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11.10.2026 18:00
Estadio Héroes de San Ramón

UTC Cajamarca vs Sporting Cristal Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 59.3%
Odds 1.91
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds 1.62
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 87%
Odds 1.71
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
59.3%
1.91 ▥
BTTS Yes
86%
1.62 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
87%
1.71 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
90%
1.19 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
5.00 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
8.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
UTC Cajamarca Win 15.6%
Draw 25.1%
Sporting Cristal Win 59.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
UTC Cajamarca1.27
Sporting Cristal1.67
Recent Form (Last 5)
UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca
WWDLW
34 GF / 51 GA
Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal
WLDWL
61 GF / 54 GA
Key Stats
1.17
Average Goals Scored
1.61
1.76
Average Goals Conceded
1.42
19
BTTS Yes
25
16
Over 2.5
24
4.33
Shots on Goal
4.84

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 29 matches
Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 38 matches
UTC Cajamarca Statistic Sporting Cristal
5 Wins 15
9 Draws 7
15 Losses 16
34 Goals For 61
51 Goals Against 54
1.17 Avg Goals Scored 1.61
1.76 Avg Goals Conceded 1.42
19 BTTS Yes 25
23 Over 1.5 32
16 Over 2.5 24
12 Over 3.5 15
5 Clean Sheets 9
7 Failed To Score 5
4.33 Shots On Goal 4.84
12.33 Total Shots 13.95
4.33 Corners 5.57
50% Ball Possession 55.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, UTC Cajamarca won 2 times, Sporting Cristal won 7 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:31 from UTC Cajamarca's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 12 matches, with an average of 3.57 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (84.5%)
Predicted formations: UTC Cajamarca 4-4-2 / Sporting Cristal 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: UTC Cajamarca wins 2, draws 5, Sporting Cristal wins 7

Standings

Primera Division: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 27 16 8 3 44:18 26 56
W L D L D
2 27 14 7 6 43:31 12 49
L W D W W
3 27 14 6 7 39:24 15 48
W L W W W
4 27 13 7 7 45:29 16 46
D W W L D
5 27 14 3 10 40:38 2 45
W L W W L
6 28 13 5 10 48:40 8 44
W D L W L
7 28 12 7 9 36:45 -9 43
D D L L L
8 27 11 7 9 40:35 5 40
W L W W W
9 27 11 5 11 48:40 8 38
W W W L L
10 27 10 8 9 29:26 3 38
D W L W W
11 27 10 5 12 37:44 -7 35
W W W W L
12 27 9 7 11 42:52 -10 34
W W D W W
13 28 9 6 13 26:31 -5 33
D L W L W
14 27 7 9 11 35:38 -3 30
L L D L W
15 27 7 6 14 41:52 -11 27
L W L W L
16 27 6 7 14 29:42 -13 25
W L L L L
17 28 6 7 15 24:43 -19 25
L L L L L
18 27 4 8 15 32:50 -18 15
L L L L L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga 2