Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
59.3%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
30.6%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
30.4%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
80.9%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-1 |
-
|
- |
V-varen Nagasaki
Nagoya Grampus
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
V-varen Nagasaki
14 matches
Nagoya Grampus
13 matches
| V-varen Nagasaki | Statistic | Nagoya Grampus |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 5 |
| 1 | Draws | 5 |
| 7 | Losses | 3 |
| 15 | Goals For | 21 |
| 19 | Goals Against | 16 |
| 1.07 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.62 |
| 1.36 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.23 |
| 6 | BTTS Yes | 8 |
| 10 | Over 1.5 | 11 |
| 6 | Over 2.5 | 7 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 3.31 | Shots On Goal | 4.46 |
| 10.85 | Total Shots | 13.69 |
| 3.54 | Corners | 5.08 |
| 48.1% | Ball Possession | 53.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Nagoya Grampus's more proactive style and V-varen Nagasaki's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. V-varen Nagasaki have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Nagoya Grampus. Nagoya Grampus carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 22 points while V-varen Nagasaki sit 10 on 16, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.
V-varen Nagasaki approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 10 with 16 points from 13 matches. Their record of 5 wins, 0 draws, and 8 losses, together with goals at 13:20, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through Matheus Jesus (5 goals), Thiago (4 goals), N. Campbell (2 goals), with creative support from Matheus Jesus (2 assists), N. Campbell (2 assists), Motoki Hasegawa (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Operating from 2 place with 22 points from 13 games, Nagoya Grampus bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 7 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with a 23:19 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on Y. Kimura (6 goals), Y. Yamagishi (6 goals), Hidemasa Koda (2 goals), with creative support from K. Nakayama (5 assists), Y. Kimura (2 assists), Marcus Vinicius (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, V-varen Nagasaki won 3 times, Nagoya Grampus won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:9 from V-varen Nagasaki's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 3.5 goals per game.
V-varen Nagasaki
9
6
6
3
3
3
Lineups
V-varen Nagasaki
Mito Hollyhock
V-varen Nagasaki
Mito Hollyhock
V-varen Nagasaki
Kyoto Sanga
V-varen Nagasaki
Vissel Kobe
V-varen Nagasaki
Cerezo Osaka
V-varen Nagasaki
Fagiano Okayama
V-varen Nagasaki
Shimizu S-pulse
V-varen Nagasaki
Gamba Osaka
V-varen Nagasaki
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
V-varen Nagasaki
Avispa Fukuoka
V-varen Nagasaki
Shimizu S-pulse
V-varen Nagasaki
Fagiano Okayama
V-varen Nagasaki
Kyoto Sanga
V-varen Nagasaki
Avispa Fukuoka
V-varen Nagasaki
Gamba Osaka
V-varen Nagasaki
Cerezo Osaka
V-varen Nagasaki
Nagoya Grampus
V-varen Nagasaki
Vissel Kobe
V-varen Nagasaki
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
V-varen Nagasaki
Omiya Ardija
Nagoya Grampus
Machida Zelvia
Nagoya Grampus
Machida Zelvia
Nagoya Grampus
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Nagoya Grampus
Cerezo Osaka
Nagoya Grampus
Kyoto Sanga
Nagoya Grampus
Gamba Osaka
Nagoya Grampus
Fagiano Okayama
Nagoya Grampus
Shimizu S-pulse
Nagoya Grampus
Avispa Fukuoka
Nagoya Grampus
Vissel Kobe
Nagoya Grampus
Cerezo Osaka
Nagoya Grampus
Kyoto Sanga
Nagoya Grampus
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Nagoya Grampus
Vissel Kobe
Nagoya Grampus
Avispa Fukuoka
Nagoya Grampus
Fagiano Okayama
Nagoya Grampus
V-varen Nagasaki
Nagoya Grampus
Gamba Osaka
Nagoya Grampus
Shimizu S-pulse
V-varen Nagasaki
Mito Hollyhock
V-varen Nagasaki
Vissel Kobe
V-varen Nagasaki
Fagiano Okayama
V-varen Nagasaki
Gamba Osaka
V-varen Nagasaki
Shimizu S-pulse
V-varen Nagasaki
Kyoto Sanga
V-varen Nagasaki
Avispa Fukuoka
V-varen Nagasaki
Cerezo Osaka
V-varen Nagasaki
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Nagoya Grampus
Machida Zelvia
Nagoya Grampus
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Nagoya Grampus
Cerezo Osaka
Nagoya Grampus
Shimizu S-pulse
Nagoya Grampus
Vissel Kobe
Nagoya Grampus
Kyoto Sanga
Nagoya Grampus
Avispa Fukuoka
Nagoya Grampus
Fagiano Okayama
Nagoya Grampus
Gamba Osaka
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 29:25 | 4 | 35 |
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|
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| 2 | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 30:21 | 9 | 31 |
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|
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| 3 |
Nagoya Grampus
Away
|
18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 33:31 | 2 | 31 |
?
|
| 4 | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 31:23 | 8 | 30 |
?
|
|
| 5 | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 31:25 | 6 | 28 |
?
|
|
| 6 | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 26:29 | -3 | 26 |
?
|
|
| 7 | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 23:25 | -2 | 24 |
?
|
|
| 8 | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 22:28 | -6 | 23 |
?
|
|
| 9 |
V-varen Nagasaki
Home
|
18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 21:29 | -8 | 21 |
?
|
| 10 | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 21:31 | -10 | 21 |
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