Valerenga vs Molde Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
42.7%
|
2.24 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
88%
|
1.33 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
88%
|
1.34 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.09 | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
6.50 | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
11.00 |
Valerenga
Molde
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Valerenga
27 matches
Molde
26 matches
| Valerenga | Statistic | Molde |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Wins | 11 |
| 5 | Draws | 6 |
| 10 | Losses | 9 |
| 52 | Goals For | 48 |
| 48 | Goals Against | 39 |
| 1.93 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.85 |
| 1.78 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.5 |
| 16 | BTTS Yes | 19 |
| 22 | Over 1.5 | 21 |
| 17 | Over 2.5 | 17 |
| 13 | Over 3.5 | 11 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 5.65 | Shots On Goal | 5.29 |
| 16 | Total Shots | 14.53 |
| 6.82 | Corners | 5.53 |
| 49.1% | Ball Possession | 58.9% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights Molde's more proactive style and Valerenga's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Valerenga expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Molde in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Molde having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Molde. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.
Valerenga are currently 11 in the standings with 21 points from 17 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 6 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses, while the 28:34 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Lucas Haren (7 goals), Mathias Grundetjern (4 goals), Carl Lange (3 goals), with creative support from Henrik Bjørdal (6 assists), Mathias Grundetjern (4 assists), Kolbeinn Finnsson (3 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, the record of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Molde arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 4 place with 27 points after 17 matches. The record of 8 wins, 3 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 32:26 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Eirik Hestad (6 goals), Emil Breivik (5 goals), Fredrik Gulbrandsen (4 goals), with creative support from Emil Breivik (5 assists), Sondre Milian Granaas (3 assists), Eirik Hestad (2 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Valerenga won 2 times, Molde won 9 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:35 from Valerenga's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.85 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20 | 16 | 2 | 2 | 52:17 | 35 | 50 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 20 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 51:20 | 31 | 47 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 3 |
Molde
Away
|
20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 43:30 | 13 | 36 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
| 4 | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 37:27 | 10 | 35 |
L
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 20 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 28:26 | 2 | 32 |
W
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 6 | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 36:29 | 7 | 30 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 24:31 | -7 | 27 |
D
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 10 | 37:31 | 6 | 26 |
L
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 23:26 | -3 | 25 |
D
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 10 | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 27:41 | -14 | 23 |
L
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 11 |
Valerenga
Home
|
20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 33:42 | -9 | 22 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
| 12 | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 22:34 | -12 | 22 |
W
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 13 | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 18:27 | -9 | 20 |
L
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 20:37 | -17 | 19 |
L
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 20 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 31:45 | -14 | 18 |
L
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 16 | 20 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 22:41 | -19 | 16 |
W
L
W
L
L
|