Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
42.8%
|
3.96 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
86%
|
1.91 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
77.2%
|
2.22 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
85.5%
|
1.49 | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
8.50 | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
15.00 |
UTC Cajamarca
Comerciantes Unidos
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
UTC Cajamarca
24 matches
Comerciantes Unidos
24 matches
| UTC Cajamarca | Statistic | Comerciantes Unidos |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 6 |
| 9 | Draws | 9 |
| 10 | Losses | 9 |
| 26 | Goals For | 28 |
| 36 | Goals Against | 31 |
| 1.08 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.17 |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.29 |
| 14 | BTTS Yes | 14 |
| 18 | Over 1.5 | 15 |
| 11 | Over 2.5 | 10 |
| 8 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 4.18 | Shots On Goal | 4.27 |
| 11.95 | Total Shots | 13 |
| 4.5 | Corners | 3.45 |
| 49.8% | Ball Possession | 46.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Comerciantes Unidos. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with UTC Cajamarca expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Comerciantes Unidos in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Comerciantes Unidos having the stronger overall control.
With 15 points from 21 games and a place of 18, UTC Cajamarca still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 4 wins, 8 draws, and 9 losses, together with goals at 24:34, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Marcos Lliuya (3 goals), Michel Rasmussen (2 goals), Abdiel Arroyo (2 goals), with creative support from Marcos Lliuya (2 assists), Michel Rasmussen (2 assists), Adolfo Muñoz (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed - wins, - draws, and - losses, a return that supports an unclear split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
So far, Comerciantes Unidos have built a campaign that leaves them 11 in the table on 26 points from 21 matches. Their overall return of 6 wins, 8 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 27:28 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Matías Sen (5 goals), Josuee Herrera (2 goals), Juan Rodríguez (2 goals), with creative support from Josuee Herrera (3 assists), Rodrigo Vilca (3 assists), Mathías Carpio (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of - wins, - draws, and - losses fits an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, UTC Cajamarca won 8 times, Comerciantes Unidos won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:14 from UTC Cajamarca's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.
UTC Cajamarca
Alianza Lima
UTC Cajamarca
ADT
UTC Cajamarca
Cusco
UTC Cajamarca
UCV Moquegua
UTC Cajamarca
Atletico Grau
UTC Cajamarca
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
UTC Cajamarca
Sport Boys
UTC Cajamarca
Deportivo Garcilaso
UTC Cajamarca
FC Cajamarca
UTC Cajamarca
FBC Melgar
UTC Cajamarca
Cienciano
UTC Cajamarca
Sporting Cristal
UTC Cajamarca
Sport Huancayo
UTC Cajamarca
Juan Pablo II College
UTC Cajamarca
Alianza Atletico
UTC Cajamarca
Universitario
UTC Cajamarca
Comerciantes Unidos
UTC Cajamarca
Alianza Lima
UTC Cajamarca
ADT
UTC Cajamarca
Cusco
Comerciantes Unidos
Atletico Grau
Comerciantes Unidos
Cusco
Comerciantes Unidos
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Comerciantes Unidos
Alianza Lima
Comerciantes Unidos
UCV Moquegua
Comerciantes Unidos
Sport Boys
Comerciantes Unidos
Deportivo Garcilaso
Comerciantes Unidos
ADT
Comerciantes Unidos
FBC Melgar
Comerciantes Unidos
Cienciano
Comerciantes Unidos
Sporting Cristal
Comerciantes Unidos
Alianza Atletico
Comerciantes Unidos
Juan Pablo II College
Comerciantes Unidos
Sport Huancayo
Comerciantes Unidos
Universitario
Comerciantes Unidos
FC Cajamarca
Comerciantes Unidos
UTC Cajamarca
Comerciantes Unidos
Atletico Grau
Comerciantes Unidos
Cusco
Comerciantes Unidos
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
UTC Cajamarca
ADT
UTC Cajamarca
UCV Moquegua
UTC Cajamarca
Sport Boys
UTC Cajamarca
FC Cajamarca
UTC Cajamarca
Cienciano
UTC Cajamarca
Sport Huancayo
UTC Cajamarca
Alianza Atletico
UTC Cajamarca
Alianza Lima
UTC Cajamarca
Cusco
UTC Cajamarca
Atletico Grau
UTC Cajamarca
Comerciantes Unidos
Comerciantes Unidos
Atletico Grau
Comerciantes Unidos
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Comerciantes Unidos
UCV Moquegua
Comerciantes Unidos
Sport Boys
Comerciantes Unidos
ADT
Comerciantes Unidos
Cienciano
Comerciantes Unidos
Juan Pablo II College
Comerciantes Unidos
Sport Huancayo
Comerciantes Unidos
FC Cajamarca
Comerciantes Unidos
Cusco
Comerciantes Unidos
Alianza Lima
Comerciantes Unidos
UTC Cajamarca
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 30:8 | 22 | 40 |
D
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25:21 | 4 | 34 |
D
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 3 | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 34:22 | 12 | 33 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24:15 | 9 | 29 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29:20 | 9 | 28 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 21:24 | -3 | 27 |
W
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 7 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 21:18 | 3 | 26 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20:18 | 2 | 21 |
L
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 9 |
Comerciantes Unidos
Away
|
17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 21 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
| 10 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22:21 | 1 | 20 |
L
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 11 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 15:19 | -4 | 20 |
W
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 12 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 28:30 | -2 | 19 |
L
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 13 |
UTC Cajamarca
Home
|
17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21:26 | -5 | 18 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
| 14 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 17:24 | -7 | 18 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 15 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 17 |
D
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 16 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 12:18 | -6 | 16 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21:31 | -10 | 16 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 18 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 22:40 | -18 | 16 |
L
D
L
L
L
|