gareginyan ↔ E. Piloyan
Alashkert
🔄
69'
B. Hovhannisyan ↔ A. Karapetyan
Van
🔄
69'
Maurinho ↔ I. I. Daniel
Van
🔄
80'
H. Tatosyan ↔ T. Sargsyan
Van
🔄
80'
S. Reis ↔ D. Krasovski
Van
🔄
89'
O. Farayola ↔ J. Granado
Alashkert
🟨
90+1'
A. Beglaryan
Alashkert
🔄
90+6'
K. Nalbandyan ↔ I. D. Nduka
Alashkert
🔄
90+6'
M. Toure ↔ S. Khalil
Alashkert

Van vs Alashkert Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 73.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 30.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 39.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
73.8%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
30.6%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
39.8%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 0-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Van Win 26.2%
Draw 0%
Alashkert Win 73.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Van0.99
Alashkert1.53
Recent Form (Last 5)
Van Van
WWDLW
26 GF / 37 GA
Alashkert Alashkert
WLDWL
39 GF / 23 GA
Key Stats
1.04
Average Goals Scored
1.56
1.48
Average Goals Conceded
0.92
13
BTTS Yes
13
14
Over 2.5
11
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Van Van 25 matches
Alashkert Alashkert 25 matches
Van Statistic Alashkert
9 Wins 14
4 Draws 5
12 Losses 6
26 Goals For 39
37 Goals Against 23
1.04 Avg Goals Scored 1.56
1.48 Avg Goals Conceded 0.92
13 BTTS Yes 13
17 Over 1.5 19
14 Over 2.5 11
5 Over 3.5 6
6 Clean Sheets 8
9 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Alashkert's more proactive style and Van's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Alashkert. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Alashkert carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 5 with 47 points while Van sit 6 on 31, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Van have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Alashkert having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Van Analysis

Van approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 6 with 31 points from 25 matches. The overall return of 9 wins, 4 draws, and 12 defeats with a 26:37 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on M. Noubissi (7 goals), M. Yansane (6 goals), Eriki (4 goals), with creative support from D. Kulikov (3 assists), S. Vakulenko (2 assists), Alemao (2 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have managed 5 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Alashkert Analysis

Alashkert approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 5 on 47 points after 25 outings. The return of 14 wins, 5 draws, and 6 defeats, together with goals at 39:23, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through K. Nalbandyan (13 goals), M. Toure (10 goals), Caio Henrique (4 goals), with creative support from O. Farayola (7 assists), K. Drammeh (3 assists), K. Nalbandyan (2 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, the split of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Van won 3 times, Alashkert won 7 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:17 from Van's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 1.93 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
H2H summary: Van wins 3, draws 5, Alashkert wins 7

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 27 18 6 4 50:26 24 60
W W L W W
2 27 16 8 3 61:19 42 56
W D W W W
3 27 17 4 6 37:18 19 55
W D W W L
4 27 16 5 6 42:23 19 53
W W W D D
5 27 14 7 6 43:26 17 49
L D W L W
6
Van Home
27 9 4 14 27:40 -13 31
L L W W L
7 27 4 11 12 30:42 -12 23
D L L D W
8 27 5 6 16 20:41 -21 21
L L L L L
9 27 2 7 18 17:51 -34 13
L D L L L
10 27 3 4 20 21:63 -42 13
D L L W L
Champions League Qualification
Conference League Qualification
Relegation