25.04.2026 14:15
Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla
Referee: M. H. De Aza
Valladolid
Match Timeline
Real Sociedad II
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
15'
Stanko Jurić
Valladolid
🔄
46'
R. Martinez ↔ P. Tomeo
Valladolid
🔄
58'
Peter Federico ↔ A. Ndiaye
Valladolid
🔄
58'
Chuki ↔ J. Latasa
Valladolid
🔄
67'
A. Marchal ↔ D. Diaz
Real Sociedad II
🔄
67'
A. Mariezkurrena ↔ M. Rodriguez
Real Sociedad II
🔄
71'
Marcos Andre ↔ L. Sanseviero
Valladolid
🔄
76'
L. Astiazaran ↔ G. Gorosabel
Real Sociedad II
🔄
77'
S. Juric ↔ M. Lachuer
Valladolid
🔄
84'
U. Agote ↔ J. Garro
Real Sociedad II
🔄
84'
A. Dadie Izagirre ↔ I. Calderon
Real Sociedad II
⚽
88'
L. Sanseviero · Assist: S. Biuk
Valladolid
🟨
89'
Gorka Carrera Zarranz
Real Sociedad II
🟨
90+4'
Mathis Lachuer
Valladolid

Valladolid vs Real Sociedad II Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 94.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 66.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 70.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
94.7%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
66.3%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
70.5%
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Valladolid Win 50.6%
Draw 5.4%
Real Sociedad II Win 44%
Expected Goals (xG)
Valladolid1.22
Real Sociedad II1.3
Recent Form (Last 5)
Valladolid Valladolid
WWDLW
39 GF / 49 GA
Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad II
WLDWL
46 GF / 53 GA
Key Stats
1.05
Average Goals Scored
1.28
1.32
Average Goals Conceded
1.47
15
BTTS Yes
18
16
Over 2.5
16
4.14
Shots on Goal
4.39

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Valladolid Valladolid 37 matches
Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad II 36 matches
Valladolid Statistic Real Sociedad II
10 Wins 11
10 Draws 8
17 Losses 17
39 Goals For 46
49 Goals Against 53
1.05 Avg Goals Scored 1.28
1.32 Avg Goals Conceded 1.47
15 BTTS Yes 18
22 Over 1.5 25
16 Over 2.5 16
9 Over 3.5 9
9 Clean Sheets 9
16 Failed To Score 11
4.14 Shots On Goal 4.39
12.83 Total Shots 12.56
5.44 Corners 3.67
49.4% Ball Possession 43.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Real Sociedad II. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Valladolid Analysis

Valladolid approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 17 with 40 points from 36 matches. The overall return of 10 wins, 10 draws, and 16 defeats with a 39:47 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Chuky (7 goals), J. Latasa (6 goals), Peter González (6 goals), with creative support from Chuky (7 assists), S. Biuk (4 assists), Julien Ponceau (3 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 6 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Real Sociedad II Analysis

With 41 points from 36 games and a place of 16, Real Sociedad II still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 11 wins, 8 draws, and 17 defeats with a 45:50 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on Gorka Carrera Zarranz (14 goals), Job Ochieng (8 goals), Lander Astiazaran (5 goals), with creative support from Gorka Gorosabel (5 assists), Gorka Carrera Zarranz (3 assists), Lander Astiazaran (3 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 3 draws, and 11 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Valladolid won 2 times, Real Sociedad II won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:3 from Valladolid's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.75 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.7%)
Predicted formations: Valladolid 4-2-3-1 / Real Sociedad II 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Valladolid wins 2, draws 0, Real Sociedad II wins 2

Standings

Segunda División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 42 25 7 10 90:61 29 82
W D W W W
2 42 22 11 9 65:44 21 77
L W W W W
3 42 22 8 12 81:63 18 74
L D W D W
4 42 21 10 11 75:52 23 73
W D D W W
5 42 20 13 9 57:40 17 73
D L W D W
6 42 20 12 10 70:51 19 72
L D W W D
7 42 20 12 10 48:33 15 72
W W W D D
8 42 19 10 13 52:40 12 67
L W L W L
9 42 18 7 17 60:54 6 61
W W W L L
10 42 17 10 15 57:61 -4 61
D L L W W
11 42 17 10 15 51:63 -12 61
W W L D W
12 42 16 11 15 56:55 1 59
L W W W W
13 42 16 10 16 62:54 8 58
L L L W L
14 42 12 12 18 50:56 -6 48
L L L L W
15 42 12 11 19 52:61 -9 47
D L D W D
16 42 11 13 18 43:51 -8 46
W L D L L
17 42 12 10 20 44:57 -13 46
L L L W L
18 42 11 10 21 41:61 -20 43
L W D L D
19 42 10 10 22 47:69 -22 40
L W D L L
20 42 9 11 22 41:63 -22 38
D L D L L
21 42 9 10 23 39:68 -29 37
D L W L D
22 42 8 12 22 35:59 -24 36
L D L L L
Promotion
Promotion Play-offs
Relegation