MALTA PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Referee: S. Petrovic
Valletta FC
Match Timeline
Floriana
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
46'
S. Borg ↔ N. Micallef
Valletta FC
🔄
65'
S. Brewer ↔ A. Adebayo
Valletta FC
🔄
65'
C. M'Mombwa ↔ K. Dervisagic
Floriana
🔄
65'
R. Areias ↔ M. Jah
Floriana
🔄
81'
P. Mbong ↔ J. Grech
Floriana
🔄
91'
D. Vella ↔ K. Mabea
Floriana
🔄
97'
Yuri ↔ A. Zammit
Valletta FC
🔄
102'
J. Mendoza ↔ Y. Yankam
Valletta FC
🔄
103'
C. Zammit Lonardelli ↔ Z. Scerri
Floriana
🔄
115'
Maringa Adilson ↔ J. Archibald
Valletta FC
🔄
115'
Thaylor ↔ M. Ellul
Valletta FC

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 83.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 21.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 39.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
83.7%
-
BTTS BTTS No
21.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
39.8%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Valletta FC Win 83.7%
Draw 0%
Floriana Win 16.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Valletta FC1.16
Floriana1.28
Recent Form (Last 5)
Valletta FC Valletta FC
WWDLW
41 GF / 24 GA
Floriana Floriana
WLDWL
59 GF / 35 GA
Key Stats
1.28
Average Goals Scored
1.64
0.75
Average Goals Conceded
0.97
14
BTTS Yes
20
9
Over 2.5
18
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Valletta FC Valletta FC 32 matches
Floriana Floriana 36 matches
Valletta FC Statistic Floriana
14 Wins 23
11 Draws 8
7 Losses 5
41 Goals For 59
24 Goals Against 35
1.28 Avg Goals Scored 1.64
0.75 Avg Goals Conceded 0.97
14 BTTS Yes 20
20 Over 1.5 27
9 Over 2.5 18
5 Over 3.5 11
12 Clean Sheets 14
11 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

In knockout conditions, this fixture pairs two sides with a fairly similar football identity, which should make the margins especially important. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Floriana hold an advantage after winning the first leg 2-0, so Valletta FC now have a 2-goal deficit to overturn. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Valletta FC having the stronger overall control. Floriana come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. Floriana arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 37 points compared to Valletta FC in 4 on 24, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Valletta FC. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Valletta FC Analysis

Floriana enter this tie with a season profile built on 37 points from 16 matches, placing them 1 in their league. The return of 11 wins, 4 draws, and 1 defeats, together with a 28:12 goal balance, points toward very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking influence is driven by J. Grech (11 goals), M. Jah (8 goals), F. Varela (7 goals), and at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses fits a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Floriana Analysis

Valletta FC enter this tie with a season profile built on 24 points from 16 matches, placing them 4 in their league. With 6 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses plus a goal ratio of 21:13, they bring mixed form over their recent run into this tie. Going forward they rely on Yuri (12 goals), A. Zammit (6 goals), A. Adebayo (5 goals), while defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the return of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Valletta FC won 2 times, Floriana won 8 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:16 from Valletta FC's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.43 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Valletta FC 4-3-3 / Floriana 4-3-3
H2H summary: Valletta FC wins 2, draws 4, Floriana wins 8

Lineups

Valletta FC
Formation
Floriana
Maringa Adilson
Maringa Adilson
S. Borg
S. Borg
B. Paiber
B. Paiber
J. Azzopardi
J. Azzopardi
D. Tavares
D. Tavares
S. Brewer
S. Brewer
E. Mbende
E. Mbende
Yuri
Yuri
Thaylor
Thaylor
J. Mendoza
J. Mendoza
S. Radic
S. Radic
G. Cioletti
G. Cioletti
M. Beerman
M. Beerman
F. Varela
F. Varela
D. Vella
D. Vella
A. Kurtalic
A. Kurtalic
O. Spiteri
O. Spiteri
C. Zammit Lonardelli
C. Zammit Lonardelli
C. M'Mombwa
C. M'Mombwa
I. Mendonca
I. Mendonca
P. Mbong
P. Mbong
R. Areias
R. Areias
Valletta FC 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
90
Maringa Adilson
↓ 115'
4
S. Borg
↓ 46'
10
B. Paiber
11
J. Azzopardi
19
D. Tavares
28
S. Brewer
↓ 65'
33
E. Mbende
50
Yuri
↓ 97'
77
Thaylor
↓ 115'
98
J. Mendoza
↓ 102'
55
S. Radic
Substitutes
1
J. Archibald
↑ 115'
13
L. Frendo
3
M. Ellul
↑ 115'
5
Z. Formosa
8
A. Zammit
↑ 97'
20
Y. Yankam
↑ 102'
29
A. Adebayo
↑ 65'
31
T. Melillo
44
N. Micallef
↑ 46'
80
M. P. Grech
99
S. Meijer
Floriana 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
23
G. Cioletti
3
M. Beerman
10
F. Varela
12
D. Vella
↓ 91'
14
A. Kurtalic
17
O. Spiteri
21
C. Zammit Lonardelli
↓ 103'
24
C. M'Mombwa
↓ 65'
34
I. Mendonca
88
P. Mbong
↓ 81'
94
R. Areias
↓ 65'
Substitutes
1
P. Picon
4
Antonio Lara
5
G. Rodgers
8
J. Grech
↑ 81'
9
K. Dervisagic
↑ 65'
11
Z. Scerri
↑ 103'
15
K. Mabea
↑ 91'
19
M. Jah
↑ 65'
20
E. Piscopo
27
Z. Vella Newell
99
D. Attard
Last matches: Valletta FC
23.07.26
UEF
Valletta FC
Raków Częstochowa
1
3
L
11.07.26
Fri
Valletta FC
Balzan FC
2
1
W
15.05.26
Pre
Valletta FC
Hamrun Spartans
0
2
L
02.05.26
Pre
Valletta FC
Hamrun Spartans
2
1
W
26.04.26
Pre
Valletta FC
Marsaxlokk
0
1
L
18.04.26
Pre
Valletta FC
Floriana
0
2
L
15.04.26
Pre
Valletta FC
Naxxar Lions
1
1
D
12.04.26
Pre
Valletta FC
Gzira United
2
1
W
14.03.26
Pre
Valletta FC
Marsaxlokk
1
1
D
08.03.26
Pre
Valletta FC
Tarxien Rainbows
3
1
W
28.02.26
Pre
Valletta FC
Hibernians
1
1
D
21.02.26
Pre
Valletta FC
Sliema Wanderers
0
1
L
17.02.26
Pre
Valletta FC
Zabbar St. Patrick
0
0
D
13.02.26
Pre
Valletta FC
Gzira United
2
0
W
08.02.26
Pre
Valletta FC
Birkirkara
0
1
L
04.02.26
Pre
Valletta FC
Floriana
0
0
D
01.02.26
Pre
Valletta FC
Naxxar Lions
4
2
W
24.01.26
Pre
Valletta FC
Hamrun Spartans
0
0
D
16.01.26
Pre
Valletta FC
Mosta
5
0
W
10.01.26
Pre
Valletta FC
Floriana
0
0
D
Last matches: Floriana
21.07.26
UEF
Floriana
Drita
1
1
D
14.07.26
UEF
Floriana
Shamrock Rovers
1
5
L
07.07.26
UEF
Floriana
Shamrock Rovers
2
0
W
16.05.26
Pre
Floriana
Marsaxlokk
2
1
W
30.04.26
Pre
Floriana
Gzira United
1
0
W
25.04.26
Pre
Floriana
Hamrun Spartans
1
4
L
18.04.26
Pre
Floriana
Valletta FC
2
0
W
15.04.26
Pre
Floriana
Marsaxlokk
3
1
W
11.04.26
Pre
Floriana
Naxxar Lions
1
0
W
14.03.26
Pre
Floriana
Birkirkara
2
2
D
07.03.26
Pre
Floriana
Sliema Wanderers
1
0
W
01.03.26
Pre
Floriana
Hamrun Spartans
1
1
D
22.02.26
Pre
Floriana
Hibernians
4
1
W
18.02.26
Pre
Floriana
Marsaxlokk
0
0
D
15.02.26
Pre
Floriana
Tarxien Rainbows
2
0
W
08.02.26
Pre
Floriana
Gzira United
2
1
W
04.02.26
Pre
Floriana
Valletta FC
0
0
D
01.02.26
Pre
Floriana
Zabbar St. Patrick
3
0
W
25.01.26
Pre
Floriana
Mosta
2
1
W
17.01.26
Pre
Floriana
Naxxar Lions
3
1
W
H2H: Valletta FC vs Floriana
09.05.26
H2H
Valletta FC
Floriana
0
0
D
18.04.26
H2H
Floriana
Valletta FC
2
0
L
04.02.26
H2H
Valletta FC
Floriana
0
0
D
10.01.26
H2H
Floriana
Valletta FC
0
0
D
16.09.25
H2H
Floriana
Valletta FC
0
2
W
06.04.24
H2H
Valletta FC
Floriana
0
2
L
03.12.23
H2H
Floriana
Valletta FC
1
0
L
29.01.23
H2H
Valletta FC
Floriana
0
0
D
10.09.22
H2H
Floriana
Valletta FC
1
0
L
15.05.22
H2H
Valletta FC
Floriana
1
2
L
17.01.22
H2H
Valletta FC
Floriana
0
2
L
11.09.21
H2H
Floriana
Valletta FC
3
0
L
03.04.21
H2H
Floriana
Valletta FC
0
0
D
06.12.20
H2H
Valletta FC
Floriana
0
3
L
02.02.20
H2H
Floriana
Valletta FC
0
1
W
Last matches: Valletta FC
15.05.26
Pre
Valletta FC
Hamrun Spartans
0
2
L
02.05.26
Pre
Valletta FC
Hamrun Spartans
2
1
W
12.04.26
Pre
Valletta FC
Gzira United
2
1
W
08.03.26
Pre
Valletta FC
Tarxien Rainbows
3
1
W
21.02.26
Pre
Valletta FC
Sliema Wanderers
0
1
L
04.02.26
Pre
Valletta FC
Floriana
0
0
D
01.02.26
Pre
Valletta FC
Naxxar Lions
4
2
W
24.01.26
Pre
Valletta FC
Hamrun Spartans
0
0
D
07.01.26
Pre
Valletta FC
Birkirkara
2
0
W
20.12.25
Pre
Valletta FC
Marsaxlokk
1
0
W
14.12.25
Pre
Valletta FC
Sliema Wanderers
1
2
L
02.11.25
Pre
Valletta FC
Zabbar St. Patrick
0
2
L
28.10.25
Pre
Valletta FC
Gzira United
1
1
D
25.10.25
Pre
Valletta FC
Hibernians
1
0
W
24.09.25
Pre
Valletta FC
Mosta
4
1
W
12.09.25
Pre
Valletta FC
Marsaxlokk
3
1
W
16.08.25
Pre
Valletta FC
Birkirkara
0
0
D
H2H at home: Valletta FC
09.05.26
H2H
Valletta FC
Floriana
0
0
D
04.02.26
H2H
Valletta FC
Floriana
0
0
D
06.04.24
H2H
Valletta FC
Floriana
0
2
L
29.01.23
H2H
Valletta FC
Floriana
0
0
D
15.05.22
H2H
Valletta FC
Floriana
1
2
L
17.01.22
H2H
Valletta FC
Floriana
0
2
L
06.12.20
H2H
Valletta FC
Floriana
0
3
L
Last matches: Floriana
14.07.26
UEF
Floriana
Shamrock Rovers
1
5
L
30.04.26
Pre
Floriana
Gzira United
1
0
W
15.04.26
Pre
Floriana
Marsaxlokk
3
1
W
11.04.26
Pre
Floriana
Naxxar Lions
1
0
W
14.03.26
Pre
Floriana
Birkirkara
2
2
D
07.03.26
Pre
Floriana
Sliema Wanderers
1
0
W
01.03.26
Pre
Floriana
Hamrun Spartans
1
1
D
08.02.26
Pre
Floriana
Gzira United
2
1
W
04.02.26
Pre
Floriana
Valletta FC
0
0
D
01.02.26
Pre
Floriana
Zabbar St. Patrick
3
0
W
03.10.25
Pre
Floriana
Hibernians
1
0
W
27.09.25
Pre
Floriana
Mosta
1
0
W
20.09.25
Pre
Floriana
Marsaxlokk
2
1
W
23.08.25
Pre
Floriana
Tarxien Rainbows
1
0
W
17.08.25
Pre
Floriana
Naxxar Lions
3
1
W
22.07.25
UEF
Floriana
Ballkani
2
4
L
17.07.25
UEF
Floriana
Haverfordwest County AFC
3
2
W
H2H away: Floriana
09.05.26
H2H
Valletta FC
Floriana
0
0
D
04.02.26
H2H
Valletta FC
Floriana
0
0
D
06.04.24
H2H
Valletta FC
Floriana
0
2
W
29.01.23
H2H
Valletta FC
Floriana
0
0
D
15.05.22
H2H
Valletta FC
Floriana
1
2
W
17.01.22
H2H
Valletta FC
Floriana
0
2
W
06.12.20
H2H
Valletta FC
Floriana
0
3
W

Standings

Premier League , Opening Round
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 11 7 2 2 17:11 6 23
W W W L W
2 11 6 4 1 15:6 9 22
W L L W W
3 11 6 4 1 16:8 8 22
L L W L L
4 11 5 4 2 16:14 2 19
L D D W D
5 11 5 3 3 14:11 3 18
L W W W W
6 11 4 4 3 12:8 4 16
D D D L W
7 11 4 3 4 20:18 2 15
L W D L D
8 11 3 4 4 14:18 -4 13
L D L W L
9 11 3 2 6 13:19 -6 11
W D L D W
10 11 2 4 5 11:14 -3 10
W L W D D
11 11 1 2 8 10:18 -8 5
L L D L D
12 11 1 2 8 8:21 -13 5
L W W D D
Championship round
Relegation Round