Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
71.6%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
21.6%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
18.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
84.1%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
V-varen Nagasaki
Mito Hollyhock
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
V-varen Nagasaki
19 matches
Mito Hollyhock
19 matches
| V-varen Nagasaki | Statistic | Mito Hollyhock |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 2 |
| 2 | Draws | 8 |
| 10 | Losses | 9 |
| 22 | Goals For | 21 |
| 28 | Goals Against | 39 |
| 1.16 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.11 |
| 1.47 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2.05 |
| 10 | BTTS Yes | 13 |
| 14 | Over 1.5 | 17 |
| 10 | Over 2.5 | 10 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 3.56 | Shots On Goal | 3.39 |
| 11.11 | Total Shots | 11.22 |
| 4 | Corners | 3.61 |
| 46.9% | Ball Possession | 48.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Mito Hollyhock. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with V-varen Nagasaki expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Mito Hollyhock in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Mito Hollyhock having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.
V-varen Nagasaki approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 9 with 21 points from 18 matches. Their record of 7 wins, 0 draws, and 11 losses, together with goals at 21:29, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Matheus Jesus (6 goals), Thiago (6 goals), N. Campbell (2 goals), with creative support from Matheus Jesus (4 assists), N. Campbell (2 assists), Motoki Hasegawa (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, the split record of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Mito Hollyhock approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 9 with 18 points from 18 matches. Their record of 6 wins, 0 draws, and 12 losses, together with goals at 23:39, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through A. Watanabe (4 goals), C. Kato (3 goals), K. Ando (2 goals), with creative support from K. Tada (3 assists), T. Semba (2 assists), A. Watanabe (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, V-varen Nagasaki won 9 times, Mito Hollyhock won 5 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 26:19 from V-varen Nagasaki's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.
V-varen Nagasaki
3
4
5
3
2
6
Lineups
V-varen Nagasaki
Kyoto Sanga
V-varen Nagasaki
Vissel Kobe
V-varen Nagasaki
Cerezo Osaka
V-varen Nagasaki
Fagiano Okayama
V-varen Nagasaki
Nagoya Grampus
V-varen Nagasaki
Shimizu S-pulse
V-varen Nagasaki
Gamba Osaka
V-varen Nagasaki
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
V-varen Nagasaki
Avispa Fukuoka
V-varen Nagasaki
Shimizu S-pulse
V-varen Nagasaki
Fagiano Okayama
V-varen Nagasaki
Kyoto Sanga
V-varen Nagasaki
Avispa Fukuoka
V-varen Nagasaki
Gamba Osaka
V-varen Nagasaki
Cerezo Osaka
V-varen Nagasaki
Nagoya Grampus
V-varen Nagasaki
Vissel Kobe
V-varen Nagasaki
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
V-varen Nagasaki
Omiya Ardija
Mito Hollyhock
Kawasaki Frontale
Mito Hollyhock
Tokyo Verdy
Mito Hollyhock
Urawa
Mito Hollyhock
Kashima
Mito Hollyhock
Yokohama F. Marinos
Mito Hollyhock
Machida Zelvia
Mito Hollyhock
FC Tokyo
Mito Hollyhock
Kashiwa Reysol
Mito Hollyhock
JEF United Chiba
Mito Hollyhock
Kashima
Mito Hollyhock
Kashiwa Reysol
Mito Hollyhock
Yokohama F. Marinos
Mito Hollyhock
FC Tokyo
Mito Hollyhock
Urawa
Mito Hollyhock
Kawasaki Frontale
Mito Hollyhock
JEF United Chiba
Mito Hollyhock
Machida Zelvia
Mito Hollyhock
Tokyo Verdy
Mito Hollyhock
Sagan Tosu
V-varen Nagasaki
Vissel Kobe
V-varen Nagasaki
Fagiano Okayama
V-varen Nagasaki
Nagoya Grampus
V-varen Nagasaki
Gamba Osaka
V-varen Nagasaki
Shimizu S-pulse
V-varen Nagasaki
Kyoto Sanga
V-varen Nagasaki
Avispa Fukuoka
V-varen Nagasaki
Cerezo Osaka
V-varen Nagasaki
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Mito Hollyhock
Kashima
Mito Hollyhock
Yokohama F. Marinos
Mito Hollyhock
FC Tokyo
Mito Hollyhock
JEF United Chiba
Mito Hollyhock
Kashiwa Reysol
Mito Hollyhock
Urawa
Mito Hollyhock
Kawasaki Frontale
Mito Hollyhock
Machida Zelvia
Mito Hollyhock
Tokyo Verdy
Mito Hollyhock
Sagan Tosu
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 15 | 0 | 3 | 31:11 | 20 | 45 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 1 | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 29:25 | 4 | 35 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 2 | 18 | 13 | 0 | 5 | 32:18 | 14 | 37 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 2 | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 30:21 | 9 | 31 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 3 | 18 | 13 | 0 | 5 | 28:22 | 6 | 37 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 33:31 | 2 | 31 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 26:28 | -2 | 28 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 4 | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 31:23 | 8 | 30 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 5 | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 22:26 | -4 | 28 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 5 | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 31:25 | 6 | 28 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 25:22 | 3 | 25 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 26:29 | -3 | 26 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 7 | 18 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 28:31 | -3 | 20 |
W
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 7 | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 23:25 | -2 | 24 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 22:24 | -2 | 20 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 8 | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 22:28 | -6 | 23 |
W
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 9 |
Mito Hollyhock
Away
|
18 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 23:39 | -16 | 18 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
| 9 |
V-varen Nagasaki
Home
|
18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 21:29 | -8 | 21 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
| 10 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 15 | 18:34 | -16 | 12 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 21:31 | -10 | 21 |
L
L
W
L
W
|