UTC Cajamarca vs Universitario Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
68.6%
|
2.03 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
75.1%
|
1.83 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
66.7%
|
2.02 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
71%
|
1.44 | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
5.00 | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
9.00 |
UTC Cajamarca
Universitario
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
UTC Cajamarca
25 matches
Universitario
33 matches
| UTC Cajamarca | Statistic | Universitario |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 16 |
| 9 | Draws | 9 |
| 11 | Losses | 8 |
| 27 | Goals For | 48 |
| 39 | Goals Against | 31 |
| 1.08 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.45 |
| 1.56 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.94 |
| 15 | BTTS Yes | 16 |
| 19 | Over 1.5 | 23 |
| 12 | Over 2.5 | 16 |
| 9 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 13 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 10 |
| 4.13 | Shots On Goal | 4.07 |
| 12.26 | Total Shots | 13.28 |
| 4.65 | Corners | 5.59 |
| 51.3% | Ball Possession | 51.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Universitario's more proactive style and UTC Cajamarca's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with UTC Cajamarca expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Universitario in 3-1-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Universitario having the stronger overall control. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Universitario. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. UTC Cajamarca have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Universitario carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 39 points while UTC Cajamarca sit 18 on 15, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.
UTC Cajamarca approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 18 with 15 points from 22 matches. The overall return of 4 wins, 8 draws, and 10 defeats with a 24:35 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Marcos Lliuya (3 goals), Michel Rasmussen (3 goals), Abdiel Arroyo (2 goals), with creative support from Marcos Lliuya (2 assists), Michel Rasmussen (2 assists), Adolfo Muñoz (2 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, the split record of - wins, - draws, and - losses points to an unclear split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Universitario approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 39 points after 22 outings. With 11 wins, 6 draws, and 5 defeats plus a goal balance of 32:22, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by Alex Valera (6 goals), Edison Flores (3 goals), Gianluca Lapadula (3 goals), with creative support from Alex Valera (2 assists), Edison Flores (2 assists), Jairo Concha (2 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the split of - wins, - draws, and - losses supports the view of an unclear split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, UTC Cajamarca won 2 times, Universitario won 9 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:23 from UTC Cajamarca's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.43 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 42:18 | 24 | 53 |
L
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 2 |
Universitario
Away
|
26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 43:27 | 16 | 49 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
| 3 | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 44:28 | 16 | 45 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 35:24 | 11 | 45 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 5 | 26 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 38:37 | 1 | 42 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 35:44 | -9 | 41 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 7 | 25 | 12 | 4 | 9 | 44:37 | 7 | 40 |
W
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 38:34 | 4 | 37 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 28:25 | 3 | 37 |
W
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 10 | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 45:39 | 6 | 35 |
W
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 11 | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 25:28 | -3 | 32 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 12 | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 34:42 | -8 | 32 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 38:52 | -14 | 31 |
W
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 34:36 | -2 | 30 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 15 | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 40:50 | -10 | 27 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 24:37 | -13 | 25 |
L
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 17 | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 27:39 | -12 | 22 |
L
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 18 |
UTC Cajamarca
Home
|
26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 30:47 | -17 | 15 |
L
L
L
L
L
|