ICELAND ÚRVALSDEILD
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 59%
Odds 1.79
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds 1.33
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 61.1%
Odds 1.34
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
59%
1.79
BTTS Yes
75%
1.33
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
61.1%
1.34
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
1.04
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
5.50
Correct Score 1-2
-
10.00
Probability Distribution
Valur Reykjavik Win 33.1%
Draw 7.9%
Fram Reykjavik Win 59%
Expected Goals (xG)
Valur Reykjavik1.7
Fram Reykjavik2.4
Recent Form (Last 5)
Valur Reykjavik Valur Reykjavik
WWDLW
24 GF / 29 GA
Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik
WLDWL
38 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
1.6
Average Goals Scored
2.71
1.93
Average Goals Conceded
1.86
10
BTTS Yes
10
10
Over 2.5
10
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Valur Reykjavik Valur Reykjavik 15 matches
Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 14 matches
Valur Reykjavik Statistic Fram Reykjavik
6 Wins 9
1 Draws 3
8 Losses 2
24 Goals For 38
29 Goals Against 26
1.6 Avg Goals Scored 2.71
1.93 Avg Goals Conceded 1.86
10 BTTS Yes 10
12 Over 1.5 12
10 Over 2.5 10
7 Over 3.5 10
2 Clean Sheets 2
3 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Fram Reykjavik's more proactive style and Valur Reykjavik's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Fram Reykjavik. Fram Reykjavik look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Fram Reykjavik having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Fram Reykjavik carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 20 points while Valur Reykjavik sit 5 on 15, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

Valur Reykjavik Analysis

With 15 points from 10 games and a place of 5, Valur Reykjavik still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 5 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, together with goals at 19:22, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Fram Reykjavik Analysis

Fram Reykjavik approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 20 points after 9 outings. The return of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeats, together with goals at 25:16, reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, the split of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Valur Reykjavik won 6 times, Fram Reykjavik won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:23 from Valur Reykjavik's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 2.93 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.1%)
H2H summary: Valur Reykjavik wins 6, draws 3, Fram Reykjavik wins 6
Last matches: Valur Reykjavik
12.07.26
Úrv
Valur Reykjavik
FH hafnarfjordur
0
2
L
04.07.26
Úrv
Valur Reykjavik
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
0
1
L
28.06.26
Úrv
Valur Reykjavik
Thor Akureyri
4
2
W
21.06.26
Úrv
Valur Reykjavik
Keflavik
1
1
D
16.06.26
Úrv
Valur Reykjavik
IA Akranes
0
1
L
31.05.26
Úrv
Valur Reykjavik
Vikingur Reykjavik
1
5
L
26.05.26
Úrv
Valur Reykjavik
KR Reykjavik
1
3
L
22.05.26
Úrv
Valur Reykjavik
KA Akureyri
1
0
W
17.05.26
Úrv
Valur Reykjavik
Breidablik
3
2
W
08.05.26
Úrv
Valur Reykjavik
Fram Reykjavik
2
3
L
02.05.26
Úrv
Valur Reykjavik
KR Reykjavik
1
4
L
27.04.26
Úrv
Valur Reykjavik
Stjarnan
4
2
W
23.04.26
Úrv
Valur Reykjavik
FH hafnarfjordur
3
0
W
17.04.26
Úrv
Valur Reykjavik
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
2
1
W
12.04.26
Úrv
Valur Reykjavik
Thor Akureyri
1
2
L
31.07.25
UEF
Valur Reykjavik
Kauno Žalgiris
1
2
L
24.07.25
UEF
Valur Reykjavik
Kauno Žalgiris
1
1
D
17.07.25
UEF
Valur Reykjavik
Flora Tallinn
2
1
W
10.07.25
UEF
Valur Reykjavik
Flora Tallinn
3
0
W
Last matches: Fram Reykjavik
12.07.26
Úrv
Fram Reykjavik
Thor Akureyri
6
1
W
06.07.26
Úrv
Fram Reykjavik
Keflavik
1
1
D
29.06.26
Úrv
Fram Reykjavik
IA Akranes
2
0
W
21.06.26
Úrv
Fram Reykjavik
Vikingur Reykjavik
0
5
L
15.06.26
Úrv
Fram Reykjavik
KA Akureyri
4
3
W
29.05.26
Úrv
Fram Reykjavik
Breidablik
4
3
W
22.05.26
Úrv
Fram Reykjavik
Stjarnan
1
0
W
17.05.26
Úrv
Fram Reykjavik
KR Reykjavik
2
2
D
08.05.26
Úrv
Fram Reykjavik
Valur Reykjavik
3
2
W
03.05.26
Úrv
Fram Reykjavik
FH hafnarfjordur
4
3
W
27.04.26
Úrv
Fram Reykjavik
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
5
1
W
23.04.26
Úrv
Fram Reykjavik
Thor Akureyri
0
1
L
17.04.26
Úrv
Fram Reykjavik
Keflavik
3
1
W
12.04.26
Úrv
Fram Reykjavik
IA Akranes
3
3
D
H2H: Valur Reykjavik vs Fram Reykjavik
08.05.26
H2H
Fram Reykjavik
Valur Reykjavik
3
2
L
28.09.25
H2H
Fram Reykjavik
Valur Reykjavik
2
0
L
31.08.25
H2H
Fram Reykjavik
Valur Reykjavik
2
1
L
02.06.25
H2H
Valur Reykjavik
Fram Reykjavik
2
1
W
18.01.25
H2H
Valur Reykjavik
Fram Reykjavik
1
0
W
28.07.24
H2H
Fram Reykjavik
Valur Reykjavik
4
1
L
29.04.24
H2H
Valur Reykjavik
Fram Reykjavik
1
1
D
24.02.24
H2H
Valur Reykjavik
Fram Reykjavik
2
1
W
31.01.24
H2H
Fram Reykjavik
Valur Reykjavik
3
2
L
23.07.23
H2H
Valur Reykjavik
Fram Reykjavik
1
0
W
23.04.23
H2H
Fram Reykjavik
Valur Reykjavik
1
3
W
25.01.23
H2H
Fram Reykjavik
Valur Reykjavik
0
0
D
29.08.22
H2H
Valur Reykjavik
Fram Reykjavik
1
1
D
29.05.22
H2H
Fram Reykjavik
Valur Reykjavik
3
2
L
07.03.19
H2H
Valur Reykjavik
Fram Reykjavik
2
1
W
Last matches: Valur Reykjavik
21.06.26
Úrv
Valur Reykjavik
Keflavik
1
1
D
31.05.26
Úrv
Valur Reykjavik
Vikingur Reykjavik
1
5
L
17.05.26
Úrv
Valur Reykjavik
Breidablik
3
2
W
02.05.26
Úrv
Valur Reykjavik
KR Reykjavik
1
4
L
23.04.26
Úrv
Valur Reykjavik
FH hafnarfjordur
3
0
W
17.04.26
Úrv
Valur Reykjavik
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
2
1
W
12.04.26
Úrv
Valur Reykjavik
Thor Akureyri
1
2
L
31.07.25
UEF
Valur Reykjavik
Kauno Žalgiris
1
2
L
10.07.25
UEF
Valur Reykjavik
Flora Tallinn
3
0
W
H2H at home: Valur Reykjavik
02.06.25
H2H
Valur Reykjavik
Fram Reykjavik
2
1
W
18.01.25
H2H
Valur Reykjavik
Fram Reykjavik
1
0
W
29.04.24
H2H
Valur Reykjavik
Fram Reykjavik
1
1
D
24.02.24
H2H
Valur Reykjavik
Fram Reykjavik
2
1
W
23.07.23
H2H
Valur Reykjavik
Fram Reykjavik
1
0
W
29.08.22
H2H
Valur Reykjavik
Fram Reykjavik
1
1
D
07.03.19
H2H
Valur Reykjavik
Fram Reykjavik
2
1
W
Last matches: Fram Reykjavik
06.07.26
Úrv
Fram Reykjavik
Keflavik
1
1
D
29.06.26
Úrv
Fram Reykjavik
IA Akranes
2
0
W
15.06.26
Úrv
Fram Reykjavik
KA Akureyri
4
3
W
22.05.26
Úrv
Fram Reykjavik
Stjarnan
1
0
W
17.05.26
Úrv
Fram Reykjavik
KR Reykjavik
2
2
D
03.05.26
Úrv
Fram Reykjavik
FH hafnarfjordur
4
3
W
23.04.26
Úrv
Fram Reykjavik
Thor Akureyri
0
1
L
H2H away: Fram Reykjavik
02.06.25
H2H
Valur Reykjavik
Fram Reykjavik
2
1
L
18.01.25
H2H
Valur Reykjavik
Fram Reykjavik
1
0
L
29.04.24
H2H
Valur Reykjavik
Fram Reykjavik
1
1
D
24.02.24
H2H
Valur Reykjavik
Fram Reykjavik
2
1
L
23.07.23
H2H
Valur Reykjavik
Fram Reykjavik
1
0
L
29.08.22
H2H
Valur Reykjavik
Fram Reykjavik
1
1
D
07.03.19
H2H
Valur Reykjavik
Fram Reykjavik
2
1
L
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 1.79
Draw 4.28
Home 3.76
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.22
Draw 2.78
Home 3.99
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 2.5 1.34
Over 3.0 1.48
Over 3.25 1.67
Over 3.5 1.85
Over 3.75 2.04
Over 4.0 2.34
Over 4.25 2.41
Over 4.5 2.84
Over 5.5 4.83
Under 2.5 3.22
Under 3.0 2.63
Under 3.25 2.21
Under 3.5 1.97
Under 3.75 1.78
Under 4.0 1.60
Under 4.25 1.54
Under 4.5 1.41
Under 5.5 1.17
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 1.75
Draw 4.10
Home 3.50
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.20
Draw 2.75
Home 3.60
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.00
Draw 3.10
Home 3.40
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.01
Over 1.5 1.08
Over 2.5 1.30
Over 3.5 1.73
Over 4.5 2.62
Over 5.5 4.33
Over 6.5 7.50
Over 7.5 10.50
Over 8.5 17.00
Over 9.5 21.00
Under 0.5 29.00
Under 1.5 7.00
Under 2.5 3.40
Under 3.5 2.00
Under 4.5 1.44
Under 5.5 1.20
Under 6.5 1.07
Under 7.5 1.02
Under 8.5 1.00
Under 9.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 1.79
Draw 4.10
Home 3.71
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.23
Draw 2.53
Home 3.88
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.03
Draw 3.04
Home 3.58
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.01
Over 1.0 1.01
Over 1.5 1.04
Over 1.75 1.06
Over 2.0 1.07
Over 2.25 1.19
Over 2.5 1.28
Over 2.75 1.36
Over 3.0 1.42
Over 3.25 1.64
Over 3.5 1.81
Over 3.75 1.95
Over 4.0 2.20
Over 4.25 2.46
Over 4.5 2.66
Over 4.75 3.10
Over 5.0 3.92
Over 5.25 4.20
Over 5.5 4.50
Over 6.0 7.40
Over 6.5 7.50
Over 7.5 10.50
Over 8.5 17.00
Over 9.5 21.00
Under 0.5 19.50
Under 1.0 14.00
Under 1.5 6.75
Under 1.75 6.33
Under 2.0 5.85
Under 2.25 4.00
Under 2.5 3.08
Under 2.75 2.89
Under 3.0 2.55
Under 3.25 2.20
Under 3.5 1.95
Under 3.75 1.75
Under 4.0 1.56
Under 4.25 1.46
Under 4.5 1.37
Under 4.75 1.29
Under 5.0 1.18
Under 5.25 1.15
Under 5.5 1.13
Under 6.0 1.03
Under 6.5 1.07
Under 7.5 1.02
Under 8.5 1.00
Under 9.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 1.80
Draw 3.75
Home 3.25
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.23
Draw 2.65
Home 3.35
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.05
Draw 3.05
Home 3.20
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.04
Over 2.5 1.27
Over 3.5 1.70
Over 4.5 2.55
Over 5.5 4.10
Under 1.5 6.40
Under 2.5 3.20
Under 3.5 1.94
Under 4.5 1.40
Under 5.5 1.16

Standings

Regular Season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 14 13 1 0 48:9 39 40
W W W W W
2 15 10 2 3 53:36 17 32
W D L W L
3 14 9 3 2 38:26 12 30
W D W L W
4 14 7 4 3 34:26 8 25
W W L W D
5 15 6 1 8 24:29 -5 19
L L W D L
6 14 4 4 6 19:26 -7 16
L D W D L
7 14 4 3 7 28:31 -3 15
D W L D W
8 14 4 3 7 24:31 -7 15
L W D W W
9 14 4 3 7 19:28 -9 15
L L L L W
10 14 4 1 9 22:30 -8 13
W L L L L
11 14 2 5 7 20:31 -11 11
W D D D W
12 14 2 2 10 15:41 -26 8
L D L D L