NORWAY ELITESERIEN
29.05.2026 17:00
Intility Arena
Referee: T. Hansen
Valerenga
Match Timeline
Kristiansund BK
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
1'
L. Haren · Assist: H. Bjordal
Valerenga
🟨
27'
Ambina Fidèle Brice
Valerenga
🟨
52'
Sander Hestetun Kilen
Kristiansund BK
🔄
60'
K. Tshiembe ↔ I. Nasberg
Valerenga
🔄
60'
L. Haren ↔ P. Strand
Valerenga
🔄
65'
M. Isah ↔ H. Magnusson
Kristiansund BK
69'
C. Lange · Assist: M. Grundetjern
Valerenga
🔄
73'
H. Bjordal ↔ M. Westergaard
Valerenga
🔄
73'
F. Ambina ↔ O. T. Holm
Valerenga
75'
M. Westergaard · Assist: K. Finnsson
Valerenga
🔄
76'
S. Kilen ↔ T. Svendsen
Kristiansund BK
🔄
76'
W. Igor ↔ S. Skeide
Kristiansund BK
🔄
76'
N. Odegard ↔ J. Isaksen
Kristiansund BK
🔄
81'
M. Grundetjern ↔ G. Rajkovic
Valerenga
83'
L. Alvheim · Assist: S. Skeide
Kristiansund BK
🔄
84'
F. Flex ↔ H. Haugen
Kristiansund BK

Valerenga vs Kristiansund BK Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 74.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 26%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 36.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
74.4%
-
BTTS BTTS No
26%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
36.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Valerenga Win 44.1%
Draw 30.3%
Kristiansund BK Win 25.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Valerenga1.47
Kristiansund BK1.21
Recent Form (Last 5)
Valerenga Valerenga
WWDLW
29 GF / 26 GA
Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK
WLDWL
18 GF / 20 GA
Key Stats
1.71
Average Goals Scored
1
1.53
Average Goals Conceded
1.11
8
BTTS Yes
8
8
Over 2.5
6
4.5
Shots on Goal
3.7

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Valerenga Valerenga 17 matches
Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK 18 matches
Valerenga Statistic Kristiansund BK
8 Wins 5
3 Draws 6
6 Losses 7
29 Goals For 18
26 Goals Against 20
1.71 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.53 Avg Goals Conceded 1.11
8 BTTS Yes 8
12 Over 1.5 13
8 Over 2.5 6
7 Over 3.5 2
5 Clean Sheets 4
4 Failed To Score 8
4.5 Shots On Goal 3.7
14.7 Total Shots 12.2
7.4 Corners 3.9
49.9% Ball Possession 41.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Kristiansund BK. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Valerenga have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Valerenga expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Kristiansund BK in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Kristiansund BK having the stronger overall control.

Valerenga Analysis

Valerenga sit 9 with 11 points after 9 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, together with goals at 10:14, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through C. Lange (2 goals), Lucas Haren (2 goals), M. Grundetjern (2 goals), with creative support from C. Lange (1 assists), M. Grundetjern (1 assists), H. Bjordal (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Kristiansund BK Analysis

Kristiansund BK are currently 10 in the standings with 11 points from 9 matches. The record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 9:13 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Leander Alvheim (3 goals), P. Meliga (3 goals), Adrian Kurd Rønning (1 goals), with creative support from Heine Gikling Bruseth (2 assists), Alexander Munksgaard (1 assists), S. Kilen (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Valerenga won 5 times, Kristiansund BK won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:14 from Valerenga's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.54 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (74.4%)
Predicted formations: Valerenga 4-4-2 / Kristiansund BK 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Valerenga 2, Kristiansund BK 5
H2H summary: Valerenga wins 5, draws 3, Kristiansund BK wins 5

Standings

Eliteserien
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 20 16 2 2 52:17 35 50
W W W W W
2 20 15 2 3 51:20 31 47
W D W L W
3 20 11 3 6 43:30 13 36
W W W W L
4 20 10 5 5 37:27 10 35
L L D L W
5 20 10 2 8 28:26 2 32
W W L D L
6 20 9 3 8 36:29 7 30
W W L W W
7 20 8 3 9 24:31 -7 27
D L W W W
8 20 8 2 10 37:31 6 26
L L D W W
9 20 6 7 7 23:26 -3 25
D D D L L
10 20 6 5 9 27:41 -14 23
L L D L D
11 20 6 4 10 33:42 -9 22
L D L D L
12 20 6 4 10 22:34 -12 22
W L L D W
13 20 5 5 10 18:27 -9 20
L D D W L
14 20 5 4 11 20:37 -17 19
L W D L W
15 20 3 9 8 31:45 -14 18
L W L D D
16 20 4 4 12 22:41 -19 16
W L W L L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen