27.09.2026 12:00

Valladolid vs Cordoba Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 65.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
65.2%
-
BTTS Yes
67.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
89.4%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Valladolid Win 34.8%
Draw 22.1%
Cordoba Win 43.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Valladolid1.46
Cordoba1.19
Recent Form (Last 5)
Valladolid Valladolid
WWDLW
14 GF / 12 GA
Cordoba Cordoba
WLDWL
15 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
1.27
Average Goals Scored
1.25
1.09
Average Goals Conceded
1.75
4
BTTS Yes
8
4
Over 2.5
8
3.5
Shots on Goal
4.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Valladolid Valladolid 11 matches
Cordoba Cordoba 12 matches
Valladolid Statistic Cordoba
4 Wins 4
3 Draws 3
4 Losses 5
14 Goals For 15
12 Goals Against 21
1.27 Avg Goals Scored 1.25
1.09 Avg Goals Conceded 1.75
4 BTTS Yes 8
7 Over 1.5 10
4 Over 2.5 8
2 Over 3.5 5
3 Clean Sheets 2
5 Failed To Score 3
3.5 Shots On Goal 4.5
11.67 Total Shots 15.67
3.5 Corners 5.33
51.7% Ball Possession 55.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Valladolid expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Cordoba in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Cordoba having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Cordoba. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Valladolid Analysis

Valladolid approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 18 with 4 points from 5 matches. The overall return of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 3 defeats with a 2:7 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Luis Chacón (1 goals), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Cordoba Analysis

With 6 points from 6 games and a place of 16, Cordoba still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, together with goals at 9:13, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Percan (2 goals), Cristian Carracedo (1 goals), Diego Bri (1 goals), with creative support from Percan (1 assists), Cristian Carracedo (1 assists), Diego Bri (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Valladolid won 2 times, Cordoba won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:8 from Valladolid's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.83 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (77.9%)
Predicted formations: Valladolid 4-2-3-1 / Cordoba 4-3-3
H2H summary: Valladolid wins 2, draws 2, Cordoba wins 2

Standings

Segunda
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 5 1 0 12:2 10 16
W W W W D
2 6 5 0 1 12:4 8 15
W W W W W
3 6 4 1 1 8:2 6 13
W W D W L
4 6 4 0 2 10:4 6 12
W W W L L
5 6 3 2 1 10:7 3 11
W W D D L
6 6 3 2 1 7:5 2 11
W L W W D
7 6 3 2 1 6:5 1 11
W L D W W
8 6 3 1 2 12:8 4 10
W L W W L
9 6 3 1 2 5:4 1 10
W L L W W
10 6 3 1 2 8:8 0 10
L W D L W
11 6 3 1 2 7:8 -1 10
L W D L W
12 6 2 2 2 8:7 1 8
L W D D W
13 6 2 2 2 5:4 1 8
L W D W L
14 6 2 2 2 8:8 0 8
L D L W W
15 6 2 1 3 7:10 -3 7
L L W L W
16 6 2 0 4 9:13 -4 6
W L L L W
17 6 1 2 3 4:8 -4 5
L W D L D
18 6 1 2 3 3:8 -5 5
D L W D L
19 6 0 3 3 6:9 -3 3
L L L D D
20 6 1 0 5 9:13 -4 3
L L L L L
21 6 0 1 5 4:10 -6 1
L D L L L
22 6 0 1 5 3:16 -13 1
D L L L L
Promotion - LaLiga
Promotion - LaLiga2 (Promotion - Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Relegation