NETHERLANDS EREDIVISIE
15.08.2026 16:45
Stadion Galgenwaard
Referee: Danny Makkelie, Netherlands
Utrecht
Match Timeline
AZ Alkmaar
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
23'
Artem Stepanov
Utrecht
45'
P. Koopmeiners
AZ Alkmaar
🟨
46'
Ferdinand Pohl
Utrecht
🔄
46'
M. Eerdhuijzen ↔ M. Didden
Utrecht
47'
Weslley Patati · Assist: K. Smit
AZ Alkmaar
49'
M. Meerdink · Assist: M. Chavez Garcia
AZ Alkmaar
🟨
54'
Guus Offerhaus
Utrecht
🔄
55'
D. de Wit ↔ K. Paredes
Utrecht
🟨
56'
Weslley Patati
AZ Alkmaar
🔄
62'
Y. Cathline ↔ D. van den Berg
Utrecht
🔄
62'
F. Pohl ↔ A. Blake
Utrecht
62'
A. Stepanov · Assist: Y. Cathline
Utrecht
🔄
66'
Weslley Patati ↔ C. Stengs
AZ Alkmaar
🟨
69'
Arthur Zagre
Utrecht
🔄
80'
A. Zagre ↔ N. Ogidi Nwankwo
Utrecht
🔄
80'
K. Smit ↔ R. Ichihara
AZ Alkmaar
🔄
81'
R. Daal ↔ A. Oufkir
AZ Alkmaar
84'
A. Oufkir · Assist: M. Chavez Garcia
AZ Alkmaar
🔄
85'
P. Koopmeiners ↔ S. Maikuma
AZ Alkmaar
🟨
89'
Mateo Chávez
AZ Alkmaar

Utrecht vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 64.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
64.3%
-
BTTS Yes
54.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
82.4%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Utrecht Win 36.4%
Draw 27.9%
AZ Alkmaar Win 35.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Utrecht0.95
AZ Alkmaar1.88
Recent Form (Last 5)
Utrecht Utrecht
WWDLW
5 GF / 9 GA
AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar
WLDWL
15 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
0.83
Average Goals Scored
2.14
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
1.14
3
BTTS Yes
4
3
Over 2.5
4
7
Shots on Goal
4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Utrecht Utrecht 6 matches
AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 7 matches
Utrecht Statistic AZ Alkmaar
1 Wins 4
0 Draws 2
5 Losses 1
5 Goals For 15
9 Goals Against 8
0.83 Avg Goals Scored 2.14
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 1.14
3 BTTS Yes 4
3 Over 1.5 6
3 Over 2.5 4
1 Over 3.5 3
0 Clean Sheets 2
3 Failed To Score 1
7 Shots On Goal 4
14 Total Shots 12
1 Corners 9
41% Ball Possession 53%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Utrecht won 5 times, AZ Alkmaar won 4 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:30 from Utrecht's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (72.1%)
Predicted formations: Utrecht 4-2-3-1 / AZ Alkmaar 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Utrecht 6, AZ Alkmaar 6
H2H summary: Utrecht wins 5, draws 6, AZ Alkmaar wins 4

Standings

Eredivisie
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 5 1 0 22:7 15 16
W W W W W
2 6 5 1 0 17:6 11 16
D W W W W
3 6 4 2 0 20:7 13 14
W W D W D
4 6 4 1 1 12:5 7 13
W W D W W
5 5 3 1 1 14:6 8 10
W L W D W
6 6 3 1 2 13:7 6 10
L D W W L
7 6 3 1 2 12:14 -2 10
L W W L W
8 6 2 3 1 15:13 2 9
D D L W D
9 6 2 2 2 12:13 -1 8
D D L L W
10 6 2 1 3 11:12 -1 7
L D L W W
11 6 1 3 2 7:9 -2 6
D L D L D
12 6 1 2 3 10:13 -3 5
L D L D W
13 6 1 2 3 5:11 -6 5
D L D L L
14 6 1 2 3 11:19 -8 5
W D L D L
15 6 1 1 4 9:18 -9 4
W D L L L
16 6 1 1 4 6:17 -11 4
L D L W L
17 5 0 2 3 5:14 -9 2
D L D L L
18 6 0 1 5 6:16 -10 1
L L D L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie