FRANCE NATIONAL 1
--.--.---- --:--
Stade du Hainaut
Valenciennes
Match Timeline
Chateauroux
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
12'
S. Appuah · Assist: M. Rouai
Valenciennes
🟨
22'
J. Koembo
Chateauroux
🟨
45+2'
A. Coeff
Valenciennes
🟨
46'
G. Courtet
Valenciennes
🔄
46'
G. Tjomb ↔ I. Bouaoune
Chateauroux
🔄
61'
Q. Daubin ↔ A. Ipiele
Valenciennes
🔄
62'
D. Diomande ↔ E. H. Raheriniaina
Valenciennes
🔄
71'
C. Jean ↔ A. Ahmed
Chateauroux
🔄
76'
S. Appuah ↔ R. Boissier
Valenciennes
80'
R. Freitas · Assist: L. Piquionne
Chateauroux
🔄
83'
D. Abu ↔ L. Landre
Valenciennes
🔄
84'
N. Bourichon ↔ E. Airhiavbere
Valenciennes
🔄
86'
P. Wade ↔ Y. Verdier
Chateauroux
🟨
90+3'
M. Beneddine
Chateauroux
🟥
90+6'
S. Mopila
Chateauroux
90'
G. Courtet · Assist: R. Boissier
Valenciennes
90'
Y. Verdier · Assist: G. Kelo
Chateauroux

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 54.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 35.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 36.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
54.7%
-
BTTS BTTS No
35.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
36.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Valenciennes Win 54.7%
Draw 20.2%
Chateauroux Win 25.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Valenciennes1.28
Chateauroux1.17
Recent Form (Last 5)
Valenciennes Valenciennes
WWDLW
33 GF / 39 GA
Chateauroux Chateauroux
WLDWL
36 GF / 51 GA
Key Stats
1.1
Average Goals Scored
1.09
1.3
Average Goals Conceded
1.55
17
BTTS Yes
18
14
Over 2.5
18
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Valenciennes Valenciennes 30 matches
Chateauroux Chateauroux 33 matches
Valenciennes Statistic Chateauroux
10 Wins 7
7 Draws 12
13 Losses 14
33 Goals For 36
39 Goals Against 51
1.1 Avg Goals Scored 1.09
1.3 Avg Goals Conceded 1.55
17 BTTS Yes 18
22 Over 1.5 25
14 Over 2.5 18
5 Over 3.5 10
7 Clean Sheets 6
9 Failed To Score 13
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Chateauroux. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Chateauroux having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Valenciennes Analysis

Valenciennes approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 10 with 36 points from 31 matches. The overall return of 10 wins, 7 draws, and 14 defeats with a 33:42 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on G. Courtet (5 goals), A. Ipiele (3 goals), B. Passi (3 goals), with creative support from D. Diomande (5 assists), T. Marechal (3 assists), A. Ipiele (2 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 7 wins, 1 draws, and 7 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Chateauroux Analysis

With 29 points from 31 games and a place of 16, Chateauroux still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 6 wins, 12 draws, and 13 defeats with a 33:47 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on L. Piquionne (6 goals), D. Diarra (3 goals), I. Bouaoune (3 goals), with creative support from S. Dembele (5 assists), R. Freitas (4 assists), L. Piquionne (2 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 3 wins, 8 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Valenciennes won 5 times, Chateauroux won 3 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:15 from Valenciennes's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.38 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (79.9%)
H2H summary: Valenciennes wins 5, draws 5, Chateauroux wins 3

Lineups

Valenciennes
Formation
Chateauroux
J. Lacombe
J. Lacombe
D. Abu
D. Abu
N. Bourichon
N. Bourichon
A. Coeff
A. Coeff
A. Wahib
A. Wahib
Q. Daubin
Q. Daubin
S. Belloumou
S. Belloumou
S. Appuah
S. Appuah
M. Rouai
🎯
M. Rouai
D. Diomande
D. Diomande
G. Courtet
G. Courtet
L. Lavallee
L. Lavallee
J. Koembo
J. Koembo
G. Kelo
🎯
G. Kelo
S. Mopila
S. Mopila
M. Beneddine
M. Beneddine
C. Jean
C. Jean
P. Wade
P. Wade
G. Tjomb
G. Tjomb
R. Freitas
R. Freitas
L. Piquionne
🎯
L. Piquionne
Y. Chahid
Y. Chahid
Valenciennes 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
40
J. Lacombe
2
D. Abu
↓ 83'
33
N. Bourichon
↓ 84'
29
A. Coeff
🟨 45+2'
28
A. Wahib
27
Q. Daubin
↓ 61'
25
S. Belloumou
11
S. Appuah
⚽ 12' ↓ 76'
8
M. Rouai
🎯 12'
26
D. Diomande
↓ 62'
18
G. Courtet
⚽ 90' 🟨 46'
Substitutes
12
E. Airhiavbere
↑ 84'
4
L. Landre
↑ 83'
22
R. Boissier
🎯 90' ↑ 76'
14
E. H. Raheriniaina
↑ 62'
10
A. Ipiele
↑ 61'
Chateauroux 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
16
L. Lavallee
12
J. Koembo
🟨 22'
6
G. Kelo
🎯 90'
28
S. Mopila
🟥 90+6'
39
M. Beneddine
🟨 90+3'
13
C. Jean
↓ 71'
5
P. Wade
↓ 86'
18
G. Tjomb
↓ 46'
10
R. Freitas
⚽ 80'
19
L. Piquionne
🎯 80'
21
Y. Chahid
Substitutes
7
A. Ahmed
↑ 71'
14
Y. Verdier
⚽ 90' ↑ 86'
20
I. Bouaoune
↑ 46'
23
A. Djaha
29
L. Diakhaby
Last matches: Valenciennes
22.07.26
Fri
Valenciennes
Eastleigh
3
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Valenciennes
Kortrijk
1
1
D
04.07.26
Fri
Valenciennes
Dunkerque
2
0
W
09.05.26
Nat
Valenciennes
Bourg-en-bresse 01
0
1
L
02.05.26
Nat
Valenciennes
Sochaux
1
1
D
24.04.26
Nat
Valenciennes
Dijon
0
1
L
17.04.26
Nat
Valenciennes
Fleury 91
0
2
L
10.04.26
Nat
Valenciennes
Versailles
1
0
W
03.04.26
Nat
Valenciennes
Quevilly
2
3
L
27.03.26
Nat
Valenciennes
Aubagne
0
0
D
20.03.26
Nat
Valenciennes
Concarneau
2
1
W
06.03.26
Nat
Valenciennes
Villefranche
3
2
W
28.02.26
Nat
Valenciennes
Caen
2
1
W
20.02.26
Nat
Valenciennes
Gobelins
1
1
D
13.02.26
Nat
Valenciennes
Stade Briochin
1
2
L
06.02.26
Nat
Valenciennes
Rouen
2
1
W
31.01.26
Nat
Valenciennes
Orleans
0
1
L
23.01.26
Nat
Valenciennes
Le Puy Foot
0
3
L
16.01.26
Nat
Valenciennes
Bourg-en-bresse 01
3
1
W
09.01.26
Fri
Valenciennes
Francs Borains
3
3
D
Last matches: Chateauroux
09.05.26
Nat
Chateauroux
Sochaux
2
1
W
30.04.26
Nat
Chateauroux
Dijon
2
1
W
24.04.26
Nat
Chateauroux
Fleury 91
0
2
L
17.04.26
Nat
Chateauroux
Versailles
0
4
L
10.04.26
Nat
Chateauroux
Quevilly
3
5
L
03.04.26
Nat
Chateauroux
Aubagne
1
1
D
27.03.26
Nat
Chateauroux
Concarneau
3
1
W
17.03.26
Nat
Chateauroux
Stade Briochin
0
2
L
13.03.26
Nat
Chateauroux
Villefranche
0
1
L
06.03.26
Nat
Chateauroux
Caen
2
2
D
27.02.26
Nat
Chateauroux
Gobelins
0
1
L
13.02.26
Nat
Chateauroux
Rouen
1
2
L
06.02.26
Nat
Chateauroux
Orleans
2
2
D
30.01.26
Nat
Chateauroux
Le Puy Foot
0
2
L
23.01.26
Nat
Chateauroux
Bourg-en-bresse 01
1
1
D
16.01.26
Nat
Chateauroux
Sochaux
0
1
L
12.12.25
Nat
Chateauroux
Dijon
0
0
D
05.12.25
Nat
Chateauroux
Fleury 91
0
0
D
29.11.25
Cou
Chateauroux
Vendée Fontenay
1
4
L
21.11.25
Nat
Chateauroux
Versailles
1
3
L
H2H: Valenciennes vs Chateauroux
15.05.26
H2H
Valenciennes
Chateauroux
2
2
D
08.08.25
H2H
Chateauroux
Valenciennes
0
0
D
07.02.25
H2H
Chateauroux
Valenciennes
1
2
W
06.09.24
H2H
Valenciennes
Chateauroux
3
1
W
23.01.21
H2H
Chateauroux
Valenciennes
3
3
D
12.09.20
H2H
Valenciennes
Chateauroux
1
0
W
10.04.20
H2H
Chateauroux
Valenciennes
0
0
D
08.11.19
H2H
Valenciennes
Chateauroux
0
1
L
18.01.19
H2H
Chateauroux
Valenciennes
1
1
D
10.08.18
H2H
Valenciennes
Chateauroux
1
1
D
12.01.18
H2H
Valenciennes
Chateauroux
1
2
L
04.08.17
H2H
Chateauroux
Valenciennes
0
1
W
01.05.15
H2H
Chateauroux
Valenciennes
3
0
L
12.12.14
H2H
Valenciennes
Chateauroux
1
0
W
Last matches: Valenciennes
24.04.26
Nat
Valenciennes
Dijon
0
1
L
10.04.26
Nat
Valenciennes
Versailles
1
0
W
27.03.26
Nat
Valenciennes
Aubagne
0
0
D
28.02.26
Nat
Valenciennes
Caen
2
1
W
13.02.26
Nat
Valenciennes
Stade Briochin
1
2
L
31.01.26
Nat
Valenciennes
Orleans
0
1
L
16.01.26
Nat
Valenciennes
Bourg-en-bresse 01
3
1
W
09.01.26
Fri
Valenciennes
Francs Borains
3
3
D
06.01.26
Fri
Valenciennes
Olympic Charleroi
3
0
W
21.11.25
Nat
Valenciennes
Fleury 91
0
2
L
31.10.25
Nat
Valenciennes
Quevilly
2
0
W
17.10.25
Nat
Valenciennes
Concarneau
1
2
L
26.09.25
Nat
Valenciennes
Villefranche
2
0
W
12.09.25
Nat
Valenciennes
Gobelins
1
0
W
29.08.25
Nat
Valenciennes
Rouen
2
3
L
15.08.25
Nat
Valenciennes
Le Puy Foot
2
1
W
H2H at home: Valenciennes
15.05.26
H2H
Valenciennes
Chateauroux
2
2
D
06.09.24
H2H
Valenciennes
Chateauroux
3
1
W
12.09.20
H2H
Valenciennes
Chateauroux
1
0
W
08.11.19
H2H
Valenciennes
Chateauroux
0
1
L
10.08.18
H2H
Valenciennes
Chateauroux
1
1
D
12.01.18
H2H
Valenciennes
Chateauroux
1
2
L
12.12.14
H2H
Valenciennes
Chateauroux
1
0
W
Last matches: Chateauroux
30.04.26
Nat
Chateauroux
Dijon
2
1
W
17.04.26
Nat
Chateauroux
Versailles
0
4
L
03.04.26
Nat
Chateauroux
Aubagne
1
1
D
17.03.26
Nat
Chateauroux
Stade Briochin
0
2
L
06.03.26
Nat
Chateauroux
Caen
2
2
D
06.02.26
Nat
Chateauroux
Orleans
2
2
D
23.01.26
Nat
Chateauroux
Bourg-en-bresse 01
1
1
D
16.01.26
Nat
Chateauroux
Sochaux
0
1
L
05.12.25
Nat
Chateauroux
Fleury 91
0
0
D
29.11.25
Cou
Chateauroux
Vendée Fontenay
1
4
L
15.11.25
Cou
Chateauroux
Biars-Bretenoux
2
0
W
07.11.25
Nat
Chateauroux
Quevilly
3
0
W
21.10.25
Nat
Chateauroux
Concarneau
0
0
D
03.10.25
Nat
Chateauroux
Villefranche
1
2
L
19.09.25
Nat
Chateauroux
Gobelins
1
1
D
06.09.25
Nat
Chateauroux
Rouen
2
1
W
22.08.25
Nat
Chateauroux
Le Puy Foot
2
2
D
13.08.19
Cou
Chateauroux
Niort
1
3
L
H2H away: Chateauroux
15.05.26
H2H
Valenciennes
Chateauroux
2
2
D
06.09.24
H2H
Valenciennes
Chateauroux
3
1
L
12.09.20
H2H
Valenciennes
Chateauroux
1
0
L
08.11.19
H2H
Valenciennes
Chateauroux
0
1
W
10.08.18
H2H
Valenciennes
Chateauroux
1
1
D
12.01.18
H2H
Valenciennes
Chateauroux
1
2
W
12.12.14
H2H
Valenciennes
Chateauroux
1
0
L

Standings

National
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 32 18 11 3 52:25 27 65
W W L W D
2 32 16 10 6 51:26 25 58
D L D W D
3 32 14 13 5 43:29 14 55
W L D W D
4 32 15 9 8 47:30 17 54
L L W W W
5 32 15 8 9 46:34 12 53
D W D D W
6 32 14 9 9 42:42 0 51
L W D L W
7 32 12 11 9 45:38 7 47
D L L D D
8 32 8 16 8 39:34 5 40
L D W W W
9 32 8 14 10 32:37 -5 38
D D D W D
10 32 10 8 14 35:44 -9 37
D L D L L
11 32 9 10 13 38:46 -8 37
W D L L L
12 32 10 7 15 34:45 -11 37
D L L W D
13 32 8 9 15 34:45 -11 33
W L D W D
14 32 7 11 14 26:41 -15 32
L D D L L
15 32 8 7 17 25:44 -19 31
W W L L L
16 32 6 13 13 35:49 -14 30
D W W L L
17 32 5 12 15 35:50 -15 27
D W W L D
Promotion
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