NORWAY ELITESERIEN
--.--.---- --:--
Intility Arena
Referee: T. Hansen
Valerenga
Match Timeline
Kristiansund BK
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
1'
L. Haren · Assist: H. Bjordal
Valerenga
🟨
27'
Ambina Fidèle Brice
Valerenga
🟨
52'
Sander Hestetun Kilen
Kristiansund BK
🔄
60'
K. Tshiembe ↔ I. Nasberg
Valerenga
🔄
60'
L. Haren ↔ P. Strand
Valerenga
🔄
65'
M. Isah ↔ H. Magnusson
Kristiansund BK
69'
C. Lange · Assist: M. Grundetjern
Valerenga
🔄
73'
H. Bjordal ↔ M. Westergaard
Valerenga
🔄
73'
F. Ambina ↔ O. T. Holm
Valerenga
75'
M. Westergaard · Assist: K. Finnsson
Valerenga
🔄
76'
S. Kilen ↔ T. Svendsen
Kristiansund BK
🔄
76'
W. Igor ↔ S. Skeide
Kristiansund BK
🔄
76'
N. Odegard ↔ J. Isaksen
Kristiansund BK
🔄
81'
M. Grundetjern ↔ G. Rajkovic
Valerenga
83'
L. Alvheim · Assist: S. Skeide
Kristiansund BK
🔄
84'
F. Flex ↔ H. Haugen
Kristiansund BK

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 74.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 26%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 36.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
74.4%
-
BTTS BTTS No
26%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
36.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Valerenga Win 44.1%
Draw 30.3%
Kristiansund BK Win 25.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Valerenga1.47
Kristiansund BK1.21
Recent Form (Last 5)
Valerenga Valerenga
WWDLW
29 GF / 26 GA
Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK
WLDWL
18 GF / 20 GA
Key Stats
1.71
Average Goals Scored
1
1.53
Average Goals Conceded
1.11
8
BTTS Yes
8
8
Over 2.5
6
4.5
Shots on Goal
3.7

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Valerenga Valerenga 17 matches
Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK 18 matches
Valerenga Statistic Kristiansund BK
8 Wins 5
3 Draws 6
6 Losses 7
29 Goals For 18
26 Goals Against 20
1.71 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.53 Avg Goals Conceded 1.11
8 BTTS Yes 8
12 Over 1.5 13
8 Over 2.5 6
7 Over 3.5 2
5 Clean Sheets 4
4 Failed To Score 8
4.5 Shots On Goal 3.7
14.7 Total Shots 12.2
7.4 Corners 3.9
49.9% Ball Possession 41.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Kristiansund BK. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Valerenga have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Valerenga expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Kristiansund BK in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Kristiansund BK having the stronger overall control.

Valerenga Analysis

Valerenga sit 9 with 11 points after 9 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, together with goals at 10:14, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through C. Lange (2 goals), Lucas Haren (2 goals), M. Grundetjern (2 goals), with creative support from C. Lange (1 assists), M. Grundetjern (1 assists), H. Bjordal (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Kristiansund BK Analysis

Kristiansund BK are currently 10 in the standings with 11 points from 9 matches. The record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 9:13 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Leander Alvheim (3 goals), P. Meliga (3 goals), Adrian Kurd Rønning (1 goals), with creative support from Heine Gikling Bruseth (2 assists), Alexander Munksgaard (1 assists), S. Kilen (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Valerenga won 5 times, Kristiansund BK won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:14 from Valerenga's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.54 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (74.4%)
Predicted formations: Valerenga 4-4-2 / Kristiansund BK 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Valerenga 2, Kristiansund BK 5
H2H summary: Valerenga wins 5, draws 3, Kristiansund BK wins 5
Stats
Valerenga Valerenga
Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK
Shots on Goal
9
Shots on Goal
5
Shots off Goal
6
Shots off Goal
2
Blocked Shots
4
Blocked Shots
3
5 Corner Kicks 6
12 Fouls 7
0 Offsides 0
53% Ball Possession 47%
19 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Goal 5
6 Shots off Goal 2
4 Blocked Shots 3
14 Shots insidebox 6
5 Shots outsidebox 4
4 Goalkeeper Saves 6
496 Total passes 442
415 Passes accurate 363
2.71 expected_goals 1.12
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Valerenga
Formation
Kristiansund BK
O. Hedvall
O. Hedvall
H. Sjatil
H. Sjatil
A. Olsen
A. Olsen
K. Tshiembe
K. Tshiembe
K. Finnsson
🎯
K. Finnsson
H. Bjordal
🎯
H. Bjordal
C. Lange
C. Lange
F. Ambina
F. Ambina
L. Haren
L. Haren
F. Thorvaldsen
F. Thorvaldsen
M. Grundetjern
🎯
M. Grundetjern
A. Saether
A. Saether
A. Munksgaard
A. Munksgaard
J. Juliusson
J. Juliusson
M. Williamsen
M. Williamsen
F. Flex
F. Flex
W. Igor
W. Igor
N. Odegard
N. Odegard
S. Kilen
S. Kilen
L. Alvheim
L. Alvheim
A. Ronning
A. Ronning
M. Isah
M. Isah
Valerenga 4-4-2
Starting XI
1
O. Hedvall
G
3
H. Sjatil
D
4
A. Olsen
D
5
K. Tshiembe
↓ 60'
D
2
K. Finnsson
🎯 75'
D
8
H. Bjordal
🎯 1' ↓ 73'
M
10
C. Lange
⚽ 69'
M
29
F. Ambina
↓ 73' 🟨 27'
M
77
L. Haren
⚽ 1' ↓ 60'
M
26
F. Thorvaldsen
F
17
M. Grundetjern
🎯 69' ↓ 81'
F
Substitutes
21
M. Sjoeng
G
6
V. Hedenstad
D
9
G. Rajkovic
↑ 81'
F
37
I. Nasberg
↑ 60'
D
24
P. Strand
↑ 60'
M
11
E. Sorensen
F
55
S. Jarl
D
28
M. Westergaard
⚽ 75' ↑ 73'
M
15
O. T. Holm
↑ 73'
M
Kristiansund BK 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
12
A. Saether
G
13
A. Munksgaard
D
4
J. Juliusson
D
17
M. Williamsen
D
3
F. Flex
↓ 84'
D
20
W. Igor
↓ 76'
M
8
N. Odegard
↓ 76'
M
9
S. Kilen
↓ 76' 🟨 52'
M
19
L. Alvheim
⚽ 83'
M
27
A. Ronning
M
7
M. Isah
↓ 65'
F
Substitutes
1
M. Lansing
G
23
T. Svendsen
↑ 76'
M
77
H. Magnusson
↑ 65'
M
14
S. Skeide
🎯 83' ↑ 76'
M
22
H. Haugen
↑ 84'
D
18
P. Meliga
F
6
J. Isaksen
↑ 76'
M
2
A. Borset
D
Last matches: Valerenga
31.07.26
Eli
Valerenga
Ham-Kam
0
3
L
26.07.26
Eli
Valerenga
Brann
3
2
W
16.07.26
Eli
Valerenga
Aalesund
6
1
W
11.07.26
Eli
Valerenga
Tromso
0
4
L
04.07.26
Fri
Valerenga
Fredrikstad
3
1
W
27.06.26
Fri
Valerenga
Gais
1
2
L
18.06.26
Fri
Valerenga
IFK Goteborg
1
1
D
25.05.26
Eli
Valerenga
Start
0
2
L
16.05.26
Eli
Valerenga
Sarpsborg 08 FF
3
2
W
08.05.26
Eli
Valerenga
Ham-Kam
0
1
L
03.05.26
Eli
Valerenga
KFUM Oslo
2
2
D
26.04.26
Eli
Valerenga
Molde
1
5
L
19.04.26
Eli
Valerenga
Lillestrom
0
2
L
12.04.26
Eli
Valerenga
Fredrikstad
1
1
D
06.04.26
Eli
Valerenga
Viking
0
1
L
27.03.26
Fri
Valerenga
IFK Goteborg
3
3
D
22.03.26
Eli
Valerenga
Rosenborg
2
0
W
15.03.26
Eli
Valerenga
Sandefjord
1
0
W
07.03.26
Fri
Valerenga
Stromsgodset
4
3
W
27.02.26
Fri
Valerenga
Rosenborg
1
0
W
Last matches: Kristiansund BK
25.07.26
Eli
Kristiansund BK
Start
1
2
L
18.07.26
Eli
Kristiansund BK
Sarpsborg 08 FF
0
0
D
12.07.26
Eli
Kristiansund BK
Rosenborg
0
3
L
03.07.26
Fri
Kristiansund BK
Brann
2
1
W
27.06.26
Fri
Kristiansund BK
Aalesund
0
3
L
24.05.26
Eli
Kristiansund BK
Viking
1
2
L
20.05.26
Eli
Kristiansund BK
Lillestrom
2
1
W
16.05.26
Eli
Kristiansund BK
Molde
0
1
L
10.05.26
Eli
Kristiansund BK
Sandefjord
0
2
L
03.05.26
Eli
Kristiansund BK
Ham-Kam
1
1
D
26.04.26
Eli
Kristiansund BK
Aalesund
1
1
D
19.04.26
Eli
Kristiansund BK
Fredrikstad
2
0
W
11.04.26
Eli
Kristiansund BK
Tromso
0
2
L
06.04.26
Eli
Kristiansund BK
Bodo/Glimt
0
3
L
28.03.26
Fri
Kristiansund BK
Brattvåg
4
0
W
15.03.26
Eli
Kristiansund BK
Brann
3
2
W
08.03.26
Fri
Kristiansund BK
Ranheim
1
1
D
25.02.26
Fri
Kristiansund BK
Sarpsborg 08 FF
0
1
L
18.02.26
Fri
Kristiansund BK
Ham-Kam
2
1
W
15.02.26
Fri
Kristiansund BK
Egersund
1
1
D
H2H: Valerenga vs Kristiansund BK
29.05.26
H2H
Valerenga
Kristiansund BK
3
1
W
22.11.25
H2H
Valerenga
Kristiansund BK
3
0
W
27.04.25
H2H
Kristiansund BK
Valerenga
0
2
W
10.12.23
H2H
Valerenga
Kristiansund BK
0
2
L
06.12.23
H2H
Kristiansund BK
Valerenga
0
2
W
11.09.22
H2H
Kristiansund BK
Valerenga
3
2
L
10.07.22
H2H
Valerenga
Kristiansund BK
3
0
W
12.12.21
H2H
Kristiansund BK
Valerenga
2
1
L
07.08.21
H2H
Valerenga
Kristiansund BK
0
0
D
30.06.21
H2H
Kristiansund BK
Valerenga
0
0
D
16.05.21
H2H
Valerenga
Kristiansund BK
1
2
L
25.10.20
H2H
Valerenga
Kristiansund BK
1
1
D
19.07.20
H2H
Kristiansund BK
Valerenga
0
0
D
04.08.19
H2H
Valerenga
Kristiansund BK
1
1
D
07.04.19
H2H
Kristiansund BK
Valerenga
2
0
L
Last matches: Valerenga
31.07.26
Eli
Valerenga
Ham-Kam
0
3
L
16.07.26
Eli
Valerenga
Aalesund
6
1
W
04.07.26
Fri
Valerenga
Fredrikstad
3
1
W
27.06.26
Fri
Valerenga
Gais
1
2
L
16.05.26
Eli
Valerenga
Sarpsborg 08 FF
3
2
W
03.05.26
Eli
Valerenga
KFUM Oslo
2
2
D
19.04.26
Eli
Valerenga
Lillestrom
0
2
L
06.04.26
Eli
Valerenga
Viking
0
1
L
27.03.26
Fri
Valerenga
IFK Goteborg
3
3
D
15.03.26
Eli
Valerenga
Sandefjord
1
0
W
07.03.26
Fri
Valerenga
Stromsgodset
4
3
W
21.02.26
Fri
Valerenga
KFUM Oslo
1
0
W
06.02.26
Fri
Valerenga
Sandefjord
5
2
W
30.01.26
Fri
Valerenga
Orgryte IS
4
0
W
H2H at home: Valerenga
29.05.26
H2H
Valerenga
Kristiansund BK
3
1
W
22.11.25
H2H
Valerenga
Kristiansund BK
3
0
W
10.12.23
H2H
Valerenga
Kristiansund BK
0
2
L
10.07.22
H2H
Valerenga
Kristiansund BK
3
0
W
07.08.21
H2H
Valerenga
Kristiansund BK
0
0
D
16.05.21
H2H
Valerenga
Kristiansund BK
1
2
L
25.10.20
H2H
Valerenga
Kristiansund BK
1
1
D
04.08.19
H2H
Valerenga
Kristiansund BK
1
1
D
Last matches: Kristiansund BK
12.07.26
Eli
Kristiansund BK
Rosenborg
0
3
L
03.07.26
Fri
Kristiansund BK
Brann
2
1
W
20.05.26
Eli
Kristiansund BK
Lillestrom
2
1
W
16.05.26
Eli
Kristiansund BK
Molde
0
1
L
10.05.26
Eli
Kristiansund BK
Sandefjord
0
2
L
26.04.26
Eli
Kristiansund BK
Aalesund
1
1
D
11.04.26
Eli
Kristiansund BK
Tromso
0
2
L
06.02.26
Fri
Kristiansund BK
Molde
0
0
D
30.01.26
Fri
Kristiansund BK
Aalesund
0
1
L
H2H away: Kristiansund BK
29.05.26
H2H
Valerenga
Kristiansund BK
3
1
L
22.11.25
H2H
Valerenga
Kristiansund BK
3
0
L
10.12.23
H2H
Valerenga
Kristiansund BK
0
2
W
10.07.22
H2H
Valerenga
Kristiansund BK
3
0
L
07.08.21
H2H
Valerenga
Kristiansund BK
0
0
D
16.05.21
H2H
Valerenga
Kristiansund BK
1
2
W
25.10.20
H2H
Valerenga
Kristiansund BK
1
1
D
04.08.19
H2H
Valerenga
Kristiansund BK
1
1
D

Standings

Eliteserien
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 15 11 2 2 37:11 26 35
W W W W D
2 14 11 1 2 34:14 20 34
D W W L W
3 15 9 4 2 26:15 11 31
W W D D L
4 14 8 1 5 22:14 8 25
L W W L L
5 14 7 2 5 25:19 6 23
W L D W L
6 14 6 3 5 15:16 -1 21
W D W W W
7 14 6 2 6 22:24 -2 20
W W L W L
8 15 6 1 8 30:25 5 19
L W W L L
9 14 5 3 6 19:18 1 18
W W W D L
10 14 5 3 6 20:26 -6 18
L L L D D
11 14 4 3 7 13:20 -7 15
L L D L D
12 14 4 2 8 15:27 -12 14
L L L W D
13 14 2 7 5 19:29 -10 13
D L D D D
14 14 3 3 8 15:25 -10 12
L L L D W
15 14 3 3 8 12:23 -11 12
L D L L L
16 15 2 4 9 16:34 -18 10
W L L L W
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen

Missing Players

Valerenga 2 missing
-
M. Ofkir
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
O. Saeter
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
Kristiansund BK 5 missing
-
H. Opsahl
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
D. Tufekcic
Missing Fixture Thigh Injury
OUT
-
D. Ulvestad
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
H. Bruseth
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
S. Kilen
Questionable Illness
OUT