Valenciennes vs Chateauroux Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
54.7%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
35.4%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
36.9%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
87.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Valenciennes
Chateauroux
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Valenciennes
30 matches
Chateauroux
33 matches
| Valenciennes | Statistic | Chateauroux |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wins | 7 |
| 7 | Draws | 12 |
| 13 | Losses | 14 |
| 33 | Goals For | 36 |
| 39 | Goals Against | 51 |
| 1.1 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.09 |
| 1.3 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.55 |
| 17 | BTTS Yes | 18 |
| 22 | Over 1.5 | 25 |
| 14 | Over 2.5 | 18 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 10 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 9 | Failed To Score | 13 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Chateauroux. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Chateauroux having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
Valenciennes approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 10 with 36 points from 31 matches. The overall return of 10 wins, 7 draws, and 14 defeats with a 33:42 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on G. Courtet (5 goals), A. Ipiele (3 goals), B. Passi (3 goals), with creative support from D. Diomande (5 assists), T. Marechal (3 assists), A. Ipiele (2 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 7 wins, 1 draws, and 7 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
With 29 points from 31 games and a place of 16, Chateauroux still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 6 wins, 12 draws, and 13 defeats with a 33:47 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on L. Piquionne (6 goals), D. Diarra (3 goals), I. Bouaoune (3 goals), with creative support from S. Dembele (5 assists), R. Freitas (4 assists), L. Piquionne (2 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 3 wins, 8 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Valenciennes won 5 times, Chateauroux won 3 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:15 from Valenciennes's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.38 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 32 | 18 | 11 | 3 | 52:25 | 27 | 65 |
W
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 2 | 32 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 51:26 | 25 | 58 |
D
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 32 | 14 | 13 | 5 | 43:29 | 14 | 55 |
W
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 47:30 | 17 | 54 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 46:34 | 12 | 53 |
D
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 32 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 42:42 | 0 | 51 |
L
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 7 | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 45:38 | 7 | 47 |
D
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 8 | 32 | 8 | 16 | 8 | 39:34 | 5 | 40 |
L
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 32 | 8 | 14 | 10 | 32:37 | -5 | 38 |
D
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 10 |
Valenciennes
Home
|
32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 35:44 | -9 | 37 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
| 11 | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 38:46 | -8 | 37 |
W
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 34:45 | -11 | 37 |
D
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 13 | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 34:45 | -11 | 33 |
W
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 14 | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 26:41 | -15 | 32 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 32 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 25:44 | -19 | 31 |
W
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 16 |
Chateauroux
Away
|
32 | 6 | 13 | 13 | 35:49 | -14 | 30 |
D
W
W
L
L
|
| 17 | 32 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 35:50 | -15 | 27 |
D
W
W
L
D
|