11.09.2026 20:00
Estadio Heroes de San Ramon
UTC Cajamarca
Match Timeline
Juan Pablo II College
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
22'
David Camacho
UTC Cajamarca
🟨
24'
Luis Arce
UTC Cajamarca
🟥
24'
David Camacho
UTC Cajamarca
🟨
26'
Adolfo Muñoz
UTC Cajamarca
45+2'
Nilton Ramirez · Assist: Janio Pósito
Juan Pablo II College
49'
Bruno Duarte · Assist: Luis Arce
UTC Cajamarca
🔄
53'
Christian Flores ↔ Jack·Duran
Juan Pablo II College
🔄
53'
Nilton Ramirez ↔ Arón Sánchez
Juan Pablo II College
🟨
63'
Gilmar Paredes
UTC Cajamarca
🔄
64'
Paolo Reyna ↔ Hugo Ancajima
Juan Pablo II College
🔄
67'
Gilmar Paredes ↔ Santiago Gálvez
UTC Cajamarca
🔄
76'
Adolfo Muñoz ↔ David Dioses
UTC Cajamarca
🔄
77'
Juan Pablo Goicochea ↔ Mateo Rodríguez
Juan Pablo II College
🔄
77'
Álvaro Rojas ↔ C. Villanueva
Juan Pablo II College
🟨
82'
C. Villanueva
Juan Pablo II College
🔄
84'
Luis Arce ↔ Marlon de Jesús
UTC Cajamarca
🟨
84'
Joshua Cantt
UTC Cajamarca
89'
Janio Pósito · Assist: Hugo Ancajima
Juan Pablo II College
🟨
90+2'
Hugo Ancajima
Juan Pablo II College
🟨
90+4'
Manuel Ganoza
UTC Cajamarca
🟥
90+5'
Manuel Ganoza
UTC Cajamarca
🟨
90+6'
Pablo Miguez
Juan Pablo II College

UTC Cajamarca vs Juan Pablo II College Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 74.9%
Odds 1.95
1 agree / 0 disagree
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds 1.80
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds 1.88
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
74.9%
1.95
BTTS Yes
78.8%
1.80
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
1.88
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
83.4%
1.29
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
9.00
Correct Score 1-2
-
15.00
Probability Distribution
UTC Cajamarca Win 25.2%
Draw 25.2%
Juan Pablo II College Win 49.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
UTC Cajamarca1.47
Juan Pablo II College1.58
Recent Form (Last 5)
UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca
WWDLW
31 GF / 46 GA
Juan Pablo II College Juan Pablo II College
WLDWL
39 GF / 51 GA
Key Stats
1.15
Average Goals Scored
1.5
1.7
Average Goals Conceded
1.96
17
BTTS Yes
17
14
Over 2.5
16
4.2
Shots on Goal
3.56

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 27 matches
Juan Pablo II College Juan Pablo II College 26 matches
UTC Cajamarca Statistic Juan Pablo II College
5 Wins 8
9 Draws 7
13 Losses 11
31 Goals For 39
46 Goals Against 51
1.15 Avg Goals Scored 1.5
1.7 Avg Goals Conceded 1.96
17 BTTS Yes 17
21 Over 1.5 25
14 Over 2.5 16
11 Over 3.5 10
5 Clean Sheets 3
7 Failed To Score 7
4.2 Shots On Goal 3.56
12.2 Total Shots 9.72
4.48 Corners 3.68
50.9% Ball Possession 43.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Juan Pablo II College. UTC Cajamarca have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with UTC Cajamarca expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Juan Pablo II College in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Juan Pablo II College having the stronger overall control.

UTC Cajamarca Analysis

UTC Cajamarca approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 18 with 15 points from 24 matches. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 8 draws, and 12 defeats, and the 27:42 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on Michel Rasmussen (4 goals), Marcos Lliuya (3 goals), Abdiel Arroyo (3 goals), with creative support from Marcos Lliuya (3 assists), Michel Rasmussen (2 assists), Adolfo Muñoz (2 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned - wins, - draws, and - losses, which indicates an unclear split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Juan Pablo II College Analysis

Juan Pablo II College sit 13 with 27 points after 24 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 6 draws, and 11 losses, while the 35:50 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on E. Ramírez (3 goals), Martín Alaníz (2 goals), Josue Torres (2 goals), with creative support from E. Ramírez (2 assists), Martín Alaníz (2 assists), Cristhian Tizón (1 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, their split return of - wins, - draws, and - losses fits an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, UTC Cajamarca won 0 times, Juan Pablo II College won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:6 from UTC Cajamarca's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (74.9%)
Predicted formations: UTC Cajamarca 4-2-3-1 / Juan Pablo II College 4-4-2
H2H summary: UTC Cajamarca wins 0, draws 1, Juan Pablo II College wins 2

Standings

Primera Division: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 15 8 3 42:18 24 53
L D L D W
2 26 14 7 5 43:27 16 49
W D W W W
3 26 13 6 7 44:28 16 45
W W L D W
4 26 13 6 7 35:24 11 45
L W W W D
5 26 13 3 10 38:37 1 42
L W W L W
6 26 12 5 9 35:44 -9 41
L L L L L
7 25 12 4 9 44:37 7 40
W L L D L
8 25 10 7 8 37:31 6 37
W W W D W
9 26 10 7 9 28:25 3 37
W L W W D
10 26 10 5 11 45:39 6 35
W W L L W
11 26 9 5 12 34:42 -8 32
W W W L L
12 26 8 7 11 38:52 -14 31
W D W W L
13 26 7 9 10 34:36 -2 30
L D L W L
14 25 8 5 12 22:27 -5 29
L W W W D
15 26 7 6 13 40:50 -10 27
W L W L L
16 26 6 7 13 24:37 -13 25
L L L W D
17 25 5 7 13 27:39 -12 22
L L L D D
18 26 4 8 14 30:47 -17 15
L L L L L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga 2