V-varen Nagasaki
Match Timeline
Gamba Osaka
V-varen Nagasaki vs Gamba Osaka Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
No Draw
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
82.1%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
66.5%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
74%
|
- |
Probability Distribution
V-varen Nagasaki Win 31.9%
Draw 17.9%
Gamba Osaka Win 50.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
V-varen Nagasaki1.13
Gamba Osaka1.53
Recent Form (Last 5)
V-varen Nagasaki
WWDLW
12 GF / 17 GA
Gamba Osaka
WLDWL
24 GF / 20 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.6
1.42
Average Goals Conceded
1.33
4
BTTS Yes
10
5
Over 2.5
9
3
Shots on Goal
5.83
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
V-varen Nagasaki
12 matches
Gamba Osaka
15 matches
| V-varen Nagasaki | Statistic | Gamba Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 5 |
| 0 | Draws | 7 |
| 7 | Losses | 3 |
| 12 | Goals For | 24 |
| 17 | Goals Against | 20 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.6 |
| 1.42 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.33 |
| 4 | BTTS Yes | 10 |
| 8 | Over 1.5 | 12 |
| 5 | Over 2.5 | 9 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 3 | Shots On Goal | 5.83 |
| 10.18 | Total Shots | 13.92 |
| 3.18 | Corners | 4.5 |
| 47.5% | Ball Possession | 58.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, V-varen Nagasaki won 3 times, Gamba Osaka won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:19 from V-varen Nagasaki's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 4.11 goals per game.
1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82.1%)
Predicted formations: V-varen Nagasaki 4-2-3-1 / Gamba Osaka 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: V-varen Nagasaki wins 3, draws 2, Gamba Osaka wins 4
Standings
West
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 29:25 | 4 | 35 |
?
|
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| 2 | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 30:21 | 9 | 31 |
?
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| 3 | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 33:31 | 2 | 31 |
?
|
|
| 4 | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 31:23 | 8 | 30 |
?
|
|
| 5 |
Gamba Osaka
Away
|
18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 31:25 | 6 | 28 |
?
|
| 6 | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 26:29 | -3 | 26 |
?
|
|
| 7 | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 23:25 | -2 | 24 |
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| 8 | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 22:28 | -6 | 23 |
?
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| 9 |
V-varen Nagasaki
Home
|
18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 21:29 | -8 | 21 |
?
|
| 10 | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 21:31 | -10 | 21 |
?
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Promotion - J1 League (Play Offs)
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Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 11th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 13th place)
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Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 17th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 19th place)