JAPAN › J1 LEAGUE
06.05.2026 04:03
Peace Stadium
Referee: M. Fu
V-varen Nagasaki
Match Timeline
Fagiano Okayama
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
19'
Y. Iwasaki · Assist: G. Hatano
V-varen Nagasaki
🔄
34'
Y. Iwasaki ↔ T. Kasayanagi
V-varen Nagasaki
🟨
37'
Noah Kenshin Browne
Fagiano Okayama
⚽
43'
Thiago · Assist: R. Yamada
V-varen Nagasaki
🔄
46'
N. Browne ↔ T. Yamane
Fagiano Okayama
🔄
46'
K. Ichimi ↔ Leo Gaucho
Fagiano Okayama
🔄
46'
D. Tagami ↔ H. Motoyama
Fagiano Okayama
⚽
50'
Werik Popo · Assist: A. Esaka
Fagiano Okayama
🔄
62'
Werik Popo ↔ Lucao
Fagiano Okayama
🔄
64'
R. Yamada ↔ H. Yamaguchi
V-varen Nagasaki
🔄
72'
Dudu Giusti ↔ K. Kushibiki
V-varen Nagasaki
🔄
72'
Thiago ↔ R. Yamasaki
V-varen Nagasaki
🔄
72'
K. Takahata ↔ S. Yoneda
V-varen Nagasaki
🔄
72'
M. Matsumoto ↔ J. Nishikawa
Fagiano Okayama
🟨
90+1'
Motoki Hasegawa
V-varen Nagasaki
🟨
90+4'
Lucão
Fagiano Okayama
VAR
90+3'
Lucão
Fagiano Okayama

V-varen Nagasaki vs Fagiano Okayama Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 40.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 52.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
40.8%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
75.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
52.3%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
83.6%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 0-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
V-varen Nagasaki Win 30.1%
Draw 29.1%
Fagiano Okayama Win 40.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
V-varen Nagasaki1.2
Fagiano Okayama1.2
Recent Form (Last 5)
V-varen Nagasaki V-varen Nagasaki
WWDLW
16 GF / 21 GA
Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama
WLDWL
16 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
1.07
Average Goals Scored
1.07
1.4
Average Goals Conceded
1.4
7
BTTS Yes
10
7
Over 2.5
5
3.71
Shots on Goal
3.07

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

V-varen Nagasaki V-varen Nagasaki 15 matches
Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 15 matches
V-varen Nagasaki Statistic Fagiano Okayama
6 Wins 4
1 Draws 6
8 Losses 5
16 Goals For 16
21 Goals Against 21
1.07 Avg Goals Scored 1.07
1.4 Avg Goals Conceded 1.4
7 BTTS Yes 10
11 Over 1.5 11
7 Over 2.5 5
3 Over 3.5 3
4 Clean Sheets 3
4 Failed To Score 2
3.71 Shots On Goal 3.07
11.36 Total Shots 11.79
3.93 Corners 5.29
48.2% Ball Possession 40.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, V-varen Nagasaki won 5 times, Fagiano Okayama won 6 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:15 from V-varen Nagasaki's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.07 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (70.9%)
Predicted formations: V-varen Nagasaki 3-4-2-1 / Fagiano Okayama 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: V-varen Nagasaki wins 5, draws 4, Fagiano Okayama wins 6

Standings

West
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 18 11 0 7 29:25 4 35
?
2 18 11 0 7 30:21 9 31
?
3 18 10 0 8 33:31 2 31
?
4 18 10 0 8 31:23 8 30
?
5 18 10 0 8 31:25 6 28
?
6 18 8 0 10 26:29 -3 26
?
7 18 8 0 10 23:25 -2 24
?
8 18 8 0 10 22:28 -6 23
?
9 18 7 0 11 21:29 -8 21
?
10 18 7 0 11 21:31 -10 21
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Promotion - J1 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 11th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 13th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 15th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 17th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 19th place)