NORWAY ELITESERIEN
--.--.---- --:--
Intility Arena
Referee: M. Lien
Valerenga
Match Timeline
Sarpsborg 08 FF
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
6'
F. Thorvaldsen · Assist: C. Lange
Valerenga
11'
D. Karlsbakk · Assist: S. Christiansen
Sarpsborg 08 FF
20'
Elias Sørensen
Valerenga
20'
E. Sorensen
Valerenga
28'
A. Nibe · Assist: C. Niyukuri
Sarpsborg 08 FF
🟨
30'
Aaron Kiil Olsen
Valerenga
🔄
46'
V. Hedenstad ↔ H. Sjatil
Valerenga
🔄
64'
L. Haren ↔ M. Grundetjern
Valerenga
🔄
64'
M. Westergaard ↔ O. T. Holm
Valerenga
🔄
80'
C. Niyukuri ↔ M. Odegaard
Sarpsborg 08 FF
🔄
83'
E. Sorensen ↔ P. Strand
Valerenga
🔄
83'
D. Karlsbakk ↔ N. Williams
Sarpsborg 08 FF
🔄
83'
A. Nibe ↔ B. Gueye
Sarpsborg 08 FF
🔄
88'
C. Lange ↔ F. Ambina
Valerenga
🔄
90'
A. Hiim ↔ E. Wichne
Sarpsborg 08 FF
90'
M. Grundetjern · Assist: P. Strand
Valerenga

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 76.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 40%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 39.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
76.6%
-
BTTS BTTS No
40%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
39.8%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Valerenga Win 43.1%
Draw 33.5%
Sarpsborg 08 FF Win 23.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Valerenga1.57
Sarpsborg 08 FF1.52
Recent Form (Last 5)
Valerenga Valerenga
WWDLW
26 GF / 22 GA
Sarpsborg 08 FF Sarpsborg 08 FF
WLDWL
28 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
1.73
Average Goals Scored
1.56
1.47
Average Goals Conceded
1.33
7
BTTS Yes
9
7
Over 2.5
10
4.63
Shots on Goal
3.88

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Valerenga Valerenga 15 matches
Sarpsborg 08 FF Sarpsborg 08 FF 18 matches
Valerenga Statistic Sarpsborg 08 FF
7 Wins 9
3 Draws 3
5 Losses 6
26 Goals For 28
22 Goals Against 24
1.73 Avg Goals Scored 1.56
1.47 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33
7 BTTS Yes 9
10 Over 1.5 15
7 Over 2.5 10
6 Over 3.5 6
5 Clean Sheets 5
3 Failed To Score 4
4.63 Shots On Goal 3.88
14.75 Total Shots 11.38
7.5 Corners 5.88
47% Ball Possession 48.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Valerenga expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Sarpsborg 08 FF in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Sarpsborg 08 FF having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Sarpsborg 08 FF. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Valerenga Analysis

With 8 points from 8 games and a place of 11, Valerenga still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, together with goals at 7:12, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through C. Lange (2 goals), Lucas Haren (2 goals), I. Nasberg (1 goals), with creative support from M. Grundetjern (1 assists), H. Bjordal (1 assists), K. Finnsson (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 1 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Sarpsborg 08 FF Analysis

Sarpsborg 08 FF approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 9 with 8 points from 8 matches. Their record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, together with goals at 7:11, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through V. E. Halvorsen (2 goals), A. Sher (1 goals), C. Niyukuri (1 goals), with creative support from V. E. Halvorsen (1 assists), S. Sorli (1 assists), B. Utvik (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Valerenga won 8 times, Sarpsborg 08 FF won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 31:19 from Valerenga's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.85 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (76.6%)
Predicted formations: Valerenga 4-4-2 / Sarpsborg 08 FF 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Valerenga 2, Sarpsborg 08 FF 6
H2H summary: Valerenga wins 8, draws 2, Sarpsborg 08 FF wins 3
Stats
Valerenga Valerenga
Sarpsborg 08 FF Sarpsborg 08 FF
Shots on Goal
7
Shots on Goal
10
Shots off Goal
4
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
5
7 Corner Kicks 0
13 Fouls 11
1 Offsides 2
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 19
7 Shots on Goal 10
4 Shots off Goal 4
3 Blocked Shots 5
12 Shots insidebox 13
2 Shots outsidebox 6
8 Goalkeeper Saves 4
457 Total passes 384
366 Passes accurate 296
2.08 expected_goals 1.72
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 0 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Sarpsborg 08 FF
Formation
Valerenga
M. Ndiaye
M. Ndiaye
C. Niyukuri
🎯
C. Niyukuri
B. Utvik
B. Utvik
M. Koch
M. Koch
A. Hiim
A. Hiim
S. Christiansen
🎯
S. Christiansen
A. Sher
A. Sher
S. Sorli
S. Sorli
V. E. Halvorsen
V. E. Halvorsen
A. Nibe
A. Nibe
D. Karlsbakk
D. Karlsbakk
O. Hedvall
O. Hedvall
V. Hedenstad
V. Hedenstad
A. Olsen
A. Olsen
I. Nasberg
I. Nasberg
K. Finnsson
K. Finnsson
H. Bjordal
H. Bjordal
C. Lange
🎯
C. Lange
M. Westergaard
M. Westergaard
E. Sorensen
⚽ 2
E. Sorensen
F. Thorvaldsen
F. Thorvaldsen
L. Haren
L. Haren
Sarpsborg 08 FF 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
M. Ndiaye
G
12
C. Niyukuri
🎯 28' ↓ 80'
D
4
B. Utvik
D
2
M. Koch
D
21
A. Hiim
↓ 90'
D
8
S. Christiansen
🎯 11'
M
6
A. Sher
M
10
S. Sorli
M
22
V. E. Halvorsen
M
33
A. Nibe
⚽ 28' ↓ 83'
M
11
D. Karlsbakk
⚽ 11' ↓ 83'
F
Substitutes
87
L. Oy
G
32
E. Wichne
↑ 90'
D
17
N. Williams
↑ 83'
M
81
M. Svenningsen Gronn
M
5
M. Odegaard
↑ 80'
D
20
P. Reinhardsen
D
26
Chriso
M
18
B. Gueye
↑ 83'
M
50
M. M. Eidal
D
Valerenga 4-4-2 (estimated from previous match)
Starting XI
1
O. Hedvall
G
6
V. Hedenstad
↓ 46'
D
4
A. Olsen
🟨 30'
D
37
I. Nasberg
D
2
K. Finnsson
D
8
H. Bjordal
M
10
C. Lange
🎯 6' ↓ 88'
M
28
M. Westergaard
↓ 64'
M
11
E. Sorensen
⚽ 20' ⚽ 20' ↓ 83'
M
26
F. Thorvaldsen
⚽ 6'
F
77
L. Haren
↓ 64'
F
Substitutes
21
M. Sjoeng
G
29
F. Ambina
↑ 88'
M
3
H. Sjatil
↑ 46'
D
9
G. Rajkovic
F
24
P. Strand
🎯 90' ↑ 83'
M
55
S. Jarl
D
5
K. Tshiembe
D
17
M. Grundetjern
⚽ 90' ↑ 64'
M
15
O. T. Holm
↑ 64'
M
Last matches: Valerenga
16.07.26
Eli
Valerenga
Aalesund
6
1
W
11.07.26
Eli
Valerenga
Tromso
0
4
L
04.07.26
Fri
Valerenga
Fredrikstad
3
1
W
27.06.26
Fri
Valerenga
Gais
1
2
L
18.06.26
Fri
Valerenga
IFK Goteborg
1
1
D
29.05.26
Eli
Valerenga
Kristiansund BK
3
1
W
25.05.26
Eli
Valerenga
Start
0
2
L
08.05.26
Eli
Valerenga
Ham-Kam
0
1
L
03.05.26
Eli
Valerenga
KFUM Oslo
2
2
D
26.04.26
Eli
Valerenga
Molde
1
5
L
19.04.26
Eli
Valerenga
Lillestrom
0
2
L
12.04.26
Eli
Valerenga
Fredrikstad
1
1
D
06.04.26
Eli
Valerenga
Viking
0
1
L
27.03.26
Fri
Valerenga
IFK Goteborg
3
3
D
22.03.26
Eli
Valerenga
Rosenborg
2
0
W
15.03.26
Eli
Valerenga
Sandefjord
1
0
W
07.03.26
Fri
Valerenga
Stromsgodset
4
3
W
27.02.26
Fri
Valerenga
Rosenborg
1
0
W
21.02.26
Fri
Valerenga
KFUM Oslo
1
0
W
14.02.26
Fri
Valerenga
Djurgardens IF
1
2
L
Last matches: Sarpsborg 08 FF
18.07.26
Eli
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Kristiansund BK
0
0
D
12.07.26
Eli
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Viking
1
0
W
03.07.26
Fri
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Lillestrom
1
3
L
29.05.26
Eli
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Brann
2
1
W
25.05.26
Eli
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Molde
2
1
W
09.05.26
Eli
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Fredrikstad
2
1
W
03.05.26
Eli
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Lillestrom
0
4
L
26.04.26
Eli
Sarpsborg 08 FF
KFUM Oslo
0
1
L
19.04.26
Eli
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Tromso
0
1
L
15.04.26
Eli
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Bodo/Glimt
1
1
D
12.04.26
Eli
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Rosenborg
1
2
L
06.04.26
Eli
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Start
1
1
D
26.03.26
Fri
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Ham-Kam
2
2
D
22.03.26
Eli
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Sandefjord
2
0
W
14.03.26
Fri
Sarpsborg 08 FF
BK Hacken
3
0
W
01.03.26
Fri
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Viking
0
2
L
25.02.26
Fri
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Kristiansund BK
1
0
W
19.02.26
Fri
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Zbrojovka Brno
2
0
W
13.02.26
Fri
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Ham-Kam
3
2
W
06.02.26
Fri
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Moss
3
1
W
H2H: Valerenga vs Sarpsborg 08 FF
16.05.26
H2H
Valerenga
Sarpsborg 08 FF
3
2
W
17.08.25
H2H
Valerenga
Sarpsborg 08 FF
4
0
W
06.04.25
H2H
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Valerenga
1
1
D
01.02.25
H2H
Valerenga
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1
0
W
09.03.24
H2H
Valerenga
Sarpsborg 08 FF
5
3
W
05.11.23
H2H
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Valerenga
3
2
L
16.04.23
H2H
Valerenga
Sarpsborg 08 FF
0
2
L
27.01.23
H2H
Valerenga
Sarpsborg 08 FF
4
1
W
29.10.22
H2H
Valerenga
Sarpsborg 08 FF
3
3
D
17.07.22
H2H
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Valerenga
0
1
W
28.10.21
H2H
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Valerenga
2
1
L
02.10.21
H2H
Valerenga
Sarpsborg 08 FF
0
0
D
01.07.21
H2H
Valerenga
Sarpsborg 08 FF
4
1
W
09.05.21
H2H
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Valerenga
0
0
D
21.04.21
H2H
Valerenga
Sarpsborg 08 FF
2
1
W
Last matches: Valerenga
16.07.26
Eli
Valerenga
Aalesund
6
1
W
04.07.26
Fri
Valerenga
Fredrikstad
3
1
W
27.06.26
Fri
Valerenga
Gais
1
2
L
29.05.26
Eli
Valerenga
Kristiansund BK
3
1
W
03.05.26
Eli
Valerenga
KFUM Oslo
2
2
D
19.04.26
Eli
Valerenga
Lillestrom
0
2
L
06.04.26
Eli
Valerenga
Viking
0
1
L
27.03.26
Fri
Valerenga
IFK Goteborg
3
3
D
15.03.26
Eli
Valerenga
Sandefjord
1
0
W
07.03.26
Fri
Valerenga
Stromsgodset
4
3
W
21.02.26
Fri
Valerenga
KFUM Oslo
1
0
W
06.02.26
Fri
Valerenga
Sandefjord
5
2
W
30.01.26
Fri
Valerenga
Orgryte IS
4
0
W
H2H at home: Valerenga
16.05.26
H2H
Valerenga
Sarpsborg 08 FF
3
2
W
17.08.25
H2H
Valerenga
Sarpsborg 08 FF
4
0
W
01.02.25
H2H
Valerenga
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1
0
W
09.03.24
H2H
Valerenga
Sarpsborg 08 FF
5
3
W
16.04.23
H2H
Valerenga
Sarpsborg 08 FF
0
2
L
27.01.23
H2H
Valerenga
Sarpsborg 08 FF
4
1
W
29.10.22
H2H
Valerenga
Sarpsborg 08 FF
3
3
D
02.10.21
H2H
Valerenga
Sarpsborg 08 FF
0
0
D
01.07.21
H2H
Valerenga
Sarpsborg 08 FF
4
1
W
21.04.21
H2H
Valerenga
Sarpsborg 08 FF
2
1
W
Last matches: Sarpsborg 08 FF
18.07.26
Eli
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Kristiansund BK
0
0
D
03.07.26
Fri
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Lillestrom
1
3
L
29.05.26
Eli
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Brann
2
1
W
03.05.26
Eli
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Lillestrom
0
4
L
26.04.26
Eli
Sarpsborg 08 FF
KFUM Oslo
0
1
L
12.04.26
Eli
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Rosenborg
1
2
L
22.03.26
Eli
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Sandefjord
2
0
W
01.03.26
Fri
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Viking
0
2
L
25.02.26
Fri
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Kristiansund BK
1
0
W
05.02.26
Fri
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Sirius
3
2
W
24.01.26
Fri
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Gais
1
4
L
H2H away: Sarpsborg 08 FF
16.05.26
H2H
Valerenga
Sarpsborg 08 FF
3
2
L
17.08.25
H2H
Valerenga
Sarpsborg 08 FF
4
0
L
01.02.25
H2H
Valerenga
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1
0
L
09.03.24
H2H
Valerenga
Sarpsborg 08 FF
5
3
L
16.04.23
H2H
Valerenga
Sarpsborg 08 FF
0
2
W
27.01.23
H2H
Valerenga
Sarpsborg 08 FF
4
1
L
29.10.22
H2H
Valerenga
Sarpsborg 08 FF
3
3
D
02.10.21
H2H
Valerenga
Sarpsborg 08 FF
0
0
D
01.07.21
H2H
Valerenga
Sarpsborg 08 FF
4
1
L
21.04.21
H2H
Valerenga
Sarpsborg 08 FF
2
1
L

Standings

Eliteserien
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 13 11 0 2 33:13 20 33
W W L W W
2 14 10 2 2 34:11 23 32
W W W D W
3 15 9 4 2 26:15 11 31
W W D D L
4 14 8 1 5 22:14 8 25
L W W L L
5 13 6 2 5 21:17 4 20
L D W L W
6 14 6 1 7 28:22 6 19
W W L L L
7 13 5 3 5 14:16 -2 18
D W W W L
8 13 5 3 5 20:25 -5 18
L L D D W
9 13 5 2 6 19:22 -3 17
W L W L W
10 13 4 3 6 15:18 -3 15
W W D L L
11 13 4 3 6 13:17 -4 15
L D L D L
12 13 4 2 7 15:23 -8 14
L L W D W
13 13 3 3 7 13:21 -8 12
L L D W L
14 13 2 6 5 18:28 -10 12
L D D D W
15 13 3 3 7 11:21 -10 12
D L L L W
16 14 1 4 9 14:33 -19 7
L L L W L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen

Missing Players

Valerenga 2 missing
-
M. Ofkir
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
O. Saeter
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
Sarpsborg 08 FF 6 missing
-
F. Carstensen
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
P. Reinhardsen
Missing Fixture Ankle Injury
OUT
-
J. Berget
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
Camil Mmaee
Missing Fixture Groin Injury
OUT
-
M. Opoku
Missing Fixture Ankle Injury
OUT
-
S. Rosted
Missing Fixture Ankle Injury
OUT